Fixed Income – Page 18
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A New ‘Impossible Trilemma’?
Can we lower government debt, sustain positive real rates and finance the transition to a low-carbon economy?
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Fixed Income Investment Outlook: 2Q 2023
Aggressive monetary pressure finally saw meaningful impact in the first quarter, in the form of a bank liquidity crisis that required swift intervention by regulators to limit contagion.
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SDG Engagement High Yield Credit, Annual Report 2022
In a review of the past 12 months, the investment team offers an in-depth view of engagement highlights, progress on milestones, performance and case studies.
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Fallen angels: beyond the downgrade
The dynamics of fallen angels make for compelling risk-adjusted returns but avoiding falling knives is paramount to maximise value for investors. From performance drivers to the supply outlook, we explore how active management can ensure we capitalise on a bond’s fall from investment grade.
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Sovereign Fixed Income: An Update on Our ESG Scores
A declining working age population has contributed to various problems for certain countries as well as impacting their ability to deal with them. Templeton Global Macro take a closer look and highlight five country case studies.
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PM Spotlight: A Stock-picker at Heart Manages High Yield Bonds
This issue of PM Spotlight profiles Sarah Harrison, senior portfolio manager for Plus Fixed Income. Read about Sarah’s first great high-conviction trade in high yield and what keeps her coming back to high yield bonds.
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Occupier demand delivers clear opportunities for lenders
Post-Covid, occupiers’ demand for best-in-class office buildings is presenting an opportunity for lenders, argues Dan Riches, Real Estate Debt Co-Head at M&G Investments, in this recent interview.
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A look into PAB optimization approaches for Fixed Income Investors
In this blog, the Bloomberg Sustainable Indices team discusses the rise in popularity of Paris-Aligned Benchmarks and provides an overview of certain optimization approaches for fixed income investors.
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How Will the Banking Crisis Reshape Financial Credit?
Banks’ stock and bond prices were battered by the crisis that overtook US regional banks Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank (SB) and Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse (CS). We believe that the underlying causes of these failures were idiosyncratic rather than systemic. US and European central banks appear to agree, as they have demonstrated their confidence in the banking system by continuing to hike rates.
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Slowly Slowing
One year since the inception of our Stagflation Shock scenario, the global economy continues to face elevated inflation and falling growth. Both are slowing, but they are slowing—slowly. And the descent has not been smooth.
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Cutting the Gordian EM Restructuring Knot
Our proposal addresses the current standstill facing EM sovereign debt restructuring as well as improves participants’ incentive to maintain market access following a debt restructuring.
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Sustainable debt finds greener pastures in 2023
Sustainable bond issuance rebounded in the first quarter of 2023, following a challenging 2022. This signals the overall decline observed last year is not a continued trend. Corporate and Government new bond issuance finished the quarter up 21.1% YoY.
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What the ‘next normal’ means for fixed income: reimagining core bonds
After three years of COVID, roller-coaster economies, inflation and central banks’ frantic fight against an uncertain future, it appears we may finally return to the world we used to know. The “new normal” – where rates are low, volatility subdued, and investors are willing to take on more risk – could yet return. But can it be so simple? After all the upheaval, are we really returning to the pre-COVID era?
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Income Generator: Beyond the Inflection Point
Volatility across the banking sector will likely mark an inflection point in policymakers’ current tightening cycle. We lay out five specific themes to help fixed income investors navigate the shifting markets.
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A Solid Case for IG Credit, But Caution is Required
Against a backdrop of elevated uncertainty, IG corporate credit—with healthy corporate balance sheets and a relatively attractive total return potential—looks well-positioned.
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Potential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector
Despite the failure of a handful of banks in the US and one in Europe, our view is that 2023 will not present a financial crisis near the magnitude of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008. The three failed US banks, Silvergate, Silicon Valley and Signature, had unique business models that proved to be meaningful weaknesses. They raised concerns about firms with close financial ties to small banks, particularly speculative technology and related stocks, such as cryptocurrencies, that unwound when they were caught in a bubble.
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*The resilience and diversity of infrastructure debt*
For investors eyeing stable long-term income from a broad and diverse asset class, European infrastructure debt can be a resilient solution. It has been as robust in times of crisis – witness its performance during the pandemic – as it has been across economic cycles. What is its secret? Infrastructure provides services that are in demand whatever the economic climate.
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Absolute Return Bonds? Absolutely.
Long-only bond investors were hit hard in 2022. Yields soared as central banks worldwide reacted – at different paces – to a spike in inflation led by energy prices.
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State of the Market: A Turn for the Better, but Struggles Persist
In this piece from Private Debt Investor, Stuart Mathieson, Head of Investments in Barings’ Capital Solutions group, discusses the growing opportunity set for lenders who can provide financing solutions for companies facing market stress and volatility.
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High Yield: Charting a Steady Course Through Roiling Seas
Banking stresses added volatility to first-quarter markets already coping with rising rates and recession fears. Still, with corporate fundamentals sound, high yield investors and issuers are more cautious than fearful.