Outlooks – Page 28
-
White papersFed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC review
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 25bp, to 4.50-4.75%, a step down after the Fed hiked by 50bp in December. The slowing in the pace of rate hikes was widely expected.
-
White papersMulti-Asset 2023 Outlook: Inching Back to Normalization
2022 was a historically volatile year for global markets, as rapid monetary policy tightening led to steep losses across equities and bonds. In the second half of the year, inflation started to decelerate from multi-decade highs and markets started to find clarity around a possible end date for rate hikes. But with monetary policy expected to stay tight, investors face further deceleration in economic growth in 2023—and possibly a recession.
-
White papersHow liquid is the green bond market?
The green bond sector has grown to be a $1trn-plus investable market that has seen a sharp uptick in diversification on the credit side and an increasing number of sovereign issuers.
-
White papersECB-inspired rally risks going too far
The European Central Bank raised its key policy interest rates by half a percentage point, lifting the deposit rate to 2.5%, and said it intended to deliver a similar rate rise in March because of underlying inflation pressures. It also gave details of how it will reduce its balance sheet. For corporate bonds, it plans to tilt reinvestments more strongly towards issuers with a better climate performance.
-
White papersPractical Implications of the New Regime
You’ve pinned down your economic and market outlook, but what does it imply for your investment strategy—and how much of that is realistic?
-
White papersMarket Perspectives: Divergent perspectives February 2023
‘Market Perspectives’ provide our monthly macro & market outlook and investment recommendations
-
White papersFour trends could power an industrial renaissance
Weighing in at 1.37 million pounds and with tires twice the height of a grown man, Caterpillar’s 797 trucks are a sight to behold.
-
White papersAn outlook for the sustainable bond market
After a muted year for sustainable bonds in 2022, there are indications that the outlook for 2023 is more upbeat. Malika Takhtayeva and Xuan Sheng Ou Yong discuss what the future might look like for corporate and sovereign use-of-proceeds bonds.
-
White papersHow to Calculate the Most Important Number You Need to Know
For better or worse, the path of this year’s U.S. Consumer Price Index will determine the level of markets.
-
White papersThe low volatility anomaly – Still going strong after 50 years
Half a century ago, it became clear that investing in higher risk equities is not necessarily rewarded with higher returns. This low volatility anomaly goes against the traditional belief that there should be an extra reward for taking more risk. The anomaly persists to this day. There is now a range of investment strategies seeking to capture the benefits of the anomaly, including our own.
-
White papersMacro Matters - Better than feared. Worse than hoped.
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
-
White papersSustainability watch: electric vehicles, hydrogen power, and natural capital
A sustainability revolution is underway and we believe it provides one of the biggest investment opportunity in history.
-
White papersA framework for navigating uncertainty
Uncertainty over inflation and central bank policy is likely to remain high during the first half of 2023 with a wide distribution of potential outcomes. Despite this, analysis shows that bonds already price in most of the downside risk and are expected to deliver favourable outcomes across a number of scenarios, as highlighted in the chart below.
-
White papersThe Investors Have Left the Building
Is money rushing to exit from non-traded real estate because there is more attractive value in listed real estate?
-
White papersChina’s structural growth - From opportunities to challenges with risks
After more than 40 years of economic reforms, China is arguably moving from an era of growth opportunities to one of growth challenges, characterised by reform fatigue, resistance to change and diminishing returns on investment. Looking ahead, what will drive China’s long-term growth?
-
White papersBonds are back: credit markets focus during 2023
This year, we expect the global economic environment to feature sluggish growth and an extended period of sustained high inflation. For the credit market, it will be a tale of two halves:
-
White papersCome Together: Opportunities Among Divergent Views
If there was ever a market environment that called for unbiased views and the ability to pivot, this would be it. With higher volatility, diverging macroeconomic conditions, and heightened uncertainty, investors are wondering what they could be doing differently and where they should stay the course.
-
White papersInvestment symposium – Macroeconomic themes for 2023
At our annual Investment Symposium, investment teams from across BNP Paris Asset Management debated the macroeconomic themes with the potential to shape markets in 2023, airing diverse perspectives and exploring the implications for portfolios. We share their conclusions on the main topics for the year ahead.
-
White papersCLOs: A Case for Higher-Quality
CLOs continue to offer compelling opportunities for disciplined investors—especially as robust structures provide protection against some of the lingering macroeconomic headwinds.
-
White papersOpening Bell 2023 – Global Market Outlook
The outlook is looking a lot better than it was, as US inflation turns down and energy prices fall
