Latest Manager Research – Page 417
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White papersLessons learnt: 10 years on from the global financial crisis
Real estate was one of the contributors to the global financial crisis that began in 2008. Ten years on, it’s time to reflect: Charles Tarrière, fund manager for the PATRIZIA TransEuropean funds, discusses lessons learnt and how PATRIZIA weathered the storm.
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White papersNormalising economies may mean moderate returns
After 10 good years, the markets appear to be finally getting back to pre-crisis norms. Our analysis suggests that this normalisation may result in investment returns becoming much more modest than they have been over the years since the financial crisis, when extraordinarily loose monetary policy has boosted asset prices.
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White papersGlobal equities: identifying tomorrow’s ‘superstars’
After a bearish end to 2018, financial market participants are preoccupied with the question of whether a global downturn is imminent. Yet they should be asking a different question: have they accounted for the way that technology and other factors are transforming business models?
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White papersAsian Equities: US-China relationship to remain critical
Asia Pacific ex Japan markets started the year well, holding on to gains that were chalked in the strong rally in 2017. But by mid-year, signs of slowing economic growth surfaced, primarily induced by US-China trade tensions, leading to a sharp market correction, particularly for Chinese equities.
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White papersA tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.
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White papersFixation on Brexit misses the bigger picture
Reflecting on 2018, global equity markets have lurched from optimism to pessimism. At the beginning of the year there was a complacent belief in synchronised global growth. But cut to the fourth quarter and many strategists are speculating whether the United States might soon enter a recession and how Chinese economic growth is slowing as they try to get a grip of their own excessive debt levels.
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White papersFinding opportunity in Europe’s volatility
Looking back at 2018, it was a year when European corporate earnings continued to grow, while market volatility was surprisingly high. The volatility was a result of both political noise and the fear of a slowdown in global growth.
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White papersIt’s all eyes on trade for 2019
There has been a significant de-rating of equities over what has been a disappointing 2018.
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White papersRedefining the cycle – 2019 CIO outlook
We have already had the longest bull market in history and a very long upswing, so this cycle is clearly nearing its end, but we do not believe the end is imminent – rather the cycle is being extended and redefined by a combination of structural factors leading to low interest rates, low inflation and ongoing moderate growth.
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White papersUK commercial real estate – 2018 year in review
Returns for 2018 have yet again exceeded most forecast expectations. We take a closer look at the outlook for UK property in 2019 against an increasingly uncertain political and economic backdrop.
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White papersRenter Nation: U.S. Socioeconomics drive multifamily housing demand
State of the U.S. housing market: Increasingly a renter nation
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2019
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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White papersBrexit muddle-through towards the approaching parliamentary vote
The Brexit-related newsflow since the UK/EU agreement on 25 November 2018 has been quite intense. In our view, it has slightly increased the probability that the UK remains in the EU beyond March 2019, thus prolonging the uncertainty over how (and even whether) Brexit will happen.
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White papersBrexit Muddle-Through Towards The Approaching The Confidence Vote
The newsflow concerning Brexit has been quite intense since the UK government was able to secure an agreement with the EU on 25 November 2018. The most notable developments have been:
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White papersAfter Multiple Hikes, Could Fed Resort to Cutting Rates Next?
The Fed might be at the crossroads of whether to continue raising interest rates or stand pat in 2019, with some expectations for even a rate cut in 2020.
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White papersMarket Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.
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White papersCore Matters - Leveraging on “Made in China 2025”
Since its access to the WTO in late 2001, China has seen a stellar rise of its economy, managing to raise its nominal GDP eight-fold and to become the largest export economy in the world. Its exports shares in several products, especially in computers or mobile phones are beyond 80% of world exports and in a multitude of other items, the country also plays a dominant role.
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White papersFocus on fundamentals to ride turbulent markets
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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White papersPhase Transitions: Major Changes for Markets to Navigate
From the rising cost of capital to the trade war and key demographic changes, markets have to navigate through a series of phase transitions in 2019.
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White papersUK Real Estate Market Outlook - February 2019
The UK economy: continued resilience in the face of ongoing uncertainty
