All Commentary articles – Page 25
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White papersCLO Equity: 101
From quarterly cashflows to compelling total return potential, CLO equity offers a number of potential benefits. But the asset class is often overlooked, due in large part to its perceived complexity relative to more traditional fixed income investments.
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White papersGen AI: The Next Wave
As artificial intelligence tools gather steam, what’s the potential impact on businesses, investors and the planet? It’s been nearly two years since the “ChatGPT moment,” when OpenAI’s flagship chatbot brought the world face-to-face with the power of generative artificial intelligence (Gen AI) to gather and interpret information, and communicate its findings to users. The moment represented the culmination of years of AI research and development.
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Research ReportMarket Update second quarter 2024
Economic growth in the Netherlands is expected to rebound in 2024. Modest private consumption growth is driven by factors as, rising house prices, continuously low unemployment, increasing consumer confidence and real wage growth.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - July/August 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 24 July 2024
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White papersThe Data Center Investment Opportunity
The data center industry is experiencing explosive demand growth driven by expanding use of technology and structural shifts in how data is consumed. Developers are building but they can’t keep up with demand—driving vacancy rates to all-time historic lows and rents to rise. The amount of capital required to develop the capacity to fill forecasted demand is unprecedented in the industry.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July/August 2024
Topic of the Month: How long can the Central Banks’ divergence last
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White papersU.S. election: Policy and positioning
Heading into a contentious U.S. election season, investors need to avoid the noise and remain focused on the factors that will drive markets in the period ahead, including U.S. trade policy (particularly with China), geopolitics (particularly any impact on oil markets), and fiscal deficit management (given the CBO projection that the U.S. budget deficit is set to rise to 122.4% of GDP by 2034).
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White papersPrivate Markets Investment Outlook July 2024: An attractive investment environment
While a normalisation in fundraising and valuation adjustments is creating promising opportunities, ongoing geopolitical tensions means diversification within private market allocations is crucial.
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White papersUK real estate market commentary: July 2024
Oliver Kummerfeldt, Head of European Real Estate Research, discusses the economic environment and offers valuable perspectives on making informed decisions when it comes to UK real estate investments.
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White papersEuropean real estate market commentary: July 2024
Oliver Kummerfeldt, Head of European Real Estate Research, discusses the economic environment and offers valuable perspectives on making informed decisions when it comes to European real estate investments.
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White papers2024 U.S. election: The importance of staying invested
It can be easy for investors to let their political persuasions impact their long-term financial judgment. However, allowing the outcomes of elections, particularly ones as polarized as what investors are facing this fall, to trigger an adjustment to portfolio allocations or even a withdrawal from markets entirely, has historically ...
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White papersPositioning for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Calls from senior members of the Democratic party finally became too great this past weekend, with President Biden bowing out of the 2024 U.S. Presidential race. He will not be seeking a second term.
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White papersElection 2024: Economics, policy and positioning for a soft landing
The S&P 500 enjoyed a solid start to the year, fueled by the Federal Reserve embracing optimism about inflation without sacrificing growth. During Q2, however, evidence of still sticky inflation has reduced the number of expected rate cuts, weighing on market sentiment and resulting in more modest equity gains.
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White papersThe perfect storm: Deglobalisation’s headwinds
Globalisation - the rising interconnection of the world’s economies and populations, driven by international trade in technology, services, goods as well as the flow of investment and information - is facing at least five different head winds. Let me discuss them in turn and indicate how I believe they could be tackled.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – H2 24 Outlook – It’s all about confidence
A lot has happened in global economies, markets and geopolitics in the last six months. This outlook special looks back at what has happened in 2024 to date, how this has impacted markets, and what we should expect for the second half of the year. Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, discuss why they think the current environment really is “all about confidence”.
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White papersAre We There Yet? The Road to Recovery for CRE
Stickier than expected inflation and robust economic activity have delayed and diminished expectations for rate cuts in 2024.
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White papersMid-Year Outlook 2024 It’s all about confidence
Restrictive monetary policies and fading fiscal expansion are curbing growth and inflation in major economies. Recessions look unlikely but central banks are starting on a new cycle of rate cuts at a time of divergent growth rates, sticky price pressures, constrained fiscal policy and rising geopolitical risks. Despite the uncertain outlook, markets in some regions are priced for the best outcome. We therefore favour asset allocations that can withstand different scenarios.
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White papersAI fever: Has it gotten too hot?
Investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence has gripped the financial markets and shows no signs of loosening its hold.
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White papersInvestment outlook
At the midpoint of 2024, we are focused on a number of risks posed by fissures and fault lines in the economic terrain — and the need to navigate them successfully. Weakening global growth, still-sticky inflation, diverging monetary policy around the globe and growing political uncertainty all add to the uncertain footing. How might investors find their away around these cracks? In our view, the following portfolio themes point in the right direction.
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White papersMegatrends: Transformative technology
Artificial intelligence (AI), specifically generative AI (GenAI), is poised to affect virtually every sector of the global economy and transform the workforce.
