Outlooks – Page 5
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The case for US and EU industrial real estate
Notwithstanding some near-term challenges and regional differences, Clarion believes industrial real estate will remain a compelling long-term investment opportunity across the European Union and the United States.
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As tech shapes the future of flight, here’s how investors can get on board
The airline industry is taking flight once again. Between 2004 and 2019, flights increased steadily, rising from 23.8 million to 38.9 million annual global flights. Although flights dropped to 16.9 million during the pandemic, these levels could double by the end of 2023.
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Asian IT: the global AI enabler
The information-technology sector in Asia is entering a very exciting stage. Profound disruptive change powered by generative artificial intelligence could reshape the world in the next 10 years, and Asian IT is the enabler. Technology hardware is our main pick among sectors in 2024 and the topic of the second in our four-part series on Asian equities.
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Is employment at the heart of US economic growth?
Every economist fetishises their chosen leading indicator for the US economy – be it the ISM manufacturing index, capacity utilisation rate or new home sales. We cannot overstate the dangers of this habit and prefer to base our analysis on nowcasting indicators. But if there is one indicator that represents a syncretism of the economy, it is the labour market. This week, Simply put applies an economic theory linking employment conditions to GDP growth to estimate US output for 2024.
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CIO views: finding value through patient investing
How and where can patience reward investors? Over time, how could patient investors find better value? Across asset classes, our CIOs seek out areas they believe are underestimated or mispriced by the market and could offer superior prospects to investors adopting a long-term approach.
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The Second Wave of the AI Investment Theme
The artificial intelligence investment theme made the “Magnificent Seven”—but could soon begin to disrupt it.
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A sort-of Super Tuesday
This week played host to ‘Super Tuesday’, a key date in the US presidential election calendar where key states hold their primary elections. This year’s results yielded few surprises and set up the 2024 US Presidential election to be a rematch of 2020.
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Where next for the rally?
Three key equity markets hit all-time highs this week as the risk-on mood broadened beyond the US and into Asia-Pacific (APAC) indices.
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Taking Flight: The Opportunity in Aircraft Financing
Investments in aircraft can offer steady cash flow and a return profile that’s uncorrelated to broad market indices.
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Infrastructure Investor: Flight to quality over quantity
“Diversification is key as global and macroeconomic trends continue to boost returns across the infrastructure debt market.”
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Confronting the ‘China bear’
Given China’s clouded economic outlook and the now deeply depressed ratios on Chinese equities, should investors remain negative on the Chinese market much longer? While it may be too early to become a ‘China bull’, recent domestic policy and geopolitical developments may start chasing away the ‘China bear’. So, what has changed?
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Taking action! Join us on our journey through sustainable investing in private markets
”There is an extreme shortage of sustainable assets and the supply-demand differential will only grow in the future.”
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Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - March 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 7 March 2024
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Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2024
”European PMI data diverge not only in terms of sectors, but also in terms of countries and sub-components.”
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2024
“While we expect the Fed, Bank of England and ECB to start rate cuts around June, we will keep an eye on the pace of disinflation for any surprises.”
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Illiquidity premia in private debt: Q4 2023
In our latest real assets deep dive, our research team crunches the data to see how evolving macro conditions are reflected in private debt returns.
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Super Tuesday points to a super-charged battle
“A Trump-Biden rematch looks likely in November. As we move closer to the elections, market uncertainty will rise given the candidates’ divergent approach to foreign policy and geopolitics.”
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2024 Private Markets Outlook: Compelling opportunities amid a liquidity crunch
After a challenging 2023, we think that institutions who can be a provider of liquidity to others or have the flexibility to deploy additional capital will be able to take advantage of some unique and compelling risk-return opportunities in 2024.
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Enter the dragon: Why China is competitively positioned
There are several reasons to remain constructive on China, in our view. We believe that pessimism about China’s fortunes and the wider economic outlook, resulting in the current idiosyncratic sell-off, presents opportunities for active investors to find great companies at very attractive valuations.
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Keynote Interview: What the future holds for infrastructure debt
In an article originally published by Infrastructure Investor magazine, Jerome Neyroud, Head of Infrastructure Debt, discusses the state of the market today and looks at trends that will drive activity in the years ahead