Latest Manager Research – Page 352
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White papers
Seek High Yield Opportunities, but be aware of liquidity conditions
Speculative grade bonds have been among the major beneficiaries of the rapid turn of both Fed and ECB monetary policy stances to much more dovish positions. Lower rates for longer and more synchronised easing mean much lower funding costs and easier financial conditions for HY companies, which, as we know, are more sensitive than IG companies to the absolute levels of nominal and real rates.
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Global Investment Views - August 2019
The journey from market complacency to awareness of fragilities is in full swing, and the market correction in May is part of that, as is the recent recovery fuelled by dovish Central Banks (CB). Aware investors should recognise that the late cycle phase and mature market trends require improving fundamentals and positive political events to deliver sustainable uptrends in risk assets. But, it is difficult to see such improvements happening in the short term.
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White papers
Transformative tech hubs
The U.S. tech industry is rapidly transforming communities across cities nationwide. The sector is a major force in the national economy, now ranking third of all major industries in gross domestic product at 10.2% of economic output.
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The rise of the sun belt
The ongoing and rapid growth in the U.S. Sun Belt has been an extraordinary boon to commercial real estate investors. The region stretches across eighteen states in the Southeast and Southwest and includes seven of the ten largest U.S. cities, as well as many mid-size metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs).The Sun Belt now holds about 50% of the national population (326 million), which is expected to rise to about 55% by 2030. Over the past decade, the region accounted for 75% of total U.S. population growth (15 out of the total 21 million).
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White papers
Three Ways to Manage Liquidity Risk in Bond Markets
Liquidity risk has grabbed headlines recently after several high-profile funds imploded. The hunt is on to find ways to manage liquidity risk and protect portfolios against further setbacks—but not all investors will be up to the task.
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Amplified: Reflections on the 2019 voting season
Climate change, AI ethics and data governance, and the US opioid epidemic were among investors’ biggest concerns during the 2019 voting season, with a number of significant shareholder resolutions. We spoke at several shareholder meetings as part of our engagement with companies.
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White papers
Market Risk Insights: objective danger in the investment environment
Markets may have reached record peaks earlier this year, but the geopolitical environment is fraught and central-bank oxygen may not prop up asset prices for much longer. We expect more outbursts of pent-up volatility going forward as investors face up to the growing risks in this high-altitude market.
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White papers
Is now the right time to invest in CRE debt in Australia?
Based in Sydney, Martin Priestley is the Head of Debt, Asia Pacific, overseeing the origination, portfolio management and business development activities for Nuveen Real Estate across Australia and the broader Asia Pacific region. Here, Martin gives his view on why now is the right time for investors to engage in commercial real estate (CRE) debt in Australia.
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Are Distressed Small Banks Putting China’s Banking System at Risk?
It’s been 20 years since a Chinese bank failed. But recent bailouts of three regional lenders have raised concerns about systemic problems in China’s financial sector. While risks have grown for China’s smaller banks, we believe that the Chinese banking system remains robust.
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White papers
Investment Outlook: Lower rates: boon or bane for real estate?
Slowing growth and rising risks have – or will – drive looser regional monetary policy Strong near-term support to real estate values on lower for longer policy rate Increasing dislocation and divergence in market performance on uneven regional outlook Longer-term asset bubble risks in fundamentally weak markets Focus on ...
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White papers
Charter Pack - August 2019
Australia’s industrial sector has attracted a surge in investor and occupier demand over recent years. This is a trend that has broadly transpired globally, albeit at varied rates.
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White papers
European Smaller Companies: An Evergreen Growth Opportunity
In this Q&A, Nick Williams, Barings’ Head of Small Cap Equities, discusses the opportunities his team is seeing in the current environment, and explains why an active approach, combined with rigorous, bottom-up stock selection, is key to identifying high-quality companies.
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White papers
U.S. Loans: Challenged Market or Veiled Opportunity?
With loan and bond yields currently comparable, we believe—in a somewhat contrarian view to the market—there is a good argument for investing in loans, particularly in the U.S., where the economy appears to be marginally stronger than in Europe.
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White papers
Salesforce: investing in a low-carbon future
Salesforce has cut its net greenhouse gas emissions to zero and delivered a carbon-neutral cloud. The company has attractive fundamentals and looks well placed to retain its position as one of the leading cloud-computing platforms.
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White papers
UK Real Estate Market Outlook - August 2019
Despite the ongoing Brexit-related uncertainty and political upheaval, we expect property income streams to remain mostly resilient. Occupiers are still taking a ‘business as usual’ approach and, while cautious, investors continue to pile into alternatives over mainstream property.
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White papers
360° – Fixed Income report, Q3 2019
The protracted injection of liquidity into the fixed-income space over the past decade has resulted in more than $14tn-worth of negative-yielding debt. In today’s upside-down world, a flexible approach will help credit investors keep an active watch and avoid potential pitfalls.
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White papers
Don't Panic - Just Yet - How to navigate the buoys and the rocks of today’s markets.
There’s a moment that sends a chill down the spine of any sailor when a rock suddenly appears, off wrong side of the bow. It doesn’t really matter whether the chart was wrong or the skipper missed a buoy—it’s undeniably a sign of trouble.
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White papers
Initial repercussions of U.K.'s new prime minister
In the first week that Boris Johnson became Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, the Pound Sterling fell by 3.0% against the U.S. Dollar and the odds of a messy no-deal Brexit rose sharply.
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White papers
Sustaining the expansion – the Fed cut and what it means for real estate
After weeks of anticipation, speculation and growing confidence on monetary easing, the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its benchmark short-term interest rate by 25 bps at its July meeting.
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White papers
2019 midyear outlook - Expect a tougher climb
Trade and other geopolitical issues are heating up. Economic growth is looking more uncertain and market volatility rising. Expect a tougher climb in 2019.