All United States articles – Page 66
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White papersTen predictions for 2019: Choppy and frustrating, but no recession
Making predictions is a dicey proposition. In the many years I’ve been making my annual market predictions (more than I’d care to admit), I usually have a clear sense about where things are headed. But 2019 seems to be a tougher year to forecast. In fact, I think it would be pretty easy to make either a bullish or bearish case for the stock market over the coming 12 months.
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White papersAsian Equities: US-China relationship to remain critical
Asia Pacific ex Japan markets started the year well, holding on to gains that were chalked in the strong rally in 2017. But by mid-year, signs of slowing economic growth surfaced, primarily induced by US-China trade tensions, leading to a sharp market correction, particularly for Chinese equities.
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White papersA tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.
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White papersRenter Nation: U.S. Socioeconomics drive multifamily housing demand
State of the U.S. housing market: Increasingly a renter nation
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2019
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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White papersFocus on fundamentals to ride turbulent markets
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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White papersCentral banks in focus: assessing the path ahead for the Fed
US economy: We expect the US economy to grow above potential in 2019 and to gradually converge to its long-term growth rate of around 2% in 2020 as the boost provided by fiscal expansion in 2018 will gradually lose steam.
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White papersEvent Risk Enters Phase 3: What's At Stake in 2019?
Event risk outcomes could be dragged out in 2019 as issues like the trade war and questions over when the Fed might halt rate hikes simmer in markets.
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White papersAntecedent Analysis: Navigating A Troop of Gorillas
With the birth of the so-called “Greenspan Put,” the 800-pound gorilla of U.S. monetary policy unleashed itself on capital markets. Today, there is not just one 800-pound gorilla harassing capital markets; there is a troop of gorillas.
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White papersInside Real Estate 2019 Outlook
What can we expect from the global economy in 2019? How will that affect commercial real estate?
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White papersPost-G20 Market Implications for U.S. – China
The G20 meeting yielded the U.S.-China trade war cease-fire and the Russia-Saudi Arabia pact to curb oil output. How will they pan out in 2019?
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White papersFrom G20: Short-Term Relief, But It Is Not The Final Word On Trade Disputes
The latest G20 demonstrates some temporary progress in the US/China relationship. An increase of tariff rates in January 2019 was put on hold and the possibility for an additional tranche of tariffs for the rest of US imports from China ($267bn) is also further delayed, at least. China has found the right entry point to give some concessions to the US on sensitive topics for President Trump.
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White papersInvesting in US energy infrastructure: Navigating the changing landscape
This paper is a deep dive into the complexities of the US energy sector, and will build on themes that we highlighted in our previous global energy transition paper. In the US, clean energy and fossil fuels both play an important role, which creates investment opportunities across a wide spectrum of energy infrastructure.
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White papers
Investing in US energy infrastructure: Navigating the changing landscape
This paper is a deep dive into the complexities of the US energy sector, and will build on themes that we highlighted in our previous global energy transition paper. In the US, clean energy and fossil fuels both play an important role, which creates investment opportunities across a wide spectrum of energy infrastructure.
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White papersIf you can de-risk now, why wait?!
Pension funds in the US, UK and Canada have transferred nearly $400 billion in pension and longevity risk since 2007. While these countries are the focal point of the market today, the Netherlands has been a vibrant market, and Germany recently opened for pension risk transfer in 2018 with two notable transactions, together worth more than $5 billion. Several other countries will soon follow suit. In 2017, the US and UK set a combined record with nearly $50 billion in total activity3, and 2018 is shaping up to be another outstanding year on both sides of the pond.
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White papersGlobal Trade War: Where Do we Stand Now? What Impacts?
A few days before the important meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, it is important to have a clear view on the trade dispute between the two countries and on the potential impacts of a trade war.
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White papersWhat lies ahead for the US economy and markets?
The robust performance of the US economy in 2018 has led to the supremacy of US risk assets compared to the rest of the world. Moving towards the end of the year and into 2019, global investors have started to raise questions about whether the US economy and business sector will continue to shine, how inflation will evolve, and which direction the Federal Reserve will take going forward.
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White papersCould a Severe Equities Selloff Prolong Economic Expansion?
Could a sharp pullback in equities help to prolong the U.S. economic expansion and thus delay the onset of any recession?
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White papersUS Midterm election: A divided Congress opens two possible scenarios
Key takeaway: In the midterm election Democrats win the House and the GOP (Grand Old Party) strengthens its position in the Senate.
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White papersIn Credit: The sun shines on Brazil?
Core US bond yields drifted higher again last week with volatility in Europe centred upon the Italian bond market once again.
