Outlooks – Page 5
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White papersHome away from home? Europe and APAC living sectors’ appeal amid US uncertainty
Amid economic fluctuations and fraying geopolitical ties, investors are reassessing their reliance on US assets. The unfolding ‘great rotation’ shifts attention toward Europe and Asia-Pacific, where the resilient residential or ‘living’ sectors within the real estate market present appealing returns in uncertain times. With secular tailwinds in housing supply and student mobility, Noura Tan asks, can these markets lead the way toward future growth?
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White papersU.S.-China trade tensions: From complacency to concern
From complacency to concern: Recent escalations in tariffs and export controls between the U.S. and China have jolted market complacency, bringing trade risk back into focus as a potential headwind for growth and tech-heavy portfolios.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - October 2025
Topic of the month - Gold beyond records
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White papersBuilding the future: Advances in AI infrastructure for autonomous agents
The evolution of AI infrastructure for autonomous agents is reminiscent of the transformative impact that Transmission Control Protocols (TCPs) and other foundational protocols had on the early internet. Just as TCP/IP provided the essential framework for reliable data transmission and communication across diverse networks, modern AI infrastructure is laying the groundwork for autonomous agents to operate seamlessly and efficiently in complex environments.
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White papersBond markets prove resilient amid systemic shifts
The U.S. economy has undergone major changes in 2025, including stimulative fiscal policy, tariff uncertainty, declining labor force growth and increased AI adoption. These systemic shifts create both opportunities and challenges, accompanied by significant uncertainty. Despite this fluid environment, fixed income markets have delivered strong performance across all major sectors, with many exceeding 6% year-to-date returns. Active management and diversified portfolios with moderate risk posture, emphasizing higher-yielding sectors, may help capitalize on historically attractive yields and emerging opportunities while navigating tremendous change.
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White papersQuarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook – Q4 2025
The recent flurry of AI deals, creating increasing interdependencies among some of the world’s largest AI players, is bringing back memories of the dot.com bubble. The key question in investors’ minds is whether we are now facing an AI bubble. The second derivative of the same question is whether we have reached a peak in equity markets overall, after a remarkable run. In our opinion, as is often the case, the answer’s not straightforward.
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White papersJapanese politics: Brinkmanship or break-up?
The Komeito Party’s announcement of its withdrawal from its 25-year coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has caused political uncertainty in Japan. Carl Vine, Co-Head of Asia Pacific Equities, explores historical precedents and considers the potential political and market implications of this split.
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White papersCapital Market Assumptions
Why a new economic regime calls for a reassessment of risk and rewards
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White papersAI In Investment Management: The Advancement Of Learning
At Amundi, we have previously explored NLP approaches but were disappointed by their instability - small changes in input words or word order often led to significant shifts in interpretation.
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White papersFive forces that could stimulate the US economy
The US economy has demonstrated surprising resilience in the six months since President Trump unveiled a long list of tariffs against virtually every trading partner. In the aftermath of “Liberation Day,” fears of an imminent recession have eased as investors have started to envision a future without a tariff-induced trade war.
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White papersAI, cloud computing see data markets mature
Principal Asset Management’s Matt Hackman and Sebastian Dooley see data centres emerge as in-demand asset as a matter of function and investment
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White papersFrance after Lecornu: What’s next?
PM Lecornu’s resignation follows opposition from both left and right parties regarding the composition of his government, which was announced on Sunday evening. As was the case when the Bayrou government fell, President Macron now has two options
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White papersThe impasse in the US Congress
The US government shut down on 1 October, following disagreements between Republicans and Democrats over healthcare-related spending. In particular, the Democrats are demanding an extension of the premium subsidies provided under the Affordable Care Act, which are due to expire by year-end.
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White papersWhat is the next chapter for the dollar?
Structural tailwinds that have supported the US dollar over the past three years appear to be fading: global growth is converging, the US Federal Reserve has started to cut rates, and the European Central Bank is set to hike.
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White papersStablecoin: extending the reach of money into the digital era
By combining the payment efficiency of blockchain technology with the value stability derived from being pegged to the world’s reserve currency (USD), stablecoins have emerged as a monetary invention that some believe could revolutionise the financial world. While other countries are promoting stablecoins denominated in their own currencies, the recent passing of the GENIUS Act marks a major milestone: it represents an explicit endorsement from the US government that could push stablecoin development and adoption into high gear.
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White papersFive reasons tariffs have not wrecked the US economy
Turmoil in financial markets over US tariffs has died down in recent weeks, mostly because the headlines have moved elsewhere and the economic effects of tariffs are only coming in gradually. But now that we have some relevant data to examine, it is worth assessing where we are in the rapidly changing global trade environment, the effects so far, and where we may be headed.
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White papersHow can insurers position credit portfolios amid higher risk and uncertainty?
Insurers face a challenging credit landscape, with spreads near historic tights and limited dispersion. As uncertainty persists, strategies focused on credit quality, liquidity, and spread duration are gaining traction. Evolving regulations and underutilised asset classes, like high-quality structured credit, offer new opportunities to strengthen portfolios and enhance long-term resilience.
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White papersAI research trip reaffirms bullish outlook
Over the summer a group of our analysts and portfolio managers spent a week in San Francisco. The trip was an integral part of our ongoing research into artificial intelligence (AI) and related investment opportunities. Our scale as investors affords us exceptional corporate access and during our time in San Francisco we met senior leaders from around a dozen different technology companies, from heavyweights like NVIDIA and Broadcom to names operating throughout the data supply chain.
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White papersCentral Banks Struggle to Regain the Rates Narrative
Major central banks’ unconvincing mix of policy cuts and pauses last week shows they are struggling to regain the global rates narrative. Amid the uncertainty, relative value opportunities are emerging.
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White papersThe factors driving Eurozone investment potential to the next level
The world is changing, and investors need to have a clear view of how, and what that means for Europe.
