All Brexit articles – Page 4
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White papers
Brexit muddle-through towards the approaching parliamentary vote
The Brexit-related newsflow since the UK/EU agreement on 25 November 2018 has been quite intense. In our view, it has slightly increased the probability that the UK remains in the EU beyond March 2019, thus prolonging the uncertainty over how (and even whether) Brexit will happen.
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White papers
Brexit Muddle-Through Towards The Approaching The Confidence Vote
The newsflow concerning Brexit has been quite intense since the UK government was able to secure an agreement with the EU on 25 November 2018. The most notable developments have been:
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White papers
UK Real Estate Market Outlook - February 2019
The UK economy: continued resilience in the face of ongoing uncertainty
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Brexit: Where do we stand and what should investors expect?
Where we stand and possible scenarios ahead: After the EU approval of Brexit deal, we are going to pass through some tough times until the UK parliamentary vote on Brexit Withdrawal Agreement in December.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy: September 2018
Italian budget discussions are going to intensify as the 27th of September approaches, date of publication of the document outlining the new budget law and when there should be more clarity on the key economic projections and deficit targets.
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White papers
UK Real Estate Market Outlook
The start of 2018 saw a slowdown in the UK economy, with real GDP growing by only 0.2% over the first quarter. The arrival of the so-called “Beast from the East” storm in March, bringing construction to a standstill and deterring consumers from hitting the shops, contributed in part to this lacklustre expansion.
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White papers
Political Event Risk Raises Stakes for Sudden Price Moves
Major political event risk, ranging from elections in Mexico, Brazil and the U.S., to Brexit and NAFTA negotiations, could swing equity, bond, FX and ags markets.
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Economic and Property Market Review: Q1 2018
The UK economy had a reasonably good start to the year.
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Global Economic Outlook: More of the same for 2018?
2017 was a surprisingly calm year for the global economy. Despite the economic and geopolitical concerns voiced at the beginning of the year, fears over Brexit, Chinese debt, rising populism across Europe and Trump’s legislative agenda had negligible effect on world growth.
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White papers
Brexit offers buying opportunity after temporary set-back
Since the Brexit vote in June 2016, the UK has gone from a macroeconomic outperformer to an underperformer due to the extended uncertainty on the final terms of the separation.
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White papers
The case for Europe: UK investors should look to expand their property exposure onto the Continent to increase their diversification
We at DTZ Investors are forecasting total returns from UK real estate to moderate in the near term and such a market outlook is encouraging an increasing number of traditionally domestic-focused property investors to consider opportunities overseas, with a resurgent Europe closest to home.
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White papers
Brexit: How the future trade agreement is going to shape UK financial assets
This year will be crucial for the future of United Kingdom’s relationship with the European Union following Brexit. The next round of negotiation talks will take place between February and March, and will focus on defining a two-year transition agreement.
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White papers
How did the UK market exceed all expectations in 2017, and can we expect more of the same this year?
If any UK property market forecaster had stood up at the start of the year and predicted that in December we would be debating whether the market will quite hit double digit returns for the year, not even the most bullish observer would have taken them seriously.
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White papers
Logistics: the logical next step
Logistics was the most attractive sector in our last quarterly report, triggering this closer look at the broader European markets with a special focus on a new big data application and the post-Brexit UK market.
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White papers
The outcome of Brexit matters for the UK’s balance of payments
Ben Rodriguez argues that Brexit could have a significant impact on the UK’s balance of payments, which would, in turn, influence returns from UK assets.
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White papers
Disruptive change leads to opportunity
Any form of uncertainty is disruptive. The hung parliament result of the June general election, with no party obtaining a majority, created renewed doubt at a time when the electorate needed strong leadership and direction to navigate the complicated process of Brexit.
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White papers
UK Real Estate Market Outlook: July 2017
Economic momentum appears to have continued into 2017, but has been modest – growth in real GDP in the first quarter, at 0.2%, was below expectations.
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UK real estate market commentary: June 2017
The sharp depreciation in sterling since last year’s Brexit vote has pushed up inflation to almost 3% and cut real incomes and consumer spending. While a lower exchange rate ought to boost exports, UK exports have so far been flat, possibly because foreign buyers are concerned about future tariffs.
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White papers
Continental European real estate market commentary: June 2017
The eurozone economy appears to have entered a more robust recovery cycle, as faster growth leads to stronger investment. While Emmanuel Macron’s election as French president has improved business confidence across the region, the key to increasing investment has been the steady fall in industrial spare capacity since 2013 combined with low interest rates.
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White papers
Putting clients first as Brexit begins
The Brexit negotiations will determine the shape of the UK’s future relationship with the European Union, setting out the structural framework within which asset managers and other businesses will need to operate.