All Commentary articles – Page 45
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White papers
China’s role in global trade and why it still matters
China is a big deal: it singlehandedly accounts for more than 18% of the world’s GDP (gross domestic product). Across the world’s 10 biggest economies it is the top trading partner for eight and a top five partner for the remaining two. It has the world’s largest trade surplus at $676 billion, which is roughly equivalent to the GDP of Poland.
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White papers
Living on a Prayer
The Federal Open Market Committee hiked rates by 25 basis points (bps) and kept its quantitative tightening plans in place. It did acknowledge that financial conditions have tightened and progress has been made on inflation. However, it seems to think it can simultaneously tighten monetary policy to fight inflation while providing support to the financial system. The Federal Reserve (Fed) may be living on a prayer instead.
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Exploring sustainability in infrastructure
While investors are often attracted to the sustainable nature of infrastructure returns, how much do they know about the sector’s alignment with environmental and social goals?
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An Inflection Point
Four of Allspring’s fixed income leaders share their perspectives on the market volatility and banking system turmoil in the wake of SVB’s collapse and their views on what lies ahead for fixed income investing.
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Podcast
Managing Investment Risk During a Banking Crisis
In response to the tumultuous month for the banking sector, Randy Mangelsen and John Hockers, co-heads of Investment Analytics at Allspring, discuss the recent bank failings and the risk analysis tools they use to navigate the situation.
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Liquid Alternatives — Why Now?
2022 left investors scrambling to preserve capital and find alternative sources of return. Both equities and bonds across the globe suffered in the high inflation and rising interest rate environment. The S&P 500 Index ended the year at -18.1%, the MSCI EAFE Index ended at -14.5%, and the Bloomberg Aggregate Bond (US Agg) Index ended at -13.0%.
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Podcast
One Year of Igneo: a conversation with Niall Mills
March 2023 marks one year since we became Igneo Infrastructure Partners.
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White papers
A global assessment of the implications of recent banking sector developments
”Due to tightening financial conditions, we expect a weaker US economic outlook, and a less aggressive Fed: a small increase in rates is still on the cards and then a pause.”
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White papers
Universal access to clean water and sanitation has wide-ranging benefits
As a resource that is critical to life on Earth, it behoves us as stewards of the planet to look after water. Beyond answers to droughts and floods, and the damage they do to the economy, other areas such as providing clean water and sanitation can have considerable benefits for society at large that extend from reduced healthcare costs to improved productivity.
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The Investment Podcast: Infrastructure - an industrial revolution?
Investing in infrastructure has historically been about existing, stable and secure assets. In recent years, there has been a concerted effort to drive towards sustainable sources of power and energy needs and have resilient local infrastructure.
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ECB increases rates: the job on inflation is not done yet, but expect a softer path
The European Central Bank raised its key policy interest rates by half a percentage point, lifting the deposit rate to 3.0%. However, it did not commit to future rate hikes, Lagarde stated that “it’s not possible to determine at this point in time the future path for rates”. ...
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Real estate – understanding the new normal
2022 was a year of many unforeseen events – from geopolitical upheaval leading to slowing economies around the world, to surging inflation and rising interest rates – all marking the end of the property cycle.
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At the Crossroads, Seeking Direction
Faced with historically inverted yield curves, unbalanced equity markets and economic conditions unseen for 40 years, investors are agonizing over their next steps.
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Silicon Valley Bank: Market Reaction and Implications
Facing pressure from declining deposits and a loss on the sale of securities in its portfolio, SVB attempted last week to raise capital to mitigate a Moody’s rating downgrade on Wednesday. However, it was unable to complete the capital raise before markets opened on Thursday, which resulted in a precipitous drop in its stock price that day.
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White papers
Tapping the Evolution in Alternative Return Streams
Institutional investors’ thinking about risk allocation has been dominated for some time by traditional beta sources, mainly long exposure to equities and bonds. The market regime provided little reason for radical change. After all, for two decades, stock and bond returns were negatively correlated, enabling 60/40 equity/bond mixes to deliver both a risk-balanced allocation framework and attractive returns.
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White papers
Fed in a Pickle: Fight Inflation OR Fuel a Banking Crisis?
Following SVB’s collapse and related events, the Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place: Inflation is too high, but cracks are starting in the financial system. How did we get here? What are the Fed’s options?
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White papers
2023: The year of green, social and sustainability bonds? Three reasons to be optimistic
2022 was a very challenging year for the bond market and sustainable bonds were no exception. Yet, there are reasons to remain optimistic about the asset class; the green bond market showed resilience and offered interesting investment opportunities which continued to drive investor appetite despite the high volatility.
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Video
Cost of keeping a tenant has gone up dramatically, says GTIS’s Tom Shapiro
Tom Shapiro, GTIS president and CIO, joins ‘Closing Bell: Overtime’ to discuss the problems faced by commercial office REITs.
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White papers
European banking sector set to withstand Credit Suisse fragility
”The Credit Suisse turmoil appears to be driven by a crisis of confidence, with markets putting banks under scrutiny following the SVB failure.”
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Further concerns, or contagion? The latest on global market volatility
Over the past week, investors have had to digest U.S. banking failures and the threatened collapse of a major European bank. This stress has finally underscored the tensions between global central banks’ efforts to tame inflation and growing concerns that further policy tightening will spark a crisis. As we all follow the latest developments, it’s important to consider each of them in context.