All China articles – Page 8
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White papersChina’s stimulative policy actions: Turning the tide for investors
China’s ongoing struggles with COVID-19 and the country’s lackluster policy response have dismayed investors. In fact, by the end of April, MSCI China had dropped 18% since the start of 2022, credit spreads had widened meaningfully, and the renminbi (RMB) had depreciated almost 4%. However, a series of weak economic numbers appear to have alerted policymakers to the urgency of stabilizing growth.
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White papersInvestors turn to residential opportunities in emerging markets
Emerging markets have been less of a focus for US and European residential investors of late, but there are pockets of opportunities in Brazil and China sparking interest again, writes Stephanie Baxter
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Asset Manager NewsSC Capital Partners sells China industrial/logistics portfolio
SC Capital Partners Group, the Singapore-headquartered private equity real estate firm, has announced the sale of a portfolio of China industrial and logistics assets to a global institutional investment manager, on behalf of its latest closed-end opportunistic fund, Real Estate Capital Asia Partners V (RECAP V). This portfolio sale significantly outperformed RECAP V’s target return of 20% Gross IRR.
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White papersA fireside chat about the renminbi – How far will it fall?
In recent weeks, the renminbi has depreciated significantly against the US dollar. Chi Lo, our senior market strategist in Hong Kong, explains what is happening and give his outlook for the Chinese currency.
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White papersA fireside chat about the Hong Kong dollar as it revisits 7.85
For the first time since 2019, the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) has fallen to the lower end of the Convertibility-Undertaking threshold, under which the Hong Kong Monetary Authority limits the currency’s trading range against the US dollar. Chi Lo, our senior market strategist in Hong Kong, explains what is happening and discusses the mechanism in place to sustain the Hong Kong dollar peg.
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White papersShanghai’s lockdown – What might it mean for global supply chains?
A prolonged Covid-lockdown of Shanghai could cause longer-than-expected disruption to global supply chains and raise inflationary pressure. As one of China’s largest hubs, Shanghai’s manufacturing and transport capacity is simply too big to be replaced elsewhere.
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White papersHold tight for the Chinese demand shock: faith over fear
The extended lockdown in Shanghai and other cities have shattered market confidence, sending Chinese equity market down again over the month. Taking into account the damage of the zero-Covid policy to the Chinese economy, we expect a recession in Q2 and full-year growth to undershoot the government target by a wide margin (Amundi forecast 3.5% versus the 5.5% official target).
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White papersChemical sector under scrutiny in EOS’s Q1 Public Engagement Report
The Q1 Public Engagement Report from EOS at Federated Hermes takes an in-depth look at the decarbonisation challenges faced by the chemical industry. Plus, protecting digital rights and addressing social injustice.
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White papersMore China Lockdowns May Bring More Slowdowns
China’s zero-COVID policy should be a significant headwind to growth, with its impact likely weighing more on consumption than production. Nevertheless, more logistical delays could disrupt manufacturing activity in the months ahead and add to global inflationary pressures.
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White papersMarket snapshot: a glimmer of hope amid China’s lockdowns?
The People’s Bank of China held key interest rates steady this week despite widespread expectations that it would further loosen its monetary response
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White papersThe renminbi’s creeping internationalisation
China has recently revived talks with Saudi Arabia on settling some oil trades in renminbi in a move that many market players see as a first step towards gradually shifting the global oil trade to the renminbi from the US dollar, creating the ‘petro-yuan’.
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White papersHow to think about investing in China today
Despite well-publicised moves to restructure its economy over the past few years, China remains a key investment destination due to the attraction of its enormous domestic market. And as the world’s second-largest economy, China is also deeply interconnected with the global economy in manufacturing supply chains and is increasingly a large portion of multinational corporate revenues. Consequently, understanding and navigating the complexities of China for both domestic and international investing has never been more important.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook: Look to the Horizon in Stormy Seas
Russia’s war on Ukraine has shaken the world. From a massive humanitarian crisis to an energy shock to food insecurity, the ripple effects are already being felt near and far. Even if the conflict ends tomorrow, the invasion could have lasting global consequences. Amid heightened geopolitical tensions, continued volatility over the near term is the only certainty. Below are the top risks—and strategies—we think bond investors should keep in mind.
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White papersChina’s credit growth shows signs of recovery
Despite Beijing’s pledge to ease monetary policy further, financial markets are sceptical about how effective this would be in boosting economic growth. One notable concern is the growing gap between M1 narrow money and M2 broad money growth, which suggests that economic agents would rather save than spend.
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White papersIs the spike in commodity prices sustainable?
For a glimpse of just how volatile commodities currently are, look at nickel markets. Prices doubled in early March. Then they plunged. Then the London Metals Exchange halted trading. This week, the market for nickel — a key component in electric vehicle batteries and stainless steel products — reopened but with strict trading limits.
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White papersAmundi Pension Funds Letter n°14
In this latest edition of Amundi Pension Fund Letter we turn our gaze to China. The world’s second largest economy since 2010, China is now emerging from the United States’ shadow and may well become the world’s leading economic power by 2030.
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White papersChina’s GDP Target: When Lower Means (Much) Higher
The unprecedented nature of the pandemic lockdowns has stretched the ability of standard macroeconomic statistics to properly reflect real-time economic trends.
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White papersDecoding the policy messages from China’s National People’s Congress
The National People’s Congress (NPC), which took place from 5 to 11 March, saw the announcement of a target of 5.5% GDP growth YoY for this year. While many market players interpreted this as being too aggressive, we believe it was a reassuring message.
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VideoAssessing China’s growth outlook
To what extent will slowing exports, regulatory reform, a ‘zero-Covid’ policy, and a cooler property market drag on China’s growth momentum both in 2022 and over the medium term? Should investors get used to – just – 4%-5% annual GDP growth in the world’s second largest economy?
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts and Views - Reasons for cautious optimism in 2022
Emerging markets (EM) faced a backlash in 2021 as a consequence of the Chinese slowdown, rising inflation and – at the end of the year – a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed). As such, investors, including us, have been cautious and very selective on EM assets.
