All China articles – Page 14
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White papersChina: A weighty issue?
Much time and effort has been devoted to under- standing the recent rise of China as a major global economic power. It is, however, important to also note that China (or at least the precursor territories making up modern China) was the largest single economy in the world until the late 1800s and had been so for several hundred years. This isn’t surprising, as people have lived a subsistence or agrarian existence with fairly low output per capita for most of human history.
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White papersChanging China
In little over 40 years, China has emerged onto the global scene as a key player in the world economy. It has regained a self-confidence last seen centuries ago. This rapid ascent has prompted change in global ideas about politics, economics and world order. Rather than rush headlong into capitalism, China has tried to modernise the planned economy, implementing incremental changes and downplaying any discussion of the ultimate goal.
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White papersUS-China Trade War: Walking a Tightrope
Donald Trump proposed additional 10% tariffs on a further US$300 billion worth of Chinese imports from 1 September. This is surprising, given that the two countries appeared to have found some common ground at the G20 meeting in June. However, the truce was short-lived and China responded with its own set of measures in form of a suspension of US agricultural imports and currency devaluation, which could further escalate the situation.
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White papersAre Distressed Small Banks Putting China’s Banking System at Risk?
It’s been 20 years since a Chinese bank failed. But recent bailouts of three regional lenders have raised concerns about systemic problems in China’s financial sector. While risks have grown for China’s smaller banks, we believe that the Chinese banking system remains robust.
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White papersThe impact of African Swine Fever on the agricultural industry: a complex puzzle
The outbreak of African Swine Fever (ASF) in China is making headlines as it impacts the biggest pork market in the world. Industry experts consider this a ‘transformational event’ for the global pork sector that is ‘creating a devastating effect.
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White papersWill trade tensions reshape the world order?
The protectionist wave will almost certainly have a chilling effect on the global economy. But trade growth was slowing well before the US-China spat. In the latest Ahead of the Curve, we assess whether the tariff war is disruptive or merely accelerating trends already underway. And will we find opportunities in this fragmented global system, or only challenges?
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White papersTime is running out to solve China’s debt bubble
Many investors are focused on the outlook for trade talks with the US, fearing an all-out trade war which would negatively impact global, and especially Chinese, equity markets. But investors underestimate the mounting problems caused by the recent rapid expansion of credit in China. Only radical solutions now remain to resolve the country’s growing credit bubble, says Paul Smillie.
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White papersChina’s Currency Weakness: Not as Bad as it Seems—Yet
China’s currency depreciated this week, with the exchange rate rising to more than 7.0 renminbi per US dollar, unnerving investors and markets worldwide. Here’s the good news: we don’t think the renminbi will continue to weaken at the same pace.
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White papersThe Great Disappearing Trade Deal
The Great China Trade Deal evaporated before our eyes last week and investors should stop hoping it back into existence. In the increasingly tense relationship between Washington and Beijing, tariffs, retaliation and escalation are all just part of the furniture now.
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White papersChina's Sci-Tech Board: Hope Or Hype?
What the new Nasdaq-Style exchange could mean for investors.
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White papersInvesting in China: Tapping into Long-Term Opportunities
Ghadir Cooper, Global Head of Equities, recently joined a round table with Pensions & Investments to discuss the opportunity set in China. Despite slowed growth and trade concerns, she believes there are several reasons why investors should remain optimistic.
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White papersChina’s Great Wall of Worry: Myths vs. Realities
China’s rise as a preeminent economic power makes it impossible for globally minded investors to ignore. With the integration of China’s domestic-listed equities and bonds into major global indices, the potential of investing in the broad economy is increasingly opening to the world. It’s time, then, for investors to familiarize themselves with misconceptions that can distort the view of China’s economy and corporate landscape.
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White papers
Evaluating the Effects of China’s Pork Crisis
African swine fever is ravaging China’s pork supply and having a global impact on protein prices. For equity investors, the crisis serves as a reminder that even amid trade-war uncertainty, research into domestic trends can help investors access the country’s vast stock market.
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White papersUS / China Trade Tensions Are Testing Investors’ Nerves
Long-term investors view market volatility as a buying opportunity.
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White papersUS-China trade: continuing the talks while making the war
In our opinion, investors should dismiss the idea that talks could break down, albeit uncertainties remain. Recent work has focused on details and wording, with the majority of the agreement document having been completed. However, several major issues remain, and on these it is largely up to Trump and XI to make final decisions.
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White papersThe Case for China Logistics
China’s logistics sector is anchored by the country’s large population and economic base, and its domestic long-term fundamental growth drivers, despite the rise of global trade protectionism.
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White papers
Grain, Oilseed Prices Dance to a new Global Tune
As global crop production diversifies geographically, prices for corn, soybean and wheat are becoming more sensitive to currencies like the ruble and real.
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White papersFX Leadership
Can the U.S. dollar maintain its leadership of global currencies amid a decelerating economy and the China trade war elevating risk in the United States?
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White papersChina's Century? The Economic Giant's Next Act
Promising future if current efforts result in a sturdier and more sustainable economy.
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White papersHow to Approach a More Accessible Chinese Equity Market
As China continues to open up its capital markets to international investors and its representation in the global equity opportunity set expands, there is no doubt that investors are on the cusp of an exciting chapter for Chinese equities. Historically a closed asset class, China A-shares have become more accessible to global investors as the Chinese government introduced a number of measures to encourage foreign participation.
