All Global articles – Page 99
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White papersIn the wake of first-quarter reporting season, the consensus is probably still too optimistic
At -12% for the S&P 500 in the US and -35% for the Stoxx 600 in Europe, first-quarter results were hit hard by the pandemic, even though it had hardly begun by the end of the quarter. It is therefore a safe bet that results will be even worse in the second quarter but also that they will bottom out for the year. Even so, the consensus still looks far off the mark for both second-quarter results and for 2020-2021. Consequently, the positive impact from reopening the economy already appears to be priced in by far.
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White papersMarkets scenarios & risks – June 2020
We maintain the overall pandemic narrative confirming the probabilities, assigned to the base and alternative scenarios.
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White papersMacroeconomic picture – June 2020
The coronavirus crisis has pushed the U.S. economy into a sharp downturn, with severe disruptions of businesses and mass layoffs. Unemployment has surged into double-digit territory (14.7%); confidence on both the consumer and business sides has plummeted; and consumer inflation has started to reflect the consequences of the lockdowns, with headline CPI falling to 0.3% YoY (1.5% prior). The timing and profile of the recovery are still highly uncertain, but we expect GDP to contract between 4.5% and 6.5% YoY, with inflation remaining significantly subdued, with significant risks of moving into negative territory during the year
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White papersThematics Views – June 2020
As part of their toolkit to support the economic recovery during the Covid-19 crisis, central banks could implement yield-curve control. Although appealing, the implementation and exit risks of such a policy counterbalance the benefits, particularly in the Eurozone. Moreover, the impact on financial markets could be significant since chained risk-free assets could temporarily leave risky assets unsettled.
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White papersWhy a systematic fundamental analysis is key for Global Equities
As countries around the world plot their way tentatively through the coronavirus pandemic, we ask our Global Equities team: has their investment philosophy changed during the current crisis? And, when the dust settles, will sustainability be of greater importance to investors?
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White papersSecuritised credit: Where we’re going, there are no roads (part one)
Though we’ve seen global financial crises before, this one certainly feels different. Even the flux capacitor might not bring us back to where we were in January.
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White papersThe day after #4 - Inequality in the context of the Covid-19 crisis
For several years now we have argued that the social theme, and in particular the issue of social inequality, was becoming a major issue for various global economies and for investors, both institutional and retail.
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White papersDigital Drivers of Real Estate Opportunity
Shifts in technology are contributing to a new landscape in the listed real estate universe.
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White papersMarket weekly – Healthcare, an investment theme for the coming decade
Both US and global healthcare stocks have outperformed their respective broader markets during the coronavirus pandemic. This is just the start of a long-term trend, says Jon Stephenson, senior portfolio manager for US equities and specialist for healthcare innovators in our Boston office. In this week’s podcast Daniel Morris, senior market strategist, discusses with Jon why healthcare stands out as the sector that may become the investment theme for this decade.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views – June 2020
The dichotomy between the false market tranquillity and the high level of uncertainty about the length of the crisis and its long-term implications is striking. In our view, we are far from being out of the woods and investors should stay alert as current market levels are still pricing in a ‘too rosy too soon’ endgame. The race between the three cycles will continue.
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White papersEM Debt: Downturns, Defaults & Diamonds in the Rough
Barings’ Omotunde Lawal and Cem Karacadag explain how COVID-19 is impacting the economies of emerging markets, and how lower oil prices and loose monetary policies may influence the future default picture.
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White papersStructural change implications of the Coronavirus experience
As we sit here in the spring of 2020, looking out on our respective neighborhoods from our home offices, we’re well underway into another seasonal change. But unlike any previous spring season, 2020 has swamped us with unthinkable change. For far too many, this spring has brought dire economic and employment conditions.
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White papersWhy cities? Why global?
Nuveen Real Estate explains why an investment approach for global cities needs to create a diversified portfolio of resilient assets positioned for the long term.
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White papersBuilding back better: why climate action is key to a resilient recovery
As the world begins to plan for a post-pandemic recovery, we contend that governments across the world can maximise the longer-term benefits by ensuring that stimulus measures are combined with efforts to tackle climate change, thereby creating a more sustainable and resilient future for all.
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White papersVolatility, Tech & ESG: COVID’s Impact on Global Equities
COVID-19 has proved challenging for businesses—but opportunities have emerged, particularly for companies with business models built to capitalize on long-term structural trends. Dr. Ghadir Cooper shares her views on equity markets today and what to expect going forward.
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White papersG4S case study
G4S has significantly improved its health and safety standards and performance. It has come a long way to achieve this since EOS began engaging with the company in 2009 on health and safety management.
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White papersPrognosis Negative Amid Trade Tension Remission
Further criticism of China’s initial virus response may threaten additional tariffs and trade deals going forward. The E.U. appears to be a step closer to a common-issue coronabond and, U.S. high frequency data is pointing to some improvement in May.
