Latest Manager Research – Page 6
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White papersEuro government bond opportunities in a rate cutting environment
With inflation decelerating overall and markets pricing in rate cuts for 2024, the environment is ripe for European government bonds to thrive, explains Mauro Valle, Head of Fixed Income at Generali Asset Management.
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White papersRents, rates and the refinancing gap: The outlook for real estate debt
After a challenging 12 months for real estate debt investors, Gregor Bamert discusses what lies ahead for the market in 2024.
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White papersIndia: The structural growth story and the long-term investment opportunity
India’s equity markets are being driven by fundamentals in the form of robust economic expansion which is leading to strong earnings growth. India is also, helpfully, in the draft of favorable geopolitical tailwinds. In this paper, we make the case for India—not as the potential new China or as potentially one of the best-performing equity markets of 2024—but for its own long-term structural growth prospects. We also explain why an active approach is needed to get the best out of India, to capture quality, navigate the challenges, and manage macro variables like inflation, interest rates and global economic growth.
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White papersThe case for US and EU industrial real estate
Notwithstanding some near-term challenges and regional differences, Clarion believes industrial real estate will remain a compelling long-term investment opportunity across the European Union and the United States.
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White papersHigh yield floating rate notes: Prospects in the next stage of the cycle
Global high yield floating rate notes delivered strong returns in 2023 during a period of heightened macroeconomic uncertainty that included double digit inflation and interest rate hikes. With 2024 well underway, inflation is returning to target levels and the prospect of slower, yet positive, economic growth has encouraged a cautious sense of optimism that a soft landing may be achieved. Here, we explore the potential prospects for this growing subset of the high yield fixed income universe as we approach the next phase of the interest rate cycle.
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White papersCan high emitters be net-zero leaders?
At LOIM, our way of deploying capital in the transition to a more sustainable economy differs from many low-carbon strategies. We do not only target businesses that already emit relatively low levels of carbon. Instead, we also seek out firms in economically important but emissions-intensive sectors – like steel and cement – that have ambitious and credible plans to decarbonise and whose progress might be underappreciated by the market.
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White papersAs tech shapes the future of flight, here’s how investors can get on board
The airline industry is taking flight once again. Between 2004 and 2019, flights increased steadily, rising from 23.8 million to 38.9 million annual global flights. Although flights dropped to 16.9 million during the pandemic, these levels could double by the end of 2023.
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White papersFrom climate pledge to portfolio: key net-zero policies
In the race to meet the emissions reduction targets set by the Paris Agreement, governments around the world are enforcing policies to decarbonise their economies. This poses a key transitional risk for investors, given the potential impact on industry and business operations. Meanwhile, investors face pressure from financial regulators to provide more information about their portfolio exposures to carbon.
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White papersHow to build a cross-asset value factor
MARS, our Multi-Asset Research Series, focuses on complex topics in the realm of multi asset to bring quantitative investment research back to Earth. This fifth edition addresses some of the complexities of forming a value strategy.
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White papersPowerhouses of growth in South-East Asia
As we look into 2024, we like countries and sectors with dominance in either local macro strength or global exports. We already discussed India in our previous insight. Our two other country overweights are Indonesia and the Philippines. We outline the reasons why in the latest instalment of our outlook series on Asia equities.
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White papersWhen the disinflation ride gets bumpy
The spectre of inflation re-emerged at the start of this year, particularly in the US. While we are not suggesting a surge in inflation recalling the increases of 2021 and 2022, it must be said that long-awaited disinflation is unlikely to occur in a straight line. This week, Simply put investigates the roots of a mini-resurgence in price rises.
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White papersDispelling 3 myths about the small-size effect in equities
As a factor, size is widely understood by equity investors and is often a feature of portfolio construction. With mega caps continuing to dominate market returns, we assess the track record of the small-size factor and dispel three myths that challenge its relevance in today’s environment.
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White papersAsian IT: the global AI enabler
The information-technology sector in Asia is entering a very exciting stage. Profound disruptive change powered by generative artificial intelligence could reshape the world in the next 10 years, and Asian IT is the enabler. Technology hardware is our main pick among sectors in 2024 and the topic of the second in our four-part series on Asian equities.
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White papersIs employment at the heart of US economic growth?
Every economist fetishises their chosen leading indicator for the US economy – be it the ISM manufacturing index, capacity utilisation rate or new home sales. We cannot overstate the dangers of this habit and prefer to base our analysis on nowcasting indicators. But if there is one indicator that represents a syncretism of the economy, it is the labour market. This week, Simply put applies an economic theory linking employment conditions to GDP growth to estimate US output for 2024.
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White papersCIO views: finding value through patient investing
How and where can patience reward investors? Over time, how could patient investors find better value? Across asset classes, our CIOs seek out areas they believe are underestimated or mispriced by the market and could offer superior prospects to investors adopting a long-term approach.
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White papersGold has been shining bright this year
”Expectations of a Fed pivot to cut rates likely drove the recent, sharp surge in gold. Now, geopolitical risks and concerns over lack of fiscal prudence from governments could support the demand for metals.”
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White papersWhat if the Inflation Reduction Act were repealed?
The energy transition is a polarising US political issue. For the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which in 2022 approved an estimated USD 670 billion to boost domestic clean-energy production and manufacturing, the November 2024 federal election will undoubtedly impact its future and the funding it provides.
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White papersThe Second Wave of the AI Investment Theme
The artificial intelligence investment theme made the “Magnificent Seven”—but could soon begin to disrupt it.
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White papersThe ABCs of Semiconductor Investing
Strategic shifts, global investments and the rise of AI mark a new era of growth and opportunity within the semiconductor sector.
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White papersTop Three Green Bond Myths
Despite the breadth and depth that the green bond market now offers, there are still a few hardwired misconceptions about the asset class. In this piece we want to share with you our thoughts on these myths.
