Latest Manager Research – Page 421
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White papersPositioning for growth and opportunities
The last two decades saw the best and the worst of times for real estate markets globally. Most may recall vague scenes of the global financial crisis in 2007, which are now distant memories, as the world embarked on the next stage of economic expansion.
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White papersUS Midterm election: A divided Congress opens two possible scenarios
Key takeaway: In the midterm election Democrats win the House and the GOP (Grand Old Party) strengthens its position in the Senate.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts: Q4 2018
We stick to the view that 2018 will be the peak of the global economic cycle. 2019 will most likely be a year of deceleration albeit with still above trend growth, before a further slowdown of growth towards potential in 2020.
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White papersCentral European countries: Outlook to 2020
Global growth resynchronised in 2017. In this particularly bullish environment, Central European countries “outperformed” with growth rates of between 4% and 6%.
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White papersSocial momentum: How the bond market has an eye on the future
Just over a decade ago, in 2007, the iPhone made its debut, Tesla unveiled its first electric car, and the England football team returned home to the new Wembley stadium.
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White papersIn Credit: The sun shines on Brazil?
Core US bond yields drifted higher again last week with volatility in Europe centred upon the Italian bond market once again.
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White papersExpect a rise in volatility from a ‘no-deal’ Brexit
Amid growing speculation that the UK could be heading towards a ‘no-deal’ Brexit, market watchers agree that this would be disruptive for UK markets. But the impact on European markets is likely to be more varied.
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White papersItaly would have better prospects in a new financial crisis
Credit agency Cerved predicts the country is better placed to withstand a crisis than it was in 2008, with the pharmaceutical, tech and supermarket stocks looking most resilient.
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White papersItaly’s outlook clouded by populist policies
While the new government’s economic policies appear expansionary, a lack of clarity over how they will be paid for means investors may face turbulent months ahead.
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White papers
Extra-financial indicators play a key role in the analysis of sovereign debt
At Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management, the assessment of sovereign debt is based, amongst other things, on a financial model for analysing issues the takes account of both the budgetary and economic situation as well as banking risk. Since 2015, we have decided to round out this internal modally incorporating extra-financial indicators.
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White papersReinvigorating the Mittelstand
Germany’s small- and medium-sized companies have been at the core of its economic success story, but now their fortunes depend on their ability to adapt to mounting pressures.
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White papersWhy Spanish bond markets are celebrating divergence from Italy
The country tackled its economic problems earlier than its Mediterranean counterpart.
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White papersCashflow-Driven Investing
UK infrastructure debt: its merits for Cashflow Driven Investors
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White papersWill a sweltering summer heat up interest in responsible investment?
After exceptionally high temperatures, drought, floods and wildfires, will this catalyse investment in strategies that target climate-related risks and opportunities?
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White papersHow to access tech stocks in Europe
The US has “FAANGs” – major global technology brands that dominate the market – while Asia has “BATTs”.
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White papersTrade talk and Fed policy
Recent changes to US trade policy mark a significant departure from the trend toward lower tariffs which has been in place since the 1930s.
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White papersAn old-fashioned emerging markets crisis
The recent plunge in Turkey’s lira has once again put emerging markets at the forefront of investors’ minds.
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White papersPrecarious protection: why trade tariffs won’t hold back the disruptors
Disruptive innovation is one of the defining trends of the 21st century.
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White papersOctober volatility: It’s about discount rates not cash flows
The recent move in markets has been savage, with major stock indices all deeply in the red.
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White papersUncovering the hidden beta in risk premia strategies
The long period of low interest rates made risk premia strategies popular, especially because of their promise of uncorrelated returns. February 2018 was a first stress test as equity markets lost up to 10% in a few days. The majority of strategies showed a strong link to equities and generated significant negative returns. This was a reminder that picking the right risk premia strategy is crucial.
