Outlooks – Page 15
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White papersJapan’s equities surfing on the end of deflation
”Japanese equities may further benefit from the major transformations in the country’s economy and markets.”
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - January 2024
”While the year-end rally may offer some tactical opportunities, we keep a sightly cautious view on equities as markets are priced for a Goldilocks scenario.”
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White papersRate cuts: are they justified by employment data?
The resilience of the labour market, evidenced by low unemployment and solid job growth, is seen as a key driver of the US economy’s strength. But in 2023, the trend of robust job creation shown in the previous two years began to deteriorate as the pace of newly created roles slowed down.
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White papersAn Alternative Outlook Note for the Season
Headlines remain dominated by highly negative news flow, a tough geopolitical landscape and the prospect of a divisive US election campaign. With a nod to the season, rather than writing a traditional pre-year-end outlook, our final note to clients this year is a short commentary on what might be a more positive prognosis for the future. We will follow with a note early in the New Year featuring key themes for 2024.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2023
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited.
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White papersGlobal FinTech: trends to watch in 2024
Beating the broader market was challenging for many active strategies in 2023, including our Global FinTech theme. However, Global FinTech has had the highest absolute return among its relevant peer group since our inception in 2020. We attribute the longer-term outperformance to our strict adherence to seeking quality growth at a reasonable price. Thematic purity is also hugely important to us, meaning we do not invest in the ‘Magnificent 7’.
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White papersMacro Outlook 2024: The intangible cycle
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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White papersKey Investments themes 2024: views from around the Generali Investments ecosystem
The global economy showed remarkable resilience in 2023, avoiding the sharp recession that was widely expected at the start of the year.
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White papers2024 investment outlook: Selectivity remains the key
Views from the TIAA General Account: What are your expectations for growth, inflation and interest rates in 2024?
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - December 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 14 December 2023
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2023
Following 3.1% growth in 2023, we expect global growth to slow to 2.4% in 2024, well below the IMF’s expectations of 2.9% in 2024 and the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8%. The weaker performance of advanced economies is one of the main reasons for this divergence. Indeed, we expect them to decelerate from 1.5% this year to 0.7% in 2024, while the IMF forecasts advanced economy growth at 1.4% next year.
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White papersAnswering Clean Tech Questions with Large Language Models
The success of the “net zero transition” relies on the acceleration of the clean technology development to increase renewable energy capacity and low-emission solutions, but also to improve energy efficiency and enable carbon capture. Tracking such technologies and their mineral requirements is becoming increasingly important, but has traditionally required expert knowledge.
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White papersShifting Focus: 2024 Insurance Investment Outlook
As US insurance investors turn their eyes toward 2024, they’ll face a macroeconomic backdrop in transition. With this in mind, their efforts should include maintaining duration positioning, diversifying risks, emphasizing quality as credit conditions begin to soften, identifying relative value opportunities and balancing private allocations with liquidity considerations.
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White papersFOMC on Hold — Rate Cuts by May 2024?
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep its key interest rate, the federal funds rate, unchanged at 5.25%–5.50%.
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White papersWhat does 2024 hold for markets?
It is time to look ahead to 2024. This year has been marked by expectations of recession in the developed world and of China re-opening to positive effect. Both have proved to be the wrong horses to bet on. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we analyse the likely shape of next year and evaluate which asset classes stand to benefit.
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White papersEmerging Markets Outlook 2024 charts and views: Opportunities in a fragmented world
“Next year, EM growth is expected to decelerate on average to 3.6% from around 4% this year. Importantly, the growth premium in favour of Emerging Markets over Developed Markets is projected to continue widening.”
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White papers2024 Investment Outlook and Asset Allocation
US stocks look set to trail European and Swiss equities in a year that will also see bonds gain in response to slower growth.
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White papersConsider This: Is India the new China?
India appears to be facing an unprecedented window of opportunity right now, and international investors are asking: Is this the new China? Thoughts from Franklin Templeton Institute’s Kim Catechis.
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White papers2024 Investment Perspectives
As we approach the end of 2023, financial markets are at a critical junction. Major developed market central banks have hit pause on rate rises, prompting considerable uncertainty about what happens next.
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White papersGrowing green: Cultivating a sustainable future through an ecosystem service valuation
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income team believes that sustainable investing will be a dominant investment trend in the coming years, with structural tailwinds that could help improve financial returns.
