All Global articles – Page 113
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Contagion - Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 2Q 2020
As the COVID-19 virus spread around the world, sending markets into turmoil, our Asset Allocation Committee (“the AAC” or “the Committee”) met by video conference because governments were telling citizens not to leave their homes. These are extraordinary circumstances, and they make asset allocation decisions extraordinarily challenging and consequential.
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A Tale of Two Markets
March was the worst of times for financial markets, and yet the best of times for primary issuance of investment grade credit.
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EM Debt: When Prices Decouple from Fundamentals
Dr. Ricardo Adrogué discusses how the global pandemic has impacted emerging markets, including implications for sovereign and corporate debt markets, as well as interest rates and currencies.
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Investment Grade Credit Markets Make an About-Face
As investment grade markets pivot sharply, with spreads reaching their widest level in over a decade, investors turn disproportionately toward quality and liquidity.
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High Yield: Finding Value in a Landscape Rife with Risk
Concerns surrounding COVID-19, lower oil prices and a global recession have weighed heavily on markets—including global high yield bonds and leveraged loans. While value opportunities are emerging, the landscape is punctuated with risks that must be carefully navigated.
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COVID-19: This time is different?
While the COVID-19 pandemic may be unlike anything financial markets have experienced before, the past still offers valuable lessons for investors trying to make sense of the crisis, explains Euan Munro.
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Economic and Real Estate Outlook in Context of Covid-19 #2
Yesterday was April Fools’ Day, but unfortunately there is not much humor to share in the world as the global novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic continues to devastate countries globally. As of April 1, the number of COVID-19 infections surpassed 900,000 globally with the U.S. now leading the rate of infections.
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Markets Scenarios & Risks - April 2020
Covid-19 progressively moving global in March was a game changer for the global economy and financial markets. As policies responses to contain the damages of the virus became bolder, we re-assessed the narrative of our base and alternative scenarios. We changed the probability in favour of the upsides scenario to 30% from 15%, while the downside scenario moved from a probability of 30% down to 20% and the central scenario from a probability of 55% to 50%.
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Oil Jumps, Jobs Slump, More Fiscal Help Coming
President Trump expects Saudi Arabia and Russia to cut oil production and prices surged ~25% on the news. Initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits skyrocketed, doubling the previous week’s record and there is more talk of future fiscal packages.
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Muni bond myths and realities: Bonds are trading, leverage isn’t bad, and widespread defaults don’t look likely
Following a long, unprecedented period of stability and price appreciation, municipal bond funds experienced equally unprecedented volatility and outflows in early March as the COVID-19 pandemic, broader market selloff and economic uncertainty led investors to hit the panic button.
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Coronavirus: the long-term impacts on emerging markets
Beyond the shockwaves, immense uncertainty and eventual recovery, each economic crisis changes the way society and corporations operate, leaving scars but also spurring innovation.
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Central Banks Are Entering A New Regime: Unlimited Support
Coordinated actions by central banks and governments have a clear objective to prevent a sharp rise in bankruptcies. We are confident in central banks’ ability to address the liquidity crisis as central banks have entered a new regime: unlimited support. However, we have no strong convictions on the depth of the coming solvability crisis.
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EMD Market Update
Gorky Urquieta, Co-Head of the Neuberger Berman Emerging Markets Debt Team, discusses the factors that contributed to the sell-off of EMD assets over the past month and how the team is positioning portfolios in this volatile market environment
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Coronavirus – Weekly update – 01/04/2020
This blog is the first of a regular update on our COVID-19 strategy: our assessment of the virus itself and the public health approach for containing it; the economic cost of dealing with the pandemic and the policy responses to mitigate the damage; and ultimately the implications for financial markets and investment strategy.
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Market Volatility | Closing Bell Insights
On this episode of Closing Bell Insights, Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer of Equities, shares his market update and insights after the closing bell, including potential implications for investors.
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Are investors too complacent about the coronavirus?
In the latest of our editorial series, Link, AIQ brings members of Aviva Investors’ investment strategy, equity and debt teams together to discuss the prospects for financial markets and the world economy in the face of the coronavirus epidemic.
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What will climate change mean for insurance-linked securities?
ILS has close ties to natural disasters but we believe climate change will have a limited impact on the asset class.
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COVID-19: When it comes to pandemics, investors should listen to the real experts
In early February, with financial markets oblivious to medical experts’ warnings about the dangers posed by the coronavirus, Ian Pizer of Aviva Investors’ investment strategy team began to look into the medical research to learn more about the potential outcomes and the implications for the global economy and markets. What he discovered raises questions about financial market participants’ ability to react to issues they don’t fully understand.
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How Could Covid-19 Affect 5G?
The way we live, work and learn has shifted markedly since the Covid-19 outbreak. With greater reliance on online resources, we see an increased demand for faster network speeds that could be enabled by 5G. How could the pandemic affect 5G rollouts? Where are the opportunities? Watch YT Boon, Director of Research – Asia, as he shares his insights on the demand for this service.
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Audio Insight: The Course of COVID-19
Terri Towers, Senior Healthcare Research Analyst looks at the current progression of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as her views on inflection points and treatment timelines.