All China articles – Page 2
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White papersChina: Bringing the Long-Term Picture into Focus
While Chinese equities have faced increasing scrutiny, we believe the long-term case for the asset class remains compelling—supported by technological advancement, policy support, a resurgent consumer, and attractive current valuations.
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White papersIndia and EM are winners of the rerouting shift
We maintain a positive outlook on emerging market (EM) equities for H2 2025, driven by recovering macro momentum, stabilising inflation, and central banks on an easing path. While growth remains positive and earnings decelerate to low single digits, the key narrative is the fading US exceptionalism, highlighted by a weakening dollar and declining trust in US policy, which enhances the attractiveness of EM through repatriation and diversification flows.
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White papersMacro brief: What could a China shock 2.0 mean for Europe?
High US tariffs make it more likely a bigger share of China’s industrial overcapacity finds its way to Europe. This would benefit European consumers by lowering inflation and boosting real incomes. But without any trade response from Brussels, it could squeeze domestic production and to counter that, targeted trade defence measures may be required.
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White papersChina in the race to technological leadership
With its rapid advancements in critical technologies, today, China is a formidable competitor to the developed West for global technology leadership. Innovation can take many forms, including process innovation – in which China excels – leveraging its large and dynamic manufacturing base. However, this is not enough.
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White papersFour factors that could drive Chinese equity markets
Despite geopolitical, trade, and economic uncertainties, China’s stock market has emerged as one of the top returners globally in recent times. The MSCI China Index produced 10% in the first four months of 2025 and 26.5% over the past year, outstripping the MSCI USA, MSCI Emerging Markets and MSCI ACWI indices.
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White papersUS-China truce reduces tariffs for now
“The US-China trade announcement is welcome news, but policy uncertainty remains. As we wait for developments after the 90-day pause, we see opportunities in the broader global equities space.”
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White papersA new path forward for China-US trade
How the latest tariff retrenchment affects the Chinese economy and equity markets
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White papersUS and China: balancing the decoupling
“Impacts of the trade war are just about to unfold, and some are not erasable by whimsical policy changes. It is complacent to assume there will be no structural consequence.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2025
President Trump’s tariff announcements have rattled the previously dominant US financial markets, putting pressure on Treasury yields amid fears of slower growth and rising inflation. Recently, the difference in yield that investors expect for holding Treasuries compared to swaps has increased significantly, signalling a perceived higher risk of holding Treasuries.
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White papersThe forces reshaping China’s labour market
Few things define a nation’s economic story as clearly as its labour market. In China’s case, that story is one of staggering scale, deep-rooted divisions, and rapid transformation. With the largest workforce in the world, China’s labour market should be one of the most closely analysed. Yet opaque information and complexities obstruct conventional analysis.
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White papersAny port in a storm: China’s maritime dominance and section 301
Followers of financial markets over the past decade will undoubtedly have heard of Section 232, the subsection of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 that has been used as the legal justification for the implementation of tariffs on goods such as steel and aluminum.
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White papersWhat Raising the Trade Drawbridge Means for the World Economy
Trade wars threaten longstanding trade partnerships and could weigh on the global economy.
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White papersWorking backwards: Dealing with unprecedented policy uncertainty
A reader waking up from a quarter-long slumber on April 1, 2025 would be forgiven for confusing the headlines for an April Fools’ Day prank.
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White papersWhen geopolitics meets innovation – China’s DeepSeek raises stakes in AI arms race
The emergence of China’s DeepSeek has disrupted the AI landscape and challenged the prevailing narrative about the dominance of the US in this rapidly evolving technology. But could this breakthrough reshape the competitive world of AI – and create potential opportunities for investors?
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WebinarWebinar with Bin Shi – From pessimism to prosperity: How to navigate the China equity turnaround
It is a complex moment in the world today, with disruptive forces on many fronts driving rapid market movements. While China’s equity market has always been fast-moving, volatility has been particularly high recently as sentiment turned optimistic seemingly overnight.
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White papersHow to turn Chinese consumption around
What is limiting Chinese spending and what is Beijing doing about it?
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White papersLocked ‘n’ loaded and ready to fire: first take on China’s National People’s Congress (NPC)
Premier Li Qiang kicked off the annual meetings of the National People’s Congress (NPC) with the government’s Work Report, marking the nation’s biggest political event of the year. Besides a busy calendar of political decision-making, the NPC is also closely watched by markets as Beijing sets the course for the economy and macro policies for the remainder of 2025.
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White papersForget the Magnificent 7: Meet China’s Terrific 10
China’s top tech firms are emerging as global contenders as President Xi Jinping aims to boost innovation and revitalize his country’s economy.
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White papersThe Year of the Snake: Our outlook for China in 2025
As China enters 2025, its economic future will be influenced by market trends, policy changes, and the implications of Trump’s presidency. Hear from our China Equity team as they explore the key developments shaping markets and what investors should expect moving forward.
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White papersChina’s ‘Sputnik moment’
China’s tech sector is surging, fuelling a broader market rally that has grabbed investor attention. With top Chinese companies taking a lead in innovation, the country is gaining influence in cutting-edge industries like AI. Can it sustain the momentum?
