Outlooks – Page 75
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - April 2021
Significant progress in managing the pandemic, massive fiscal impulse in the US, and boosters in the RoW amidst accommodative monetary policies.
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White papersEconomic Outlook: can things ‘only get better’?
Looking at the rest of 2021 through a macro lens feels a bit like 2009: one would hope that ‘it can only improve on the year before’. Which, surely it must. Stimulus extensions, accelerating vaccine roll-out (notably in the UK), base-effect, and expectations of more are all raising confidence, supporting risk-assets and promising macro improvement.
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White papersSpring has Sprung from Seeds of Spending
In the U.S., fiscal stimulus and vaccine rollout are already leading to improvements in the service sector.
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White papersSpeculative grade default cycle: an earlier peak and an expected benign trend
Extraordinary policy intervention has made this HY default cycle unusually short-lived, helping to limit quite significantly the rise in defaults among mid- and high-rated speculative grade companies. A turn into a more benign falling trend over the next quarters looks likely, in light of improved macro perspectives, expected progress in vaccinations and encouraging signals from financial drivers.
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White papersAmid a US economic boom, how high can rates go?
The possibility of an economic boom this year has stoked worries about higher inflation and prompted a sharp selloff in US Treasuries.
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White papersSustainability in a World in Transition
We believe that 2020 marked an important turning point for companies and investors alike. Not only are sustainable criteria becoming ever-more important for investors, rapid societal and technological change is driving a corporate evolution. This is creating disruption across a number of key areas generating opportunities for active managers.
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White papersWhy investors should look at Indian assets
India is the fifth-largest economy in the world, according to the World Bank, in terms of nominal 2019 GDP in dollars, and ranks second by population (1.38bn). Although it is one of the world’s fastest-growing economies, its GDP per capita is more than 29x and 4x lower than the USt or China, respectively (also according to the World Bank, nominal 2019 per-capita GDP in dollars). The potential for a catch-up in income over the next decades looks huge.
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White papersAuthenticity in ESG integration
From our 1983 inception, the international business of Federated Hermes has been at the forefront of responsible investing. Here, Michael Viehs, Head of ESG Integration, explains why the delivery of Sustainable Wealth Creation has and always will be our core purpose.
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White papersCovid-19 Update: Emerging from a Pandemic rarely happens in a Straight Line
In an effort to bring timely insights during these uncertain times, we are pleased to share an update from Terri Towers, PhD, Senior Healthcare Analyst, who shares her views on the COVID-19 (“Coronavirus”) pandemic.
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White papersHow hot is the inflation pot? Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
As the global economy emerges from its worst slump since the 1930s, we envisage plenty of inflation fertilisers at stake, especially in the United States. Inflationary trends could emerge due to a combination of factors, including the cyclical recovery as countries try to get the pandemic under control and gradually lift mitigation measures.
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White papersFixed-income markets: from cyclical to structural challenges
Since the start of the year, bond yields have surged in the economies of the G10 as markets anticipate a sharp acceleration in inflation and economic activity. This rebound is likely to be particularly strong in the US given its enormous fiscal stimulus plan. In the medium term, opinion is divided concerning the post-Covid crisis macroeconomic trajectory and a possible change in the inflation regime in the US.
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White papersEuropean credit outlook 2021: a world of uncertainty
European credit markets appear to have stabilised, as investors increasingly price in a perfect economic recovery alongside continuing monetary and fiscal support.
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White papersSDG Engagement Equity commentary: Alliant
The SDG Engagement Equity Fund focuses on attractive companies with the potential – through engagement aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) – to generate outcomes that benefit people, the planet and investors.
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White papersAsian equities inspire confidence, even after volatile quarter
Asian equities peaked twice in the first quarter amid optimism over the recovery in China, the prospect of improved relations between the new US administration and China, and the arrival of COVID-19 vaccines.
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White papersThe case for Chinese Treasuries
What is in short supply at the moment for fixed income investors are high-yielding, lowly-correlated bonds with solid macro underpinnings: China ticks all of those boxes.
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White papersClimate Change, hot topic in Euro Credit
CPR AM expands its range of climate solutions with a credit fund aligned with the Paris agreements. Julien Daire, head of fixed income, and Noémie Hadjadj-Gomes, head of research at CPR Asset Management, explain the main features of this new strategy.
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White papersIncreasing Yield with US Corporate Bonds
For 2021, with interest rates very low and spreads tight, investors are wondering where to turn in order to generate returns in the liquid fixed income universe. We will show that US credit investments offer attractive returns even after currency hedging. Due to a steep US yield curve, the expected return is higher than the current yield.
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White papers2Q 2021 outlook: Welcome to the upside scenario
Our initial 2021 outlook featured the theme “Dark tunnel. Bright light,” as a way to indicate that while we saw a strong possibility for economic and market upside, we also thought the path to get there would be difficult. And while the global pandemic remains a humanitarian crisis, that upside scenario is happening more quickly than we expected.
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White papersPromising a future: Edition 2021 – Our commitment to responsible investing in real assets
The 2021 edition of REPM’s responsible investing brochure, highlights how responsible investment is integral to our investment philosophy and approach. This year, we have transformed the overall format with a clear delineation between prose content to illustrate our whole business’s efforts.
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White papersThe Investment Podcast: Investment in music copyrights? Now, that’s music to my ears
How do we find a private special situations investment? What kind of work do we do before making such an investment? What is our role once the initial investment is completed?
