All White papers articles – Page 326
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White papersThe False Dawn of Big Tech Regulation?
Calls for increased regulation of tech giants have indeed grown—but will they have the desired impact? In our opinion, the focus on “big is bad” is simply ineffective in a digital world.
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White papersHigh Yield: Strong Tailwinds, But It May be a Bumpy Ride
High yield has a number of supportive tailwinds at its back—from a more manageable default picture and less exposure to potentially rising rates to investors’ continued demand for yield. But uncertainties remain, suggesting a potentially bumpy path to recovery.
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White papersCLOs: Cautious Optimism
Coming off a tumultuous year, CLOs look well-positioned going forward—particularly if the economy continues to heal and rates move higher.
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White papersIs the euro’s rise a sign of greater resilience?
The complexity and fragility of European institutions have contributed to maintaining a specific political risk premium on European assets, including the euro. But institutions were ultimately strengthened when negotiators agreed in July to launch the New Generation EU package. The euro’s recent appreciation may be an early sign of decline in this “risk premium”.
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White papersUnited States: the power of Executive Orders
Following the elections in Georgia, the Democrats have a very small majority in Congress. To facilitate governance, the new administration is likely to continue to govern using Executive Orders (EOs). Their use has grown over time, and they have become a full-fledged instrument of governance.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - January 2021
This month, we update the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios, taking into account 4Q20 developments in vaccinations, fiscal and monetary policies, and (geo)politics. We have a higher conviction on our central scenario and we are raising its probability from 65% to 75%. We are lowering the probability of our downside scenario from 25% to 15%, which remains above historical levels.
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White papers2021 global outlook reassessed
As the Q420 is now closed, we confirm the “financial recovery regime” as our central scenario for 2021 with a higher conviction than in Q320. We expect better corporate fundamentals at a global level going forward. The rebound of EPS growth will eventually validate current asset price levels in the context of low interest rates. This explains our cautious optimism for the coming quarters.
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White papersPodcast: Making the Case for Value
Over the past decade, we have seen that growth investing has had a tremendous run and was considered the first choice in approach for investing in stocks. However, for the last several months and for the first time in quite a few years, market conditions seem to suggest that now value has started to become the more popular option.
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White papersChart of the week – 2020 market wrap
The extraordinary sequence of events that unfolded in 2020 from virus outbreak to lockdowns, then from large-scale stimulus to vaccines, produced unusually broad market gains for most asset classes in absolute terms.
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White papersEMD: Light at the End of the Tunnel
The rollout of the COVID vaccine may be slower across emerging markets, meaning restrictions will likely remain in place for the foreseeable future. But there are bright spots—including in local currencies and companies that have adapted to this ‘new normal’.
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White papersHidden factors: exploring equity market behaviour in 2020
At the beginning of a new year, it’s customary to look both back to the past and forward to the future. This year, it would be tempting to focus on a future in which the coronavirus is finally brought under control, gladly turning our backs on 2020 and consigning it to the annals of history. However, looking at the extreme market events of the past 12 months can provide some valuable insights for investors.
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White papersBiden, Taxes and Your Portfolio
Higher personal taxation under a Biden administration could strengthen the case for municipal bonds and tax-managed equity strategies.
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White papersWater: a pervasive resource and a portfolio staple
The transition of many economies from a depletive to a sustainable model with better social and environmental outcomes creates a wide range of investment opportunities in many areas including water, a resource that is fundamental to not only life, but also across end-markets from the consumer to industrial businesses.
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White papersIs infrastructure key to a sustainable recovery?
Infrastructure investment is about financing the real economy, meaning few investments are better placed to deliver a sustainable future.
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White papersFew Things Are Riskier Than Consensus
Investors should be concerned that market participants have begun 2021 with their views and positioning arguably more closely aligned than they have been for years.
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White papersECB QE Monitor - January 2021
In December, the ECB bought €57.2bn under the PEPP and €21.1bn under the APP.
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White papersBiden and Democrats take control despite Trump protesters
The 2020 US general elections ended on 6 January 2021 with a Democratic sweep of two critical Georgia Senate seats, giving Democrats a slim majority and control of government until at least the next round of Congressional elections in two years. The stunning developments on Capitol Hill will not change the significance of the Georgia election, which will have far-reaching implications for Biden’s policy agenda and financial markets.
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White papersVaccine Distribution, Administration, Logistics & Mutant SARS-CoV2 Strains
In an effort to bring timely insights during these uncertain times, we are pleased to share an update from Terri Towers, PhD, Senior Healthcare Analyst, who shares her views on the COVID-19 (“Coronavirus”) pandemic.
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White papersHow can social bonds support a sustainable recovery?
Social bonds could help mitigate the economic damage caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, at least in the short term. While on the surface, most bond issuances appear well-intentioned, all market participants need do their homework to ensure they are directing capital to the right social causes.
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White papersChina’s strategy supports a bullish view on emerging Asia
China’s economic policy focus on domestic and, by extension regional, growth argues for a bullish view on Asian emerging markets in the face of the far-reaching effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
