Outlooks – Page 15
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White papersLOIM Circular Economy: three years of investing in the power of nature
Circular Economy, one of our high-conviction equity strategies, recently marked its three-year anniversary. The strategy seeks growth opportunities arising from the transition to a bio-based and circular economy, which harnesses and preserves nature and its valuable, regenerative resources.
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White papersPrivate Credit Outlook: Evolution and Opportunity
Private credit has in a little more than a decade evolved from a niche asset class to a key component of a diversified investment portfolio. We think it will be even more important in 2024 as banks’ reluctance to lend widens the opportunity set for investors.
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White papersOutlook 2024: Prepare for changes in the investing climate
Heading into 2024, it is difficult to remember another time when the outlook was so uncertain. Recession or expansion? Inflation or deflation? Higher interest rates for longer or central banks preparing to pivot? Take your pick and you will find a pundit arguing for each scenario as if it was a foregone conclusion.
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White papersEquity Outlook: Three Questions for Investors in 2024
It’s hard to chart a course through equity markets in times of uncertainty. Here are our thoughts on some of the big questions on investors’ minds today.
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White papersThe Monroe Doctrine at 200: Its New Implications for LatAm Assets
We explore the potential evolution of the relationships between Latin American countries and the U.S.
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White papersWhat has 2024 got in store for DB pensions and how will fiduciary management evolve?
For a pensions market that is all but closed to new members, you would be forgiven for perhaps expecting defined benefit (DB) pension schemes to be taking it easy. In reality this couldn’t be further from the truth. Mansion House reforms, increasing numbers of bulk annuity deals, and consolidation, all set against the backdrop of the upcoming General Election, mean that 2024 is set to be a year with many twists and turns.
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White papersOne Size Doesn’t Fit AI
Custom Application-Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC) chips could reshape the technology sector.
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White papersJapan’s equities surfing on the end of deflation
”Japanese equities may further benefit from the major transformations in the country’s economy and markets.”
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - January 2024
”While the year-end rally may offer some tactical opportunities, we keep a sightly cautious view on equities as markets are priced for a Goldilocks scenario.”
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White papersRate cuts: are they justified by employment data?
The resilience of the labour market, evidenced by low unemployment and solid job growth, is seen as a key driver of the US economy’s strength. But in 2023, the trend of robust job creation shown in the previous two years began to deteriorate as the pace of newly created roles slowed down.
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White papersAn Alternative Outlook Note for the Season
Headlines remain dominated by highly negative news flow, a tough geopolitical landscape and the prospect of a divisive US election campaign. With a nod to the season, rather than writing a traditional pre-year-end outlook, our final note to clients this year is a short commentary on what might be a more positive prognosis for the future. We will follow with a note early in the New Year featuring key themes for 2024.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2023
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited.
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White papersGlobal FinTech: trends to watch in 2024
Beating the broader market was challenging for many active strategies in 2023, including our Global FinTech theme. However, Global FinTech has had the highest absolute return among its relevant peer group since our inception in 2020. We attribute the longer-term outperformance to our strict adherence to seeking quality growth at a reasonable price. Thematic purity is also hugely important to us, meaning we do not invest in the ‘Magnificent 7’.
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White papersMacro Outlook 2024: The intangible cycle
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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White papersKey Investments themes 2024: views from around the Generali Investments ecosystem
The global economy showed remarkable resilience in 2023, avoiding the sharp recession that was widely expected at the start of the year.
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White papers2024 investment outlook: Selectivity remains the key
Views from the TIAA General Account: What are your expectations for growth, inflation and interest rates in 2024?
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - December 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 14 December 2023
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2023
Following 3.1% growth in 2023, we expect global growth to slow to 2.4% in 2024, well below the IMF’s expectations of 2.9% in 2024 and the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8%. The weaker performance of advanced economies is one of the main reasons for this divergence. Indeed, we expect them to decelerate from 1.5% this year to 0.7% in 2024, while the IMF forecasts advanced economy growth at 1.4% next year.
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White papersAnswering Clean Tech Questions with Large Language Models
The success of the “net zero transition” relies on the acceleration of the clean technology development to increase renewable energy capacity and low-emission solutions, but also to improve energy efficiency and enable carbon capture. Tracking such technologies and their mineral requirements is becoming increasingly important, but has traditionally required expert knowledge.
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White papersShifting Focus: 2024 Insurance Investment Outlook
As US insurance investors turn their eyes toward 2024, they’ll face a macroeconomic backdrop in transition. With this in mind, their efforts should include maintaining duration positioning, diversifying risks, emphasizing quality as credit conditions begin to soften, identifying relative value opportunities and balancing private allocations with liquidity considerations.
