Outlooks – Page 4
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White papersBreadth and Balance
The economic outlook may have improved, but large parts of the credit and equity markets are fully valued.
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White papersThe Long View: Four megatrends to watch
Innovation is not just a buzzword — it is the lifeblood of investment success. It fuels growth, drives competitiveness and shapes the future of companies. But while innovation is essential, not all emerging trends are created equal.
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White papersWho will finance the green transition? Can central banks help?
”With public debt at unprecedented levels, it is difficult to see how governments could consider contributing any sizeable amounts.”
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White papersCapital Market Assumptions 2024
Last year we enhanced our Capital Market Assumptions approach by including a social dimension considering the impact of rebalancing labour / profits on earnings. This social component was added to the climate change assumptions introduced in 2022, which evaluate how the future trajectory of the energy transition will affect the key economic variables driving our forecasts (GDP growth, inflation, productivity, etc.), and the way we model asset class behaviour – with regards to earnings growth in particular.
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White papersRotations at play in equity markets
In 2024, the equity rally has weakened in the tech heavy Nasdaq Index which was the leader last year, now in favour of other regions. Large cap companies in the Eurozone and Japan posted double digit returns in Q1.
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White papersBest ideas across asset classes
Stocks have enjoyed a strong rally, but despite (or perhaps because of) recent price increases, we retain an overall neutral view toward global equities. Continued strength in the global economy, and especially remarkable resilience in the U.S., provide a solid foundation for stocks. However, valuations have become stretched thanks to what we believe are overly dovish expectations for interest rate declines and monetary policy.
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White papersThe appeal of private assets in 2024
The macro environment in 2024 will likely spur demand for private assets from all types of investors in our view. In this higher-for-longer environment, private assets could continue to be a compelling source of risk-adjusted returns, income and diversification.
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White papersPortfolio construction themes
Like surfers bobbing in the ocean as they look for the perfect wave, many investors today believe better conditions will come if they just hold out long enough. But delaying too long could mean missing the ride entirely.
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White papersThe economy and markets
The risks of a U.S. and global recession have receded considerably after appearing elevated last year. Despite expectations for a material slowdown in growth over the course of 2023, economic data broadly surprised to the upside. Instead of flatlining, the U.S. economy grew more than 3%, while China expanded by over 5%. Both results outpaced consensus expectations.
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White papers2024 2Q outlook: Adapting to high tide
Originally written and recorded by a Jamaican trio in 1967, “The Tide Is High” made its biggest splash with the now-classic 1980 cover version that topped the charts around the world. Thematically simple, the song’s familiar chorus acknowledges challenging circumstances while expressing the narrator’s resilience (“I’m holding on”). It’s an apt soundtrack for today’s investors as they acclimate to a high-tide environment of their own.
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White papersGreat Expectations: Is engagement living up to its promise?
Is ‘engagement washing’ poised to be the next term maligning asset management’s ESG movement? Institutional investors often engage with companies they invest in to improve those companies’ environmental, social and governance practices – rivalling capital allocation as a core mechanism for achieving sustainable investment outcomes. But do engagement activities really deliver impactful, positive, real-world outcomes?
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White papersMind the (economic) gap: Infrastructure Debt 2024 Report
Nuveen’s Don Dimitrievich was recently featured in Infrastructure Investor’s 2024 Infrastructure Debt Report and shared his insights on how the Energy Infrastructure Credit team is providing flexible capital solutions and finding opportunities in the gaps in today’s high cost of capital environment.
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White papersDoes corruption perception matter to investors?
It’s not lost on any investor that nearly half the world’s population is set to participate in elections this year, with a select few anticipated to significantly alter a country’s trajectory. With this in mind, we ask, do corruption perception trends matter to investors?
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White papersEngagement Plan 2024-2026: engagement priorities
With the release of the EOS Engagement Plan 2024-2026, in this video we explore four of our priority engagement themes.
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White papersPolitics and the investor
With more than a quarter of the world’s population going to the polls this year, we consider the investment implications of elections in India, Mexico, South Africa, the UK and the US.
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White papersNeuberger Berman Private Markets Q4 2023 Preliminary Valuation Summary and Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
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White papersGreen machines: the future of transport
The transportation sector is largely powered by petroleum-based fuels, and contributes about 25% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Clearly, there is a need to move people and freight, but leading global economies are working to decarbonise the sector through technological innovation, policy change and greater efficiency.
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White papersDollarisation in emerging markets
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income team believes nations facing economic turmoil, marked by currency devaluation and hyperinflation, see dollarisation as a fast track to restoring economic equilibrium.
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White papersIndia: The structural growth story and the long-term investment opportunity
India’s equity markets are being driven by fundamentals in the form of robust economic expansion which is leading to strong earnings growth. India is also, helpfully, in the draft of favorable geopolitical tailwinds. In this paper, we make the case for India—not as the potential new China or as potentially one of the best-performing equity markets of 2024—but for its own long-term structural growth prospects. We also explain why an active approach is needed to get the best out of India, to capture quality, navigate the challenges, and manage macro variables like inflation, interest rates and global economic growth.
