White papers - all assets – Page 93
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White papersA New Era for Small Caps?
After a decade of lagging market results, stocks of small companies seem poised for a resurgence. Small company stocks have generally disappointed investors in recent years, not because of their fundamentals, but due to the relative strength of large companies since the Global Financial Crisis. The difference is reflected in the combined multiple (or valuation) expansion of large caps and multiple contraction of small caps, even as the latter generated stronger earnings growth over more than a decade.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - July/August 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 24 July 2024
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White papersPublic Engagement Report Q2 2024
The Q2 Public Engagement Report from EOS at Federated Hermes focuses on animal testing at pharmaceutical companies and some of the innovative alternatives becoming available. Plus, how investors can assess companies’ climate transition plans, and highlights from this year’s AGM season.
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White papersWhat’s up with the yellow metal?
Higher pricing reflects supply and demand in a changing world. How should international investors respond?
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White papersThe case for bonds (as rates inch towards normalisation)
With the Fed expected to begin its easing cycle later this year, bond markets appear poised to generate income to a degree not seen since before the 2008-09 financial crisis.
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White papers10 questions for 10 years: The Global Equity ESG Fund
Since 2014, the Global Equity ESG Fund’s philosophy has been underpinned by pragmatism, sustainability, responsibility and longevity. Now, with ten years under its belt, the Fund has demonstrated an improved ability to generate outperformance using its proprietary QESG score. In this retrospective piece, our team reflect on the Fund’s history of innovation and why their approach to ESG investing is not simply about achieving the ‘feel good’ factor.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - July/August 2024
China’s policy landscape is being reshaped by two predominant forces external geopolitical pressures and a distinct internal governance philosophy. Heightened tensions, particularly with the US, have steered China towards a strategy focused on self reliance. Consequently, China is compelled to reinforce its industrial policies, aiming to secure its supply chain independence and bolster manufacturing capabilities.
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White papersThree often-overlooked investments insurers are using to add duration
Increasing duration was the most popular course of action in Nuveen’s 2024 EQuilibrium survey of institutional investors. Half of the 800 respondents said they would be doing this, in contrast to the 19% who planned to decrease it. And insurers were even more likely to extend: 61% of North American insurers, 58% in Asia Pacific and 53% in Europe.
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White papersBenefit from the EM story through India
“A favourable macro backdrop and a Fed close to cutting its policy rates are positive factors for emerging market assets.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July/August 2024
Topic of the Month: How long can the Central Banks’ divergence last
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White papersU.S. election: Policy and positioning
Heading into a contentious U.S. election season, investors need to avoid the noise and remain focused on the factors that will drive markets in the period ahead, including U.S. trade policy (particularly with China), geopolitics (particularly any impact on oil markets), and fiscal deficit management (given the CBO projection that the U.S. budget deficit is set to rise to 122.4% of GDP by 2034).
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White papersHow long can the Central Banks’ divergence last
The pace of disinflation in most advanced economies is following a similar path, albeit with differences in sticky components. Central bank policy rates are unlikely to diverge significantly (our baseline), but this does not rule out the ECB and the BoE cutting rates faster than the Fed, especially given their weaker growth outlook. The impact of this scenario would be steeper yield curves in the Eurozone and the UK, but not substantially weaker exchange rates, as some fear. A bigger risk to European exchange rates stems from (unanticipated) energy price shocks rather than lower relative interest rates. We explore why.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - August 2024
US mega caps significantly outperformed the rest of the US markets in the first half of the year, driven by better-than-expected economic activity, AI exuberance and superior earnings. Looking ahead, we see a potential for a rally-broadening, which will not be linear and is likely to have multiple legs.
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White papers2024 U.S. election: The importance of staying invested
It can be easy for investors to let their political persuasions impact their long-term financial judgment. However, allowing the outcomes of elections, particularly ones as polarized as what investors are facing this fall, to trigger an adjustment to portfolio allocations or even a withdrawal from markets entirely, has historically ...
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White papersPositioning for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Calls from senior members of the Democratic party finally became too great this past weekend, with President Biden bowing out of the 2024 U.S. Presidential race. He will not be seeking a second term.
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White papersElection 2024: Economics, policy and positioning for a soft landing
The S&P 500 enjoyed a solid start to the year, fueled by the Federal Reserve embracing optimism about inflation without sacrificing growth. During Q2, however, evidence of still sticky inflation has reduced the number of expected rate cuts, weighing on market sentiment and resulting in more modest equity gains.
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White papersThe Artificial Intelligence revolution: sector perspectives
We believe that Artificial Intelligence (AI) could have over the long-term a positive impact on productivity and GDP growth. However, the impact will not be linear across sectors, especially in the early phases. Those companies that are already investing heavily in AI technologies are the most likely to see benefits to revenues and/or profitability, but disappointments will happen given increased and new competitive pressure as well as the emergence of questionable business cases in light of the involved costs.
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White papersBiden’s exit from the presidential race opens a phase of uncertainty
Biden exit from the race: Current US President Joe Biden announced on Sunday that he will not seek re-election and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. Senior members of the Democratic party have expressed their support for Kamala Harris. Donations for the campaign have begun to rise after Biden’s decision.
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White papersHello Kitty: A big cat in the investment universe?
Cuteness and investments are two words that are rarely paired together in the same sentence, but one of Japan’s most recognisable cultural and iconic exports stands out in its potential to deliver growth beyond current market imagination. To mark Hello Kitty’s 50th anniversary, Investment Director, Sunny Romo, sat down with Valentina Luo, an Analyst in the Asia Pacific equities team, to discuss the elements of the successful investment story in Sanrio, the creator of the much-loved feline character.
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White papersThe perfect storm: Deglobalisation’s headwinds
Globalisation - the rising interconnection of the world’s economies and populations, driven by international trade in technology, services, goods as well as the flow of investment and information - is facing at least five different head winds. Let me discuss them in turn and indicate how I believe they could be tackled.
