All Asset allocation articles – Page 9
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation – Q2 2026
Our quarterly Relative Value and Tactical Asset Allocation combines insights from our investment teams and the Global Economic and Market Strategy team to assess relative value across major asset classes.
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White papersMuni bonds have been resilient amid uncertainty
The municipal bond market had a bumpy start to 2026, but Nuveen’s latest quarterly outlook suggests the story is far from over. With taxable-equivalent yields near historic highs, record fund inflows, and a steep yield curve rewarding those willing to extend duration, there may be more opportunity in today’s volatility than meets the eye. From credit divergence in health care and higher education to shifting technical conditions, the details matter. Explore the full report to see how Nuveen is navigating the landscape heading into the second quarter.
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White papersBetween Two Phases
Even if the U.S. ends its war with Iran in the next few weeks, it’s uncertain whether the Strait of Hormuz will reopen in the near term, likely keeping oil prices elevated. We outline two key phases to assess where we go from here.
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White papersPrivate Assets in Portfolios: Reassessing the Strategic Case
The private credit industry has been under intense focus in the early months of this year, with questions being raised about its role in portfolios. The Achilles heel of the industry has always been the charge that it is untested, at least in its present form, in a default cycle. Do recent developments mark such a fear coming to fruition?
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2026
US foreign policy became the key variable for financial markets in the first quarter. As the Middle-East conflict expands, oil price shocks could become stagflationary, but it’s too early to know the magnitude. Our base case is that the global economy will remain resilient to this shock—as it has to many others this cycle.
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White papersPrivate credit under pressure, but opportunities still exist
The private credit industry, now totaling $2.2 trillion in assets and growing, is coming under increasing pressure as the conditions that supported its rapid growth have fundamentally changed. Driven by strong investor demand for yield and the pullback of traditional bank lending following post-GFC regulatory reforms, private credit funds stepped in to fill the gap, benefiting from greater underwriting flexibility and a willingness to finance borrowers that traditional lenders were less inclined to support.
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White papersHolding Onto Assets Is Now an Opportunity Cost
In a recent interview with IPE Real Assets, Nick Pink argues that investors who keep waiting for better conditions risk missing strong current opportunities in European real estate, where high quality assets are still achieving solid pricing and the cost of delaying could lead to lost value and diminished returns.
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White papersMacro Outlook Q2: The economy and markets
Global growth is holding up, inflation is cooling, but geopolitical risks are adding a layer of complexity that investors can’t ignore. From the ripple effects of elevated oil prices to what central banks do next, the economic picture heading into the rest of 2026 is full of nuance. Nuveen’s latest outlook cuts through the noise with clear, grounded analysis to help you make sense of what’s happening and what it means for your portfolio. Read the full update to stay ahead of what matters most.
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White papersPrivate Markets View: 2026 Outlook
We believe the opportunity set for Private Market strategies remains deep.
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White papersLNG Shock – but in a war, someone is always making money
In this note, Jim Wright, Fund Manager of the Premier Miton Global Infrastructure Income Fund, examines the reported damage to Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG terminal - a facility responsible for around 20% of global imported LNG - and the shockwaves it has sent through energy markets. He also highlights how rapidly expanding LNG capacity in the US and Canada positions North America to play an increasingly important role in supporting global supply in the years ahead.
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VideoContingent capital; a strong case in today’s fixed income market
In this edition of Talking Markets Lloyd Harris, Head of Fixed Income at Premier Miton, discusses how stronger bank capital positions and post‑crisis regulation continue to reshape the contingent capital landscape. He shares why CoCos are increasingly compelling for income‑focused investors, offering a robustness that has held up well through recent market stresses.
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White papersBeyond Bonds: The role Hedge Funds could play in portfolios
Investors over the past few years have had to grapple with elevated geopolitical challenges and uncertainty both over the direction and level of interest rates across the globe. While equity markets have attained record highs, albeit buffeted by the occasional bouts of volatility the same cannot be said for fixed income markets.
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PodcastManaging multi-asset portfolios amid the volatility
The Middle East conflict and the resulting oil price surge have left the global economy – and investors – on a knife-edge. If the conflict is short-lived, the cross-asset market reaction would be to reverse the recent fall in valuations… Should the war drag on, time will play against the global economy and price stability – a polar opposite scenario in which equity valuations would fall further.
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White papersOut of the Black Box: Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs via Conditional Probabilities
Autoregressive LLMs generate text by sampling from estimated probability distributions over the next token, conditional on preceding context. We leverage these conditional probabilities to construct an entropy-based measure of prediction uncertainty, which we term inner confidence. Predictions with higher inner confidence are systematically more accurate.
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White papersPure momentum
Momentum trading strategies exploit return persistence, but conventional past-year cumulative-return measures generate a noisy signal that attenuates performance. We propose a pure momentum strategy that identifies trends directly from daily returns. Our method reduces volatility, tail risk, and transaction costs while enhancing profitability. Performance is primarily driven by long positions in winners, supporting theories postulating overconfidence. The bad news, instead, appears to be incorporated more slowly. In particular, we show that omitting the most recent month is unnecessary to identify winners.
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PodcastIran: A temporary shock or a persistent shift? - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
The war in Iran has shaken markets and is threatening the stability of the global economy. As energy prices surge and the news flow comes thick and fast, this month’s host, Silvia Di Silvio, speaks to Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, to hear her thinking on the crisis and how it is changing Amundi’s investment views.
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White papersBroadening perspectives: Top 10 with… Interview with Ulrich Keller on UGA Solutions
As investors seek broader diversification across alternative asset classes, Unified Global Alternatives (UGA) – Solutions is evolving to meet these demands with flexibility and scale.
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White papersHow North American insurers are positioning for 2026: From building to optimizing
One forecast is a data point. Two hundred and thirty-eight of them start to tell a story. Nuveen’s fourth annual EQuilibrium insurance survey reveals how North American insurers are navigating 2026: maturing their private credit allocations, quietly shifting geographic exposure and leaning into the infrastructure opportunities created by AI and the energy transition. Explore the full survey to see how your peers are positioning and what it might mean for your own outlook.
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White papersIntegrating Geopolitical Risk Into Low Volatility Factor Construction
Financial markets respond not only to quantitative fundamentals but also to narratives that shape investor perceptions of risk, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical uncertainty. While the low volatility factor has demonstrated robust risk adjusted performance across markets, its construction is typically static and does not account for narrative-driven fluctuations in risk.
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White papersCommercial real estate: Early-cycle advantage as investors reevaluate private credit
Commercial real estate (CRE) is drawing renewed attention as investors reassess allocations amid rising concerns about the durability of private credit returns. Slowing earnings growth, elevated leverage, and tighter refinancing conditions have raised questions about the performance trajectory of some private credit strategies…
