All White papers articles – Page 20
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - October 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 4 October
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2024
If only LatAm’s fiscal policy could mimic its prudent monetary policy stance
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White papersDraghi’s report: a call to action for Europe’s competitiveness
Draghi’s report on Europe’s declining competitiveness offers a comprehensive analysis, but many of its findings are not new. Yet, Draghi’s stature may lend urgency to these recommendations. Those requiring EU funding or treaty changes are likely to encounter substantial political resistance. The report provides a clear direction of travel and some of the reforms that do not require new funding (e.g., regulatory changes) could move the dial sooner.
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White papersStanding proud! 2024 GRESB Real Estate and Infrastructure Assessments
UBS Asset Management, Real Estate & Private Markets’ (REPM) sustainability efforts continue to build momentum with another set of strong results in the 2024 GRESB Real Estate and Infrastructure Assessments.
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White papersRates Relief or Slowdown Uncertainty?
Our outlook for lower rates and a soft landing favors U.S. small caps, and we are watching China’s new stimulus closely for its impact on global cyclical assets.
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White papersEquity Market Outlook 4Q 2024
Despite a slowing U.S. economy, we reaffirm many of our Q3 recommendations and think the odds of an imminent recession remain low.
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White papersAmplified Volatility Leads to Muted Bets
To get through the current environment, we think it is important not to chase the markets, but to let them come to you.
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White papersPrivate credit’s role in mid-market opportunities
Upper middle-market corporate credit dynamics bring both challenges and opportunities. Expert insights reveal how the convergence of private credit and public markets is influencing investment strategies.
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White papersESG Thema #18 - When extreme becomes the new normal: how to address physical climate risk
The science is clear: mitigation efforts alone cannot halt the negative effects of climate change. The world needs to prepare for physical climate changes even if we successfully meet the Paris Agreement goals. The increase in frequency and severity of acute climate hazards is expected to surge in the coming years, and will have a profound impact in several parts of the world. Moreover, the distribution of anticipated acute weather events is disproportionate and uneven, biased toward more vulnerable populations.
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White papersNot all net zero pathways are created equal: Pivotal questions for investors to ask
Improving real estate’s sustainability profile is pivotal to addressing climate change, as the sector contributes some 40% of global greenhouse gas emissions.
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White papersThe climate risk ‘hot potato’– which sector will be left with burnt fingers?
Does anyone remember Uruk, the ultra-modern city nestled amid the planet’s most fertile farmland? What about Skara Brae, the beachfront town with state-of-the-art homes, beautiful ocean views and mild weather? Nope? Well, 5,000 years ago both communities were among the world’s more desirable places to live, but the shifting climate changed things and these settlements were consigned to history.
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White papersNot all net zero pathways are created equal
Improving real estate’s sustainability profile is pivotal to addressing climate change, as the sector contributes some 40% of global greenhouse gas emissions. But improving this sustainability profile isn’t just a ‘save the world’ exercise. For building owners and associated stakeholders it is also vital to establish the necessary long-term action plans towards net zero to protect income streams and value and manage costs.
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White papersImpact of US elections on emerging market currencies
The results of the US presidential elections in November are set to have wide-ranging implications on the US dollar and emerging market (EM) exchange rates. In this piece, we examine what the outcome of the election could mean for EM currencies, through the impact on tariffs, sanctions, US fiscal policy, unorthodox economic policies and immigration.
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White papersSlow-speed crash? Problems for the European auto sector pile up
Healthy cash balances built up over the past three years will be tested as firms attempt to weather the four-pronged oncoming storm of labour relations, EV uptake, emissions regulations and China
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White papersEquity Outlook – It’s the economy
With the US Federal Reserve starting to cut interest rates, equities should remain supported in the short term. If our expectations of a soft landing for the economy are warranted, equities should gain further, even if the outcome of November’s US election looks uncertain. The mix of winners and losers might change depending on who will be in government.
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White papersGold maintains its glitter
“Gold has been shining bright this year on the back of expectations of Fed rate cuts and rising geopolitical tensions. The metal may be used as a potential source of resilience in portfolios in an overall diversified* approach.”
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White papersEuropean Hotel Sector: Sustainability is a competitive necessity
Once a competitive advantage, sustainability is now imperative in the European hotel sector. Investors and operators both have responsibilities to be good stewards of the environment and of the communities in which they operate.
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White papersChina: Is this the “whatever it takes” moment?
China’s recent stimulus measures, including monetary easing and a massive fiscal pledge, have sparked a sharp rally in equities, particularly in real estate and consumer staples. While market sentiment has improved, the long-term impact will hinge on the actual scale and execution of fiscal policy. Investors are cautiously optimistic, but much depends on how effectively China targets its property sector and broader economy.
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White papersSeptember jobs report: Not as weak as once thought?
The September jobs report showed a 254,000 monthly job gain, blowing all estimates out of the water. Not only does it suggest that the U.S. labor market is on a stronger footing than most believed, but it also suggests that the Fed does not need to maintain such an aggressive pace of rate cuts. Market expectations for a 50bps cut in November have rightfully plunged, and a 25bps reduction is now the clear market consensus.
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White papersRisk Factor, Risk Premium and Black-Litterman Model
Risk factor models are now widely used by fund managers to construct portfolios and assess both return and risk based on the behaviour of common risk factors to which the portfolios are exposed. However, fund managers often have subjective views on these risk factors that they may wish to incorporate into their asset allocation strategies.
