Latest Manager Research – Page 7
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White papersA sort-of Super Tuesday
This week played host to ‘Super Tuesday’, a key date in the US presidential election calendar where key states hold their primary elections. This year’s results yielded few surprises and set up the 2024 US Presidential election to be a rematch of 2020.
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White papersMarkets heed data, not Fed Speak
Strong reports have swayed expectations for rate cuts rather than the Fed’s constant blaring.
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White papersWhere next for the rally?
Three key equity markets hit all-time highs this week as the risk-on mood broadened beyond the US and into Asia-Pacific (APAC) indices.
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White papersPrivate equity perspectives: Less capital, more opportunity
In a less-liquid world, many of the strategies that once worked in private equity will be less successful going forward. The shifting economic environment and the proliferation of AI are among the many dynamics that are opening new opportunities in the small- and mid-cap space.
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White papersA common language for nature-related engagements
What do we mean when we talk about biodiversity? Hannah Naumoff explores the different nature-related terms that have sprouted in the wake of COP15, and why it’s important to be clear about their meaning when engaging with companies.
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White papersTaking Flight: The Opportunity in Aircraft Financing
Investments in aircraft can offer steady cash flow and a return profile that’s uncorrelated to broad market indices.
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White papersHard and local currency bonds provide different routes to returns
Emerging market (EM) bonds are increasingly becoming a strategic holding for many investors but a key consideration in this is the different attributes of hard- and local currency-denominated bonds — the two broad sets of investments available in the asset class — and understanding the benefits each can bring to a portfolio.
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White papersReady for a deluge of new high-yield issuance?
US high-yield issuers are likely to refinance their pandemic-era debt and potentially benefit from lower interest rates in the next two years. The US Federal Reserve’s pause in rate hikes, the market’s expectations of rate cuts and the increase in mergers and acquisitions may incentivize high-yield issuers to come to market sooner rather than later, according to Glenn Voyles.
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White papersMirror image: Will this year prove to be the opposite of 2023 for China equities?
Reflections on the many reasons behind our more buoyant outlook on Chinese stocks this year
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White papersAre Consumers Weakening?
Our baseline forecast continues to incorporate a recession as we remain cautious about the economy. Although aggregate economic and labor market indicators continue to be strong, we are concerned about high consumer loan delinquencies, creeping unemployment, and affordability, all of which are potential headwinds to growth.
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White papersInfrastructure Investor: Flight to quality over quantity
“Diversification is key as global and macroeconomic trends continue to boost returns across the infrastructure debt market.” - Victor Kozel, Head of Infrastructure Debt
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White papersReal Estate Investment: A Global Perspective
The real estate crisis, stemming from the surge in interest rates driven by escalating inflation, is not confined to Europe alone. Indeed, it also affects the other major continental blocks, such as China or the United States. In this study, we want to offer a global perspective on the evolution of real estate markets, explore the diversity of responses provided by international players, and draw the outlines of what could be a “global real estate allocation” in the next cycle.
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White papersConfronting the ‘China bear’
Given China’s clouded economic outlook and the now deeply depressed ratios on Chinese equities, should investors remain negative on the Chinese market much longer? While it may be too early to become a ‘China bull’, recent domestic policy and geopolitical developments may start chasing away the ‘China bear’. So, what has changed?
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White papersCosting the Earth: measuring corporations’ impact on biodiversity loss
Investors can no longer afford to ignore the devastating economic effects of biodiversity loss, but they need better tools to assess and manage the risks. We introduce the new scientific research by our academic partners at the MISTRA FinBio programme which should help guide investors.
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White papersCredit markets: Finding opportunities requires patience and persistence
Brandywine Global sees plenty to like in credit markets. But dexterity and patience are key to finding opportunities and avoiding risks.
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White papersTaking action! Join us on our journey through sustainable investing in private markets
We believe sustainability is a key driver of value. Sustainability has been part of Real Estate & Private Markets (REPM)’s DNA for decades. Today, it forms an integral part of client discussions and investment decision across our business, grounded in our belief that sustainability is a key driver of value and must be considered to both protect and enhance our clients’ capital. And the sustainability topic is only increasing in importance.
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White papersTaking action! Join us on our journey through sustainable investing in private markets
”There is an extreme shortage of sustainable assets and the supply-demand differential will only grow in the future.”
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - March 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 7 March 2024
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2024
”European PMI data diverge not only in terms of sectors, but also in terms of countries and sub-components.”
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White papers6 questions concerning the weakness behind US resiliency
Do you see recent US data pointing to stubborn inflation? In January we had some upside surprises, encompassing import prices, producer prices, both headline and core CPI, and the PCE deflator. We think prices were in part boosted by seasonal factors which are not fully accounted for in the usual seasonal adjustment, something that also happened last year.
