All Brexit articles – Page 2
-
White papersGenerali Investments SICAV (GIS) SRI Ageing Population Fund Celebrating 4 years of success!
What are the most important lessons learned in terms of the performance since GIS SRI Ageing Population (the Fund) was launched in 2015?
-
White papersBrexit extension will ease uncertainty looming on UK assets
Recent developments and next steps: Following the three-month extension granted to the UK by the EU on 28 October and the newly announced snap election, the most likely outcome is that the Withdrawal Agreement signed on 17 October between the United Kingdom and the EU will be ratified, leading to an orderly Brexit and the initiation of a transition period during which the United Kingdom will retain most of its access to the EU single market until at least end-2020. The risk of a no-deal Brexit is now greatly diminished.
-
White papersBrexit: revamping the fiscal toolbox
The Brexit referendum was more than three years ago, but it is still not clear when the UK will leave the European Union (EU). Business has suffered and consumers may start to feel the pinch, particularly if there is a cliff-edge exit at the end of the transition period. As we head into early elections on 12 December, we consider how it may be up to fiscal policies to weather the fallout.
-
White papersEarnings Kick Into Gear as Brexit Drama Heightens
With 34% of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, so far profits aren’t as bad as expected; risk of a no-deal Brexit recedes and positive signs from the U.S.-China Trade War.
-
%2C+The+Bad+(Global+Outlook)+%26+The+Ugly+(Trade).png)
White papersThe Good (Consumer), The Bad (Global Outlook) & The Ugly (Trade)
The IMF downgrades its global growth outlook, the Fed’s Beige Book notes household spending remains positive and a Brexit deal is on the table.
-
White papersCore Matters Investment Returns: A 5-year perspective
2019 has seen huge inflows into Fixed Income (FI) funds and outflows from Equities. From a medium-term return perspective this makes no sense. The formidable demand for safe assets reflects cyclical and structural forces (e.g. ageing). No matter the economic scenario, FI returns over the next five years are ...
-
White papersLiquidity Dilemma Needs A Regulatory Response
A few high-profile fund suspensions have recently driven the focus back to market liquidity and how this can affect the ability of funds to meet certain redemption scenarios. Despite ample liquidity at the macro level, some areas of strain remain at the micro level and could worsen in case of a material deterioration of economic conditions, a recession or a spike in volatility.
-
White papersA Tug Of War Between The U.S. Consumer & Everyone Else
The three things you need to know this week: Third quarter S&P 500 earnings expectations are in decline, the U.S. slapped new tariffs on EU imports and a new Brexit plan was announced.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - October 2019
Over the past few weeks markets have fluctuated between positive news around geopolitics (US-China trade talks, Italy and receding risks of no-deal Brexit) and not so good news around economic data (German recession, US manufacturing and Chinese slowdown). This led to a rebound in equities and a rise in core bond yields.
-
White papersBrexit: Extension Of The Deadline Is Likely, But The Final Outcome Remains Uncertain
Recent developments and next steps: Early this month, the UK Parliament passed a motion instructing the Prime Minister (PM) Boris Johnson to request an extension of the Brexit deadline by 19 October, and rejected the PM’s request for elections before 31 October (the current Brexit deadline).
-
White papersRisk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019
Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina resurfaced, the UK’s parliament was suspended over Brexit chaos and Italy witnessed a political crisis of its own, although a government seems in sight now.
-
White papersView on Italy: beyond the short term
The end of the political crisis and next steps for the new government: The new pro-European government looks to be willing to move in a different direction vs the previous one, with an agenda focused on green and socially inclusive policies. It is difficult to project how long this new coalition will last, but it will certainly have to address the next budget law. We expect to see some expansionary measures (lower labour costs plus investment spending), but without putting public finances at risk. However, the available room for manoeuvre is narrow.
-
Asset Manager NewsECB Easing and Trade Deescalation Boost Markets
The three things you need to know this week: More signs are pointing to U.S.-China trade war de-escalation, ECB launches new stimulus and the PBOC cuts required reserve ratios.
-
White papersBritain’s Most Likely Destination
It Won’t Become Some Sort of Hermit Kingdom in the North Sea.
-
White papersMeasuring the market impact of geopolitics
Geopolitical risk is on the rise and investors will increasingly need to take it into account in the coming years. Our analysis looks at how it can impact portfolios and what investors can do about it in terms of strategy.
-
White papersEuropean high streets brace themselves for change
Hardly a day goes by without at least one negative headline bemoaning the impact of disruption in retail markets on high streets and shopping centres. While this is true in the US and the UK, Chris Urwin examines whether European high streets will face a similar threat.
-
White papersInitial repercussions of U.K.'s new prime minister
In the first week that Boris Johnson became Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, the Pound Sterling fell by 3.0% against the U.S. Dollar and the odds of a messy no-deal Brexit rose sharply.
-
White papersHalf-time: Europe ex-UK outperforms in H1
After a difficult end to 2018, European equity markets have powered back over the first six months of this year, buoyed by the dovish pivots of central banks. Against this backdrop, we ask: how has our Europe ex-UK fund fared so far this year, and what can we expect for the rest of 2019?
-
White papersRe-imagining partnerships in infrastructure finance
While the shape of the UK’s future relationship with its European neighbours is still unclear, the question of how to finance infrastructure fit for the 21st century is equally pressing, argues Darryl Murphy.
-
White papersMidyear Bond Outlook: Making Sense of Conflicting Signals
The first half of 2019 was kind to financial markets. Will the good times keep on rolling? In our view, that will depend on whether loosening monetary policy is still an effective way to boost growth.
