Macroeconomic forecasts as of 1 September 2023
Amundi
2024 Top 500 ranking: 8
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White papersClimate-Related Financial Stress-Testing and Scenarios Valuation
We apply transition scenarios from the global multi-region multi-sector energy-economic MIT EPPA model to assess a large sample of issuers at the company level. We model the evolution of revenues and earnings for companies in the MSCI World Index under several scenarios of global emission mitigation (1.5°C, below 2°C, below 2°C delayed, and 1.5°C with limited availability of carbon dioxide removal technologies), comparing these to current trends. We analyze direct emission mitigation costs, indirect costs from the supply chain, capital expenditures, and cash flow trajectories, and their influence on other economic variables.
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White papersLocked ‘n’ loaded and ready to fire: first take on China’s National People’s Congress (NPC)
Premier Li Qiang kicked off the annual meetings of the National People’s Congress (NPC) with the government’s Work Report, marking the nation’s biggest political event of the year. Besides a busy calendar of political decision-making, the NPC is also closely watched by markets as Beijing sets the course for the economy and macro policies for the remainder of 2025.
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White papersUsing Factor investing to integrate sustainability objectives into a “3D” portfolio
The general philosophy of systematic equity investing and Factor investing is based on the idea that sustained long-term performance can be achieved through a well-diversified exposure to rewarded equity factors which are expected to effectively capture risk premia and optimize the risk budget of a portfolio.
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