All United States articles – Page 67
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: September 2018
Italian budget discussions are going to intensify as the 27th of September approaches, date of publication of the document outlining the new budget law and when there should be more clarity on the key economic projections and deficit targets.
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White papersThe Next Recession: Three Critical Warning Signs
Is the U.S. heading toward a recession? We examine three critical warning signs and conclude that the next downturn could be different from the 2008 crisis.
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White papersFed’s Fork in the Road: Even Higher Rates or Pause
Will the Fed raise rates seven more times through 2020? Our base scenario is for just two more due to record-high dept and the risk of a recession.
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White papersHedging U.S. Equities with Treasury Options
Equities might be in the late stage of a nine-year bull run, and with rising rates and a possible recession, the risks to being long-only stocks is growing.
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White papersTrade War Costs to Consumers, Companies and Nations
The trade war between the U.S. and China is showing no sign of abating. What are the costs of the tariffs to consumers, companies and the two nations?
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White papersDid Quantitative Easing Help Spur Growth?
As economies were struck down by the 2008 financial crisis, central banks resorted to quantitative easing to spur growth. Did the strategy succeed?
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White papersRe-pricing of property risk
QE has ultimately kept bond yields stable and the spreads narrow, but will a re-pricing of risk lead to spreads reopening?
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White papersReal Estate Summary: Edition 3 2018
Despite the current fundamental backdrop for real estate investment remaining supportive, risk is on the rise.
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White papers
Cash Equitization with E-mini Equity Index Futures
Take a look at how CME E-mini Equity Index futures are used to equitize cash in portfolios, including avoiding drag on performance and more.
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White papersUS equities: Mid-year Review
The US entered the year on a high, but markets were unsettled by President Trump’s bout of protectionism in announcing an initial $50 billion of tariffs.
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White papers
Enhancing Equity Index Portfolio Returns Using Select Sector Futures
A traditional sector rotation strategy takes into consideration the business cycle and where current conditions place the market within the cycle, along with which sectors might out- or under- perform others versus the broad market.1 This paper will explore how sector rotation strategy practices may be used by a risk manager to achieve enhanced performance from event-driven price action in addition to long-term cycle rotation.
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White papersThe Medical Real Estate Boom
In 2018, health care became the biggest employer in the U.S., now about 12% of the workforce, largely driven by population demographics. Millennials are the largest generation in history and over one-third of Americans are now over age 50.
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White papersCommercial Real Estate is a Clear Winner from Tax Reform
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 is the most significant revision to the U.S. tax code since 1986. The reduction of the headline corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% makes the country significantly more competitive within the global marketplace and is already spurring domestic investment.
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White papersPortfolio strategies to cope with trade tensions
Escalating global trade tensions can affect regions and asset classes differently.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts: Q3 2018
The current global expansion is set to run until 2020, with above potential growth in most countries in 2018 and 2019. However, the global GDP growth has started to decelerate and we expect it to slow further in 2020.
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White papers2018 Midyear Outlook: (Still) Risk On
Investors are facing some pretty big questions: How long will the economy continue to expand? How will rising interest rates affect my portfolio? Will volatility continue to climb? Do geopolitics (or even just political posturing) really matter?
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White papersChina Assets hit by trade talks: what expect from now
The US-China relationship appears to be deteriorating. US recently published a list of an additional $200bn of Chinese products subject to 10% tariff rates that will be put forward for the public hearing process by 30 August and could possibly be implemented in September.
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White papersPolitical Event Risk Raises Stakes for Sudden Price Moves
Major political event risk, ranging from elections in Mexico, Brazil and the U.S., to Brexit and NAFTA negotiations, could swing equity, bond, FX and ags markets.
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White papersGlobal Real Estate Summary: Edition 2 2018
The global economic backdrop is supportive of real estate although growth has eased slightly. Central bank policy is diverging as the US leads the way with rate rises. Strong occupier and investor demand has fueled outperformance of industrial property and we expect this to continue into 2019. Some investors looking to alternatives and value-add to boost returns.
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White papersEuro-Dollar Caught in a Fiscal-Monetary Tug-of-War
The exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar has been trading in a narrow range for the past eight months due to monetary and fiscal policies on both sides of the Atlantic pulling in opposite directions.
