All Commentary articles – Page 21
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Equity Outlook: Three Questions for Investors in 2024
It’s hard to chart a course through equity markets in times of uncertainty. Here are our thoughts on some of the big questions on investors’ minds today.
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Real estate outlook 2024
Private real estate came back down to earth in 2023, hampered primarily by elevated interest rates which weighed on values. Global investment volumes continued to fall throughout the year, with less capital coming into the sector and with buyers and sellers generally unable to agree on price.
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The Monroe Doctrine at 200: Its New Implications for LatAm Assets
We explore the potential evolution of the relationships between Latin American countries and the U.S.
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Podcast
All the Credit, Ep. 47 - Holiday Indigestion: The Investment Implications of GLP-1s
Exploring the investment implications of GLP-1s across fixed income markets and industries.
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U.S. Commercial Real Estate Debt: Discovering beneficial routes of exposure
Investors are increasingly viewing Commercial Real Estate (CRE) debt as a benefit to the CRE market, which was already the case prior to elevated interest rates. Global AUM of debt funds has been increased 22% per year since 2019 and 62% of global institutional CRE investors were looking to increase their allocation to CRE debt in 2023
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European real estate market commentary: January 2024
The Eurozone’s economic momentum remains weak, with declining GDP and recessionary levels of activity. However, the real estate market shows resilience in certain sectors. Oliver Kummerfeldt, Head of European Real Estate Research, explains how the Eurozone economy is expected to gradually pick up in 2024.
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What has 2024 got in store for DB pensions and how will fiduciary management evolve?
For a pensions market that is all but closed to new members, you would be forgiven for perhaps expecting defined benefit (DB) pension schemes to be taking it easy. In reality this couldn’t be further from the truth. Mansion House reforms, increasing numbers of bulk annuity deals, and consolidation, all set against the backdrop of the upcoming General Election, mean that 2024 is set to be a year with many twists and turns.
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One Size Doesn’t Fit AI
Custom Application-Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC) chips could reshape the technology sector.
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Japan’s equities surfing on the end of deflation
”Japanese equities may further benefit from the major transformations in the country’s economy and markets.”
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Global Investment Views - January 2024
”While the year-end rally may offer some tactical opportunities, we keep a sightly cautious view on equities as markets are priced for a Goldilocks scenario.”
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How to decarbonise real estate
We explain how investors can quantify the carbon footprint of real estate portfolios and set out decarbonisation pathways.
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2024 private credit outlook: A question of balance
Caution is needed if a recession does arrive.
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Pro-invest: How to Launch a Private Equity Real Estate Fund
This case study was written by Anne-Marie Carrick, Research Associate, Bowen White, Associate Director Global Private Equity Initiative (GPEI), Claudia Zeisberger, Affiliate Professor of Decision Sciences and Entrepreneurship & Family Business, all at INSEAD It is intended to be used as a basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation.
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Podcast
City in Focus #4: Frankfurt
Frankfurt is not only the financial centre of Germany, but also the centre of the European banking sector. Known as Mainhatten due to the skyscrapers that dominate the city’s skyline and its location on the River Main, Frankfurt is attractive for both investors and residents alike, praised for its connectivity and innovation.
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Rate cuts: are they justified by employment data?
The resilience of the labour market, evidenced by low unemployment and solid job growth, is seen as a key driver of the US economy’s strength. But in 2023, the trend of robust job creation shown in the previous two years began to deteriorate as the pace of newly created roles slowed down.
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An Alternative Outlook Note for the Season
Headlines remain dominated by highly negative news flow, a tough geopolitical landscape and the prospect of a divisive US election campaign. With a nod to the season, rather than writing a traditional pre-year-end outlook, our final note to clients this year is a short commentary on what might be a more positive prognosis for the future. We will follow with a note early in the New Year featuring key themes for 2024.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2023
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited.
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Global FinTech: trends to watch in 2024
Beating the broader market was challenging for many active strategies in 2023, including our Global FinTech theme. However, Global FinTech has had the highest absolute return among its relevant peer group since our inception in 2020. We attribute the longer-term outperformance to our strict adherence to seeking quality growth at a reasonable price. Thematic purity is also hugely important to us, meaning we do not invest in the ‘Magnificent 7’.
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Macro Outlook 2024: The intangible cycle
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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Key Investments themes 2024: views from around the Generali Investments ecosystem
The global economy showed remarkable resilience in 2023, avoiding the sharp recession that was widely expected at the start of the year.