Outlooks – Page 13
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - September 2023
Much less fiscal policy support will likely constrain domestic demand and higher-for-longer interest rates will make monetary policy even more restrictive.
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Three Chamberlain Square, Birmingham: Climate resilience in the real world
Our Q3 real estate case study looks at climate resilience in the sector and profiles Three Chamberlain Square in Birmingham, UK, which has one of the lowest embodied carbon levels in a commercial building in the region.
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The Sprint to Year-End
As the September starting gun sounds, here’s what we are looking out for on the track ahead.
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Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - September 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 1 September 2023
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The Eurozone economy under scrutiny, as the policy support fades
The Eurozone economy has stagnated over the last three quarters, although growth in the second quarter was marginally positive due to strong idiosyncratic growth in one or two smaller countries.
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G20 Summit Puts Great Power Competition in Full View
The G20 summit took place against a backdrop of deteriorating relations—not just between the U.S. and China—but also between China and India, which was the summit’s host country. Coming on the heels of the BRICS summit in South Africa, expectations for the G20 summit were low. Pre-summit deliberations at working group levels also created a gloomy mood among diplomats given the slim prospects for substantive outcomes.
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The ECB Delivers a (Final?) Dovish Hike
The ECB raised its deposit rate to 4.0% today, an all-time high since the launch of the euro. It cited uncomfortably high headline inflation of more than 5% as the key driver of its decision. Higher interest rates signal concern among ECB policymakers that underlying inflation could become embedded. That would make it harder to get back to the Bank’s 2% target.
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Commercial real estate outlook: There’s a storm on the horizon. Then what?
Benefit Street Partners believe the reduction in traditional bank lending capacity will likely create many attractive opportunities both to acquire deeply discounted loans and to lend on high-quality properties.
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Fixed Income Views: Soft landing? Central banks trying to thread the needle
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income no longer projects a technical recession in the United States, and the trajectory of disinflation in both the United States and euro area will flatten—primarily due to wage pressures stemming from record low unemployment—and central banks are thus likely to keep rates higher for longer. Fixed Income Views presents the team’s fourth-quarter 2023 outlook.
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ESG Thema #13 - Time for action: Unlocking climate finance in Africa
This paper is co-written with the African Development Bank.
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Can You Hear Me Now?
Read more on how the satellite industry has the opportunity to support over five billion cell phones worldwide, enabling text and voice capabilities without the need for cellular networks.
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Is the U.S. Economy Meaningfully Reaccelerating?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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CIO views: ideas for ‘back-to-school’ returns
As Q3 progresses and many children return to classrooms after the holidays, our CIOs present their ‘back-to-school’ investment outlooks. Even as long-term investment trends continue to play out – the environmental transition, higher-for-longer interest rates, a greater cost of capital and demographic change – there is client demand for performance in the shorter term. What tactical exposures can investors implement to improve returns in the next six months?
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Strike (Big) 3?
A potential U.S. auto strike has significant implications for the economy, earnings and inflation.
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Private credit & private equity: Decision drivers for today’s markets
The private capital industry has seen a surge in popularity among investors seeking stability in the face of public market volatility, recession fears, and banking sector turmoil. Private capital not only provides the potential for attractive income and returns but also serves as a less correlated portfolio diversifier, generally with lower mark-to-market volatility than the public markets.
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CLO equity: Where does it fit in investor allocations?
Choosing the right “bucket” for CLO equity is critical for investors seeking to optimize portfolio allocations
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Is China falling into deflation?
China’s headline consumer price index fell by 0.3% year-on-year in July to register deflation for the first time in two years. This figure raised concerns that falling prices would lead consumers to delay spending in an already weakening economy. However, in our view, the data is not a harbinger for prolonged deflation.
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Decarbonising the energy infrastructure ecosystem
Since launching Nuveen’s North American energy infrastructure credit platform in November 2022, Don Dimitrievich spoke with PDI about the compelling opportunity for infrastructure debt lending in North America, and why he believes managers who understand the entire energy infrastructure ecosystem, and have experience investing through credit cycles, will be best positioned to deliver the most attractive risk-adjusted returns for investors.
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UK Stewardship Code: LOIM confirmed as signatory for 3rd year
For the third consecutive year, LOIM has qualified as a signatory to the UK Stewardship Code, which sets high standards for reporting on the outcomes and integrity of the engagement, proxy voting and policy advocacy exercised by asset owners and investment managers.
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Lights, battery storage, action: Investing in the greenfield energy infrastructure needed for a net zero world
The energy transition requires both smarter production of clean energy as well as new, practical infrastructure to enable its use, explains Umberto Tamburrino, CEO of Sosteneo Infrastructure Partners, a company within the Generali Investments ecosystem of asset management firms, which specialises in greenfield investing.