All Multi-Asset articles – Page 14
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White papersBuilding Your DGF for the Journey Ahead
Too many Diversified Growth Funds (DGFs) have left UK investors disappointed with performance. In this paper, we show how a DGF can be designed with clear objectives, constructed using guidelines that are genuinely outcome-oriented, and then managed to achieve its objectives.
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Asset Manager NewsAsset Allocation Update - MAY 2019
Cash flows and discount rates have moved in opposite directions over the past six months, and discount rate moves have triumphed. Take the year so far. Equity cash flows, proxied by earnings growth expectations1, have weakened across each major equity bloc or region, shifting horizontally to the left in Figure 1. Yet stock market returns have risen – moving up vertically – apparently shrugging off the weaker cash flow picture.
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White papersVideo: Reflecting on six years of Multi-Strategy Credit
As the strategy hits a key milestone in June, Fraser Lundie, Head of Hermes Credit, looks back on how Multi-Strategy Credit has fared in challenging markets since inception.
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White papersDelta: the beginning of the end, or the end of the beginning?
Are we experiencing the final late-cycle surge in credit markets, or is there more distance left to run? Alternatively, do low policy-rate peaks in heavily indebted economies signal the beginning of Japanification in the US and Europe?
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White papersItaly: no short-term confrontation with the EU, but uncertainty in the mid-term.
In the new forecasts for the 2020 budget and beyond from the Italian government (from the latest economic blueprint, of 9 April: “The Stability and Growth Path, SGP”), its economic projections come much closer to consensus than previous ones, pointing to weaker GDP growth.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: A sweet spot, but keep a sharp eye on the macro side
Risky assets have been in a very strong uptrend since the beginning of the year. The key question now is, where do we go from here? There are two main driving forces to focus on in the current context.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2019
If an investor had woken up today after three months and looked at the markets, he/she could reasonably say that not much had changed. The year started on strong footing and risk assets experienced a massive rebound in the first weeks of 2019, erasing most of the losses experienced in one of the most awful Decembers in history. As a result some valuation gaps have been closed somewhat, though not exhausted. Markets switched rapidly from a “fear” to a “greed” mood. Catalysts of the renewed optimism have included the dovish shift in the Federal Reserve’s strategy, and increasing signs of progress in the trade negotiations between the US and China.
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White papersFinancial Applications of Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Optimization
In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and Bayesian optimization. Gaussian processes can be seen as a generalization of Gaussian random vectors and are associated with the development of kernel methods.
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White papersThe Journey of Sustainable Investing A multi-asset approach seeking returns and a better future
Maria Municchi, a fund manager in the M&G Multi Asset team, discusses the development of sustainable investing over time, and explains how we incorporate it with our long-standing multi-asset approach in a new investment strategy.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2019
After a tough December, which led to an abrupt valuation reset, risk assets rebounded in the first weeks of the year, boosted by a market-sympathetic turn in Fed rhetoric and an increased optimism on trade negotiations. As the current reasons for optimism should be confirmed, we believe it is time to re-approach the areas of risk assets where the correction has brought value back, especially in emerging markets.
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White papersCross-Asset Investment Strategy: Is Turkey really out of the woods?
After having narrowly escaped a balance of payments crisis last spring, there are questions surrounding the Turkish economy, not to mention the many (geo)political tensions. Throughout this period, the currency has continued to experience strong downward pressures, leading to a surge in inflation. Recently, the markets seem to be recovering hope.
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White papers2019 Outlook: Expect a tougher climb
Slower growth. Rising rates. More volatility. 2019 looks to be a year that could be challenging for investors. Yet we believe the markets offer a range of opportunities, and we are finding a number of investment ideas for our clients.
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White papersThe Changing Face of Investment Grade Credit
In a recent interview, David Nagle, CFA, portfolio manager in the Investment Grade Fixed Income Group, discussed the investment grade credit market, including some of the issues garnering headlines recently and how the market has evolved through the years.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy Special Edition: Outlook 2019
With late cycle features continuing to materialise and a higher level of vulnerability developing due to the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, 2019 will require investors to embrace a more prudent approach, despite the benign global economic outlook.
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White papersAsset Allocation Update: The three tensions grabbing investor attention
Much of October was a brutal month for financial assets.
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White papers3 views on coping with market volatility
With swift and sudden market volatility, investors are looking for context and insight. Our economists and portfolio managers react to recent turbulence, giving you thoughts on how to understand and react to market moves.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts: Q4 2018
We stick to the view that 2018 will be the peak of the global economic cycle. 2019 will most likely be a year of deceleration albeit with still above trend growth, before a further slowdown of growth towards potential in 2020.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: November 2018
The late cycle narrative behind the autumn market malaise
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: October 2018
The hot summer in emerging markets has been a key investor theme in the third quarter of this year.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: October 2018
The hot summer in emerging markets has been a key investor theme in the third quarter of this year. While the ongoing US/China trade tensions continue to weigh on investor sentiment, the sequence of country-specific stories (Turkey, Argentina and South Africa) contributed to the almost indiscriminate repricing of EM assets, starting with plummeting EM currencies.
