All White papers articles – Page 246
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White papersThe ECB’s Trilemma
Are we seeing the start of another eurozone crisis, or can the ECB fashion an effective tool to manage volatile southern European bond spreads?
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White papersThe Decisive Eye: A strategic bulletin on issues and opportunities in European real assets
The world economy is experiencing a level of inflation not seen since the oil price shock of the early 1980s with policymakers dusting off old playbooks to ensure price increases do not become deeply entrenched.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - July 2022
Dramatic price action has taken place over the past weeks in equities and bonds, following hot inflation prints, central bank (CB) actions and rising concerns over economic growth. These events are a reminder of the regime shift, in which we are witnessing the resurgence of stagflationary risks and central banks trying to assert their credibility.
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White papersCredit Factor Investing with Machine Learning techniques
The most common models to assess asset returns are a linear combination of risk factors. We have employed tree-based machine learning algorithms to capture nonlinearities and detect interaction effects among risk factors in the EUR and USD credit space. We have built a nonlinear credit pricing model and compared it to our baseline linear credit pricing model using error metrics on training and testing sets and during different periods.
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White papersH2 2022 Investment Outlook - Life above zero: investors’ journey at a time of rising rates
We started the year with expectations of strong growth and high inflation throughout the first part of 2022. The Russia-Ukraine war accentuated the inflationary trend, now well above Central Bank (CB) targets, which is now set to persist longer than expected.
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White papersFinding a third way between throttling energy demand and dirty fossil fuel
The war in Ukraine is significantly impacting energy security, particularly in Europe. Beyond oil & gas markets, the conflict has a variety of negative macroeconomic effects. Notably, the fighting in Ukraine and the resulting sanctions on Russia are disrupting commodity supplies, exacerbating ‘cost push’ inflation set in motion by the pandemic and its aftermath.
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White papersSticker Shock Sinks In
Investor sentiment has whipsawed in recent weeks amid focus on growth risks. U.S. and euro area PMIs underperformed and real U.S. spending fell for the first time since November. On the other hand, China has taken a step to relax restrictions. Watch for U.S. jobs data next week.
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White papersESG Global Study 2022
Many investors are contemplating how to integrate environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues into their investing decisions. In this, our second ESG annual study, we surveyed more than 1,100 global professionals, including advisors, consultants and intermediaries. The result is a comprehensive report providing in-depth ESG insights, thoughts on ESG trends and views regarding ESG regulation.
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White papersREITs and inflation: How public real estate may act as an inflation hedge
Not since the 1980s has the U.S. seen the levels of inflation currently being experienced (Exhibit 1). Moreover, with signs of stress in supply chains still evident from sharply higher commodity prices as a result of the war in Ukraine and reduced cross-border mobility on mounting geopolitical frictions, inflation is morphing from the more traditional, tamer form of demand-pull that has prevailed over the past few decades, into more sinister cost push inflation.
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White papersA complementary allocation in an institutional investor’s portfolio
Since its emergence as an asset class in the 1990s, infrastructure has increasingly been featured as a distinct allocation within institutional investment portfolios.
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White papersEnhancing customer experience on the Indiana Toll Road and building pathways to a diverse ability talent pool
Customer and community stewardship are high on the agenda at Indiana Toll Road Concession Company (ITR), the company managing the 157-mile-long toll road stretching across Northern Indiana in the US.
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White papersEuropean Logistics Reaching a Turning Point
The ECB has signaled a 25-50 bps rate hike in July and September as on the back of the on-going Ukraine conflict, inflation has continued to move up. Depending on the country, European government bonds have spiked by 100-200 bps over the last three months. These higher bond yields will impact on logistics markets as measured by our new Jun-22 base case and downside scenarios.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – US, Edition 2 - 2022
Growing economic uncertainty based on weaker consumer sentiment and inflation concerns increases the importance of focusing on durable income growth across real estate sectors, metros, and product types. Continued strong industrial and apartment return performance is anticipated, but at a lower margin than 2021, given interest rate pressures. We expect a deteriorating performance for office and a gradual strengthening in retail performance through 2022.
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White papers2022 Midyear Outlook - Long-term perspective on markets and economies
We are living through a pivotal time in history, marked by geopolitical realignment, high inflation, volatile financial markets and the end of a 40-year period of declining interest rates. The title of this new era could be Brave New World or Back to the Future. But the title I would select is Revenge of the Boomers, because a lot of these events are rhyming with the past, particularly the early 1960s.
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White papersNCREIF review and outlook: Q1 2022
Stellar private real estate returns continue; but poised to decelerate
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White papersResponsible Investment Quarterly - Q1 2022
Welcome to the newly designed Responsible Investment Quarterly. Over a number of years we have developed the publication to showcase Columbia Threadneedle Investment’s responsible investment (RI) capabilities across Europe, Asia and the US. In this new incarnation we wanted to focus more on the RI research embedded within our investment process, and how it supports and furthers our investment approach across the globe.
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White papersFocus on Spain: macroeconomic projections and fixed income view
Under our scenario and assumptions, Spanish GDP is projected to grow at 4.2% in 2022, moving below 2% in 2023, significantly below Banco de España projections for 2023 and 2024 at 2.8% and 2.6%, respectively, as we expect the current environment of higher energy and gas prices and high inflation to negatively affect consumers, companies and activity.
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White papersMacroeconomic projections for the Italian economy and fixed income implications
Amid the cost of living crisis, ongoing since last autumn, Italy saw unexpected resilience in Q1 as the initial GDP growth estimate of -0.2% was revised up to 0.1% QoQ. However, there was no good news on domestic demand: a 0.8% QoQ contraction in household consumption does not bode well for the future, as consumer confidence declined further during Q2.
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White papersOptimising the core – how insurers can enhance fixed income portfolios
Insurers are increasingly looking to broaden their staple diets of traditional fixed income and introduce exotic flavours of credit to the core investment portfolio in order to satisfy their appetite for higher risk-adjusted returns, diversification of risk and greater capital efficiency.
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White papersUsing AI to find the best locations for urban logistics hubs
The ongoing repercussions of COVID-19 have dealt a cruel blow to many market sectors, but some are benefitting. E-commerce is one clear winner.
