All China articles – Page 15
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Does it matter if China gets old before it gets rich?
Craig Botham explains why China’s demographic decline may be less of an issue than the medicine required to offset its impact and support strong economic growth.
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US v China: the real agenda behind the trade war
Not since the Cold War has the US had a serious rival superpower. Even in that period of intense nuclear paranoia, a sign mounted inside the Pentagon proclaimed: “If we ever faced a real enemy, we would be in deep trouble”. With the rise of an increasingly powerful, influential and technologically advanced China, that adversary could have arrived.
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A new approach to investing in emerging markets
Gavin Ralston and Kristjan Mee propose a new way of investing in emerging markets to benefit from the opening up of China’s capital markets
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Developments in China’s balance of payments and implications for the RMB
Craig Botham and Kristjan Mee examine key developments in China’s balance of payments, and what they mean for investors.
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Chinese consumers: your country needs you
Consumption now accounts for over half China’s economy, but spending is decreasing
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Weightlifting China - how big will it get?
In this paper we look at how investing in China stands currently and a number of possible ways that this might evolve over time.
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China: Looking at Growth Past the Trade War
China’s growth is decelerating, it is loaded with debt and is involved in a high stakes trade war with the United States. Despite these issues, China’s economy appears to be holding up better than one might have expected. In fact, China’s growth could even accelerate in 2019 in response to aggressive monetary easing.
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China more appealing based on progress in trade negotiations
The recent statements following the bilateral meetings between the US and China suggest that important progress has been made, and more details are emerging compared to the quiet early January round.
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Two Investable Themes in China
The China A-Share market presents a compelling opportunity for quality growth managers, with note two investible themes: a growing middle class and healthcare spending growth.
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Asian Equities: US-China relationship to remain critical
Asia Pacific ex Japan markets started the year well, holding on to gains that were chalked in the strong rally in 2017. But by mid-year, signs of slowing economic growth surfaced, primarily induced by US-China trade tensions, leading to a sharp market correction, particularly for Chinese equities.
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Core Matters - Leveraging on “Made in China 2025”
Since its access to the WTO in late 2001, China has seen a stellar rise of its economy, managing to raise its nominal GDP eight-fold and to become the largest export economy in the world. Its exports shares in several products, especially in computers or mobile phones are beyond 80% of world exports and in a multitude of other items, the country also plays a dominant role.
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Post-G20 Market Implications for U.S. – China
The G20 meeting yielded the U.S.-China trade war cease-fire and the Russia-Saudi Arabia pact to curb oil output. How will they pan out in 2019?
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From G20: Short-Term Relief, But It Is Not The Final Word On Trade Disputes
The latest G20 demonstrates some temporary progress in the US/China relationship. An increase of tariff rates in January 2019 was put on hold and the possibility for an additional tranche of tariffs for the rest of US imports from China ($267bn) is also further delayed, at least. China has found the right entry point to give some concessions to the US on sensitive topics for President Trump.
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A Sea of Opportunities
We are of the opinion that the market has been discounting a far more pessimistic scenario than we currently envisage for emerging markets. EM fundamentals remain strong and we believe that the sell-off provides attractive investment opportunities for long-term investors.
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Global Trade War: Where Do we Stand Now? What Impacts?
A few days before the important meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, it is important to have a clear view on the trade dispute between the two countries and on the potential impacts of a trade war.
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China & Brazil: Currencies on Diverging Paths?
The election of a new leader in Brazil and the escalating Sino-U.S. trade war could send their currencies, the real and yuan, on diverging paths.
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Three Investible Themes in China A-Shares
The China A-Share market presents a compelling opportunity for quality growth managers, thanks in part to its growing new economy.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy: September 2018
Italian budget discussions are going to intensify as the 27th of September approaches, date of publication of the document outlining the new budget law and when there should be more clarity on the key economic projections and deficit targets.
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Trade War Costs to Consumers, Companies and Nations
The trade war between the U.S. and China is showing no sign of abating. What are the costs of the tariffs to consumers, companies and the two nations?
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Emerging or submerging? For investors, that is the question
The world is not just changing, it is being reinvented. Shanghai perhaps, is the epitome of the transformation that we are witnessing. The Bund and its stunning art deco architecture are still there, but across the river, the old fishing village of Pudong has been turned into a forest of magnificent skyscrapers. It is China’s hypermodern interpretation of a 21st century Manhattan.