All Research & Forecasting articles – Page 16
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Continental European real estate market commentary: December 2016
The eurozone economy is steadily returning to normal. Total GDP is now 3% above its previous peak in 2008, net bank lending has turned positive, unemployment fell below 10% in September and core inflation, excluding energy, has settled at 1%.
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European real estate offers value despite political risk
Continental European real estate offers more value than other regions, but moderate returns are expected over the next five years, says Monika Sujkowska.
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The international route to a truly diversified property portfolio
Real estate is often seen as a diversifier for a traditional equity and bond portfolio. Yet, while most investors are aware of the importance of portfolio diversification, many with property investments still exhibit varying degrees of “home bias”, a tendency to favour domestic markets over those in other countries.
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UK real estate outlook: economic uncertainty weighs on property market
UK property will deliver a total return of five per cent per annum between 2017 and 2021, but investors will need to be more discerning on asset selection, says Chris Urwin.
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Inside Real Estate: Annual strategy outlook for 2017
A new president in the white house – After a bitterly fought election, Donald Trump surged on a wave of populism to be elected the 45th President of the United States.
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Economic and Property Market Overview: Q3 2016
Four months have passed since the referendum result, during which time we have seen a number of new developments, including a change in government, a succession of upbeat data on the domestic economy and quick monetary stimulus action by policymakers (an extension of its asset purchasing programme and a 25bps cut in the base rate) which has softened the adverse post-Brexit effects that were assumed by many economists.
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UK real estate market commentary: September 2016
While third quarter data for GDP has not yet been published, retail sales and other indicators suggest that the economy has continued to grow since the EU referendum.
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Continental European real estate market commentary: September 2016
The eurozone economy has grown steadily by 1.5% p.a. since mid-2013 and we expect it to maintain that progress through 2017-2018. We do not think that Brexit will de-rail the recovery. While the boost from falling oil prices will fade, most countries look set to benefit from a virtuous circle of rising employment and higher consumer spending.
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Can institutional scale rental accommodation help solve the housing crisis?
Behind the political headlines dominated by Brexit developments, there has been a key shift with another highly contentious topic – housing.
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Still lucky?
Macro and sectoral rebalancing taking place supporting real estate fundamentals in Australia
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Climate change and real estate investment 2016
Against the backdrop of the recent historic Paris climate deal, this paper revisits the topic of climate change and real estate.
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The Case for UK Property: September 2016
The UK commercial property market has had to withstand a considerable rise in both financial and economic market volatility since the start of 2016. First, there was the turbulence in global equity markets at the beginning of 2016, after which came the result of the UK Referendum in June 2016, with the UK public opting to leave the European Union.
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European real estate looks attractive after Brexit but political risks remain
We forecast total returns on continental European real estate of 4.6 per cent per annum over the next five years amid weak supply and strong demand from yield-hungry investors, combined with recovering rents.
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UK Real Estate Outlook
One month after the referendum vote to leave the EU, the UK real estate market is adapting to the result.
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Complementing Core
Featured in Private Debt Investor’s US Special Report 2016: The Road Ahead
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UK Real Estate Outlook: 2H16
Expectations for UK economic growth underwent some fairly significant downward revisions prior to the EU Referendum, and these have now been revised downwards again, although we do not envision the UK entering a recession as the main scenario.
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Eurozone Real Estate Outlook: 2H16
The slowdown in China and other emerging markets viewed in conjunction with the uncertainties surrounding Brexit, has led to a downward revision of economic growth prospects in the eurozone.
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Real assets, real expertise: Global ex-UK real estate exposure
Across most real estate markets, the conventional practice for investors has been: (a) invest in their domestic market; and then (b) consider cross border opportunities.
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APAC Market Outlook: 2H16
Investment opportunities and strategies linked to broad structural shifts across the APAC region likely to outperform.
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Global Real Estate Summary: Edition 2 2016
In a hypothetical asset market exam, the fundamentals for good quality commercial real estate would definitely get a passing grade.