All White papers articles – Page 244
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 3Q 2022
Central bank monetary tightening has arrived, with a resulting shift upward in market interest rates and widened credit spreads. Although there is risk to the upside, we believe that inflation will ease from peak levels but remain elevated above targets until well into next year. In this environment we are seeing opportunities across credit sectors. Continued macro volatility will keep spreads “two-way,” while positive underlying fundamentals across a range of sectors should provide support.
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White papersFarewell, Forward Guidance
The ECB went big, ending the era of negative rates by raising interest rates 50bps. The central bank is focused on ensuring an even transmission of monetary policy and unveiled its new anti-fragmentation tool.
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White papersECB meeting: larger-than-expected rate hike, with new fragmentation tool outlined
What is your take on the July ECB meeting and what could the next steps be?
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White papersItaly swimming in uncertain waters as PM Draghi resigns
Given the resignation of Prime Minister (PM) Draghi, what scenarios does Italy face?
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White papersReal Estate: Built to Withstand Both Inflation and a Slowdown
Real estate could serve as a foundation for portfolios in an environment of high inflation, rising interest rates and slowing growth, and investing at the real estate company level can offer valuable advantages during a time of market uncertainty.
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White papersHarnessing technological trends within infrastructure
Disruptive technological changes are already shifting the ways in which consumers, businesses and governments behave, and this is evolving at an unprecedented rate. Innovations in a diverse range of industries have not only unleashed new technology applications, but also uncovered new intersections across different fields and sectors.
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White papersAmundi Pension Funds Letter n°15
As holidaymakers resume their familiar summer breaks and crowds return to the Champs-Elysées to cheer on the final stage of the 2022 Tour de France, elsewhere established customs and trends seem less secure. One could say that this period of transition has been ongoing for some time. But in 2022, a new phase clearly unfolded, one unique to our times, but at the same time also hugely familiar. A phase where everything takes on a geopolitical slant.
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White papersZero-Covid weighs on China’s growth in Q2
A weak second quarter for China’s economy, with GDP growth narrowly avoiding contraction, might mark the low for this cycle (disregarding the pandemic-related dip in Q1 2020). However, even with intense policy support for the economy and less stringent Covid restrictions, any recovery looks set to be gradual at best, leaving 2022 growth short of the official 5.5% target.
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White papersWhiplash!
Hard economic data has remained strong, but recession risks are on the rise. Combined with limited forward guidance from Central Banks, this has left markets to have to decipher what each data print will mean for monetary policy and the path of rates.
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White papersUK housing shortfall – crisis or opportunity?
There is a saying that an Englishman’s home is his castle. Although not all UK housing is medieval, it is starting to creak with age. The UK has the oldest housing stock in Europe. Nearly 40% of residential property was built before the end of the Second World War. More than one in five dwellings has been standing for more than a century.
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White papersAccelerated Migration Post-Pandemic Drives Real Estate Returns - Q2 2022
The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic largely accelerated many location changes that began before March 2020. Nationwide, some migratory patterns related to American industry and demographic shifts became more pronounced by type of region, metro, and location − some areas experienced unprecedented booms, while others reported sizeable declines.
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White papersUnwavering Resolve
Central banks are increasingly worried they might be losing an inflation battle that could now be generational, so expect them to get much more aggressive to catch up.
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White papersMidyear Strategic Investment Outlook: What Does the Market Move Mean for Strategic Investors?
Many people say they like to be long-term investors. It’s a laudable ambition, but often the short term gets in the way. Our notes typically focus on the strategic horizon, but when the S&P 500 falls by 20%, 10-year Treasury yields rise by 140 basis points and Bitcoin is down by 60% since the start of 2022, strategic investors need to respond.
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White papersEconomic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We see increasing likelihood of a recession, but even if we avoid one, we think the coming months are going to feel like a recession as the decline in stock market valuations in the first half of the year are likely followed by a decline in corporate earnings in the second half.
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White papersFossil fuels: Here to stay or heading for extinction?
Beyond the headline net zero commitments and frequently reoccurring climate platitudes, reducing carbon emissions in line with global targets will require some seriously heavy lifting, particularly by companies with long histories of traditional energy generation.
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White papersBraving bear markets: 5 lessons from seasoned investors
Stock markets around the world have entered bear territory. The MSCI ACWI slid over 20% for the six months ended June 30, 2022. Today, many investors are focused on the likelihood of recession and more pain ahead.
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White papersWhen short term pain can bring long term gains
2022 has not been a great time for bonds. The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index and Bloomberg US Treasury Index both hit historical lows, returning -13.9% and -9.1%, respectively, in the first 6 months of 20221 . Meanwhile, risky asset classes also sold off significantly, which has led to many investors questioning the role of bonds as a diversifier to equities.
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White papers5G: Worry-Free Warranty Goes Mainstream
As adoption of connected technology increases, so does the case for device insurance. What opportunities could this bring?
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White papersFixing Defined Contribution: A five-pronged approach
In this paper, we provide a flavour of what needs to change if defined contribution (DC) outcomes in the UK are to improve materially and sustainably and good outcomes are to become the norm. Spoiler alert: it isn’t just the one silver bullet that’ll fix DC.
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White papersUK Leadership Change: Economic and market implications
After the resignation of Boris Johnson as prime minister, what is your outlook regarding British political development?
