Latest Manager Research – Page 414
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White papersChinese consumers: your country needs you
Consumption now accounts for over half China’s economy, but spending is decreasing
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White papersBig Challenges for Equities, Bonds and FX Markets
A series of challenges, from the debt ceiling to Fed quantitative tightening to Brexit, will be confronting a variety of markets.
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White papersWhy SONIA is bored of Brexit
Are you Brexit-Bored or Brexit-Engaged? British financial markets are taking sides, too, in this messy divorce between the UK and European Union.
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White papersEM Debt: Navigating a Shifting Macro Backdrop
After a rocky 2018, the picture may be brightening for emerging markets debt. From rising rates to trade wars, some of last year’s headwinds look to be receding, at least for now. Barings’ Ricardo Adroguè and Omotunde Lawal highlight opportunities they’re currently seeing.
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White papersFed to End Diet
The Fed’s program to shrink its bloated balance sheet post-quantitative easing is drawing to a close earlier than planned as liabilities pose constraints.
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White papers360 – Fixed Income report, Q1 2019
To be considered relevant, a factor must first and foremost be backed by ample empirical evidence. In the absence of such evidence, academic research on multi-asset factor premiums could suffer from ‘p-hacking’ (or ‘data mining’). Recent research by Robeco uses new and previously unused deep historical financial data. The results allay any p-hacking concerns.
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White papersHow Airports Are Flying High: A Social Perspective
Holding airport bonds in our social strategies often raises questions. But aviation brings huge social and economic benefits, and is making great environmental strides
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White papersAsset Allocation Update - Much ado about equities and credit
Equities and corporate bonds often do well together. Over the past 20 years the “beta coefficient” between credit to equities has been 0.5 in both the US and Europe; that is to say, for every 1% rise (or fall) in equity prices, credit markets have tended to return (or weaken) 0.5%.
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White papersPrivate Real Estate Debt: the potential for enhance risk-adjusted returns late in the cycle
As the business and real estate cycles continue to mature, exposure to defensively positioned real estate debt strategies may provide investors a more favourable return outcome should economic conditions weaken.
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White papersIndia: Rupee Faces Significant Risks from April Elections
Indians go the polls in April to elect a new leadership. Can Prime Minister Modi’s party win an outright majority or will India have a coalition government?
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White papersMarket Perspectives - Patience is a virtue
Sunny spots are rare this winter. Economic data in in Europe and China have continued to underwhelm. Key euro area indicators including PMIs, Ifo and Sentix are at multi-year lows, following a sharp contraction in industrial production in Q4. China reported a slump in trade and the slowest annual growth in three decades.
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White papersThe inflation story: 2019 and beyond
In this issue of Ahead of the Curve, we assess the prospects for inflation in the US and the eurozone.
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White papers
EM Debt—A Brightening Picture?
Barings’ Ricardo Adroguè and Omotunde Lawal highlight opportunities they’re seeing from Mexico and Brazil to more challenged geographies like Turkey and Argentina—and provide insight into how they’re thinking about political hotspots like Venezuela.
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White papers
Tug-of-War
Buyers and sellers are in a tug-of-war in the bond market, where yields have been declining. Are buyers sidestepping the budget deficit and other factors?
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White papersAn Underappreciated Subset of High Yield
For investors willing to surrender a nominal amount of yield in favor of greater protection given a default, global senior secured bonds can be an attractive option in a recessionary environment.
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White papers
Brent-WTI Oil Spread Taking Cue from Houston-Midland?
The price spread between two relatively new futures contracts, WTI Midland and WTI Houston, has been over the past two years a leading indicator of the spread between the two most venerable crude oil futures contracts: WTI and Brent. The economics behind this might offer clues about how oil markets evolve in the future.
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White papersEuropean Loan Market - review and outlook
European loans found relative favour with investors as 2018 marked a return to volatility for global markets. European loan returns were modestly positive, thanks to pricing stability and high running coupon income, unlike other risk assets.
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White papers
China: Looking at Growth Past the Trade War
China’s growth is decelerating, it is loaded with debt and is involved in a high stakes trade war with the United States. Despite these issues, China’s economy appears to be holding up better than one might have expected. In fact, China’s growth could even accelerate in 2019 in response to aggressive monetary easing.
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White papersThe Journey of Sustainable Investing A multi-asset approach seeking returns and a better future
Maria Municchi, a fund manager in the M&G Multi Asset team, discusses the development of sustainable investing over time, and explains how we incorporate it with our long-standing multi-asset approach in a new investment strategy.
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White papersAsia Real Estate Market Outlook - February 2019
We believe domestic drivers should sustain the APAC region’s economic growth in 2019 despite external headwinds to developed economies Residential is expected to deliver the highest total returns in 2019 as growing institutional interest is likely to drive yields lower Logistics is forecasted to provide consistent returns of ...
