Fixed Income – Page 47
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Green Light to Fiscal Expansion
EU fiscal rules shouldn’t restrain governments from spending what is necessary before economies recover. In the U.S., fiscal stimulus is boosting spending, particularly among lower-income consumers. Lastly, China PMIs showed temporary weakness.
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High-yield bonds – Everything is relative!
Investors can still find value in the European high-yield bond market even after a more than volatile 2020 in which risk premiums fell.
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How Deep Are The Scars?
What helps reconcile market euphoria with the very mixed global data is that central bankers remain concerned about the pandemic scars and have reiterated their accommodative stance.
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Investing in post-Covid-19 European private debt markets: focus on selection
Private debt markets have grown rapidly since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), with global assets under management (AuM) tripling, from $275bn in 2009 to over $850bn in 2019. The European market accounts for about a third of these assets.
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Covid-19 Disrupts Municipalities
Why have tax revenues rallied unexpectedly for California? Will taxing millionaires accelerate outmigration from New York?
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Tracking ECB’s Communication: Perspectives And Implications For Financial Markets
This article assesses the communication of the European Central Bank (ECB) using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques. We show the evolution of discourse over time and capture the main themes of interest for the central bank that go beyond its traditional mandate of maintaining price stability, enlightening main concerns and themes of discussion among board members.
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Mario Draghi: Deus Ex Machina or Knight of the Apocalypse?
The Future of Italy and Implications for Europe.
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Coronavirus highlights fixed income’s potential for impact investing
Investors such as pension funds are increasingly seeking investments with a positive impact, and the surge in Covid-19 bond issuance in 2020 indicates that fixed income is the asset class well-positioned to deliver positive social outcomes.
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Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities
Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021
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The latest evolution of distress language in CLO documentation
With greater flexibility afforded to the manager, what can debt investors reasonably expect from changes made to documentation for collateralised loan obligations (CLOs)?
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Bank bonds and the uncertainty principle: why financial analysts must look outside the box
Bank bond analysts could once ply their craft among the two well-defined research fields of macro-economics and financial accounts. But, as Fiorino discovers, understanding financial institution fixed income securities now requires analysis that stretches across traditional boundaries of knowledge.
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What do the unprecedented monetary and fiscal measures mean for inflation?
As the largest vaccination programme in history commences, risk markets appear to be ignoring the logistical challenges or near-term downside growth risks from tighter lockdowns imposed after infection rates in Northern Hemisphere countries soared over the winter.
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For diversification and returns: private debt and real assets
Investing in private debt and real assets can offer investors benefits such as attractive risk-adjusted return potential and real diversification, setting these ‘alternative’ markets apart from their traditional public counterparts.
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Why we don’t expect the Fed to taper its bond buying programme this year
In a world where sovereign bond yields are in the hand of central banks, the recent upward revisions of growth expectations for the US economy raised questions about the outlook for the Fed’s monetary policy. Growth is expected to rebound in H2 and very accommodative monetary policy is not a free lunch. The difficulty for the Fed is estimating how sustainable this expected improvement in growth and inflation will be in H2 2021.
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Taper or not taper: a key issue for markets
The Fed is committed to maintaining very accommodative monetary conditions and unchanged interest rates until the economy has returned to full employment and inflation has stabilised above its 2.0% target. But the Fed has so far been vague on what determines the pace of its asset purchases. It is clear that these will have to decline long before it raises its key rates. But when and on what basis?
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The greenness of the EU budget: implications for fixed income and industry
The EU’s significant budget allocations to address the climate crisis supports the decarbonisation of the economy whilst also securing the permanence of sustainable fixed income.
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Catastrophe Bonds: Natural Diversification
Following another eventful year in reinsurance, we offer a primer on catastrophe bonds—a growing and genuinely diversifying asset class that we believe is attractively valued.
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U.S. Consumers: Don’t Worry, They’re Here to Stay
Worsening U.S. consumer confidence data shows the labor market is expected to remain fragile, though spending should improve due to greater fiscal support. Eurozone inflation will likely accelerate slightly, and strong trade data from Asia shows global demand’s resiliency.
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Opportunity for Non-US Investment in Taxable US Municipal Bonds
With record-low interest rates dominating the investment landscape in Asia and Europe, non-US investors are expanding their search for yield to an unexpected place: US municipal bonds.
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United Europe: From discord to harmony?
Global politics are in flux as policymakers scramble to manage the pandemic and revive economies. Can Europe come together and carve a place for itself on the international stage, or will it end up a passive player buffeted by greater forces?