Outlooks – Page 32
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White papersESG in motion: a dynamic forward-looking approach to detect ESG ‘improvers’
ESG investing has seen some headwinds in 2022. The ESG indexes suffered in 2022 in part due to their low representation in areas of the market that have benefitted from higher energy costs, such as the oil and gas sectors, and high representation in growth sectors that have been challenged by rising rates.
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White papersEuropean Fixed-Income Outlook: Stay High Quality in 2023
European bond-market performance was among the worst on record in 2022, as Europe ran the gamut of geopolitical, economic and market storms. While problems persist and we expect further periods of volatility, we believe the worst impact on markets is past and that investors will find opportunities in 2023—particularly in investment-grade and select high-yield credit.
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White papersBBBs in the ‘Old Normal’
A key investment-grade sector retains its appeal, but selectivity may be important.
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White papersProspects for emerging equities are encouraging
Next year is likely to be a relatively lacklustre one for global equities. But that would still be a major improvement on the dismal 2022.
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White papersWhat 2023 holds for equities and bond investors
2023 will be a year when the investment environment slowly gets back to normality. Inflation will come down – even if not quite as fast as the market seems to expect. Economies will struggle for growth, but manage to stave off a deep downturn.
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White papersOutlook for Equities: Growth Stocks Are “Coiled Springs”
High inflation and interest rates brought significant pain to growth equities in 2022. Today, their de-rated valuations and resilient earnings fundamentals are presenting an attractive opportunity to patient investors.
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White papersOutlook 2023
The leaders of our investment platforms welcome the New Year with their views for 2023.
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White papersInfographic – Investing as the economy enters a new configuration
What should investors expect at a time when central banks are fiercely fighting inflation, economies are slowing and geopolitics and global economic integration are in turmoil? Check out this infographic for our views on monetary policy, equities and bonds, and sustainability in 2023 – in short, on investing in an age of transformation.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - January 2023
We see risks on all fronts, but with a little less intensity at the beginning of the year. As such, we lowered the probabilities from 30 to 25%.
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White papersA strained German economy can be good news for Europe
The energy crisis resulting from the war in Ukraine has altered profoundly Europe’s economic performance and prospects. Countries have been affected unevenly, based on how dependent they are on Russian gas and oil.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2023
An economic backdrop characterized by high risk of policy mistakes and strong regional divergences calls for a prudent stance in risk assets, especially now that markets are priced for perfection, leaving little room for any negative surprise.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook 2023: Finding Equilibrium
2022 was an ugly year for investing. As central banks battled inflation, interest rates soared and recession fears mounted. Equity and fixed-income markets broke with convention and fell in tandem. Nearly every bond-market sector suffered historic losses, leaving almost nowhere for investors to hide.
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White papersEquity Outlook: Rebuilding Conviction in Stocks for a Changing World
For 40 years, steadily declining inflation and interest rates buoyed equity returns. That changed abruptly last year. Investors must now adjust expectations to a new macroeconomic and market landscape that will require a fresh mindset to reach long-term goals.
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White papers2023 Outlook: Long-term perspective on markets and economies
There’s a new reality taking shape in global markets.
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White papersEscape From Flatland
A two-dimensional, return-and-volatility view of investments may not allow you to see important risks.
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White papersA downturn is ahead, but pinpointing when and where is the real question
Around this time last year we expected high yield markets to rebound after an August reboot. However, as at the end of October we were looking at our global high yield benchmark losing 15% from the start of 2022. Against this, we did correctly predict that the global yield market would outperform gilts and sterling credit, and that emerging market debt would be a key area of weakness, delivering returns well below the US and European regions.
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White papersCreditably building into risk positions amid falling markets
A series of bear market catalysts punctuated 2022 – from ongoing supply chain issues to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, political instability in parts of Europe, rising inflation and higher interest rates. While the economic environment would prescribe taking a step back to crouch and observe as the cycle plays through, government bond and credit valuations tell a different story, writes Gaurav Chatley, a Senior Portfolio Manager for European Credit at M&G Investments.
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White papersIG Credit Outlook 2023: Adding balance to portfolios
It has been a difficult year for fixed income in general. Stocks and bonds rarely decline in tandem in a calendar year, and 2022 was the only exception in the 45-year period dating back to 1977.
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White papersESG Thema – Special COP15 – The Paris moment for biodiversity?
From December 7th to 19th, 2022, the second part of the 15th Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity (COP15) was held in Montreal, Canada. Whereas COP15 was initially supposed to take place in October 2020 in Kunming, China, it was postponed four times due to COVID-19.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - January 2023
The bear market rally materialised, but strong US November job market data cooled the markets’ dovish narrative, creating a mixed picture for US inflation, given that the service components remain sticky. The Fed, for its part, slowed the pace of rate hikes, but reiterated that its job is far from over. We believe central banks, including the ECB, will be walking a policy tightrope, as risks of mistakes are high.
