Fixed Income – Page 19
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White papersIt’s Time to Say Goodbye to ‘T-Bill and Chill’
Investors who wait too long to get off the sidelines may find they’ve missed out.
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White papersHistory lessons for Europe’s central bankers
Consensus is suggesting Europe has solved its inflation problems and substantial rate cuts are imminent – but is this realistic given how far economists and markets underestimated the recent price surge and policy tightening?
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q1 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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White papersGeopolitics in an election-heavy year
”We are witnessing a global realignment towards a multi-polar world, and geopolitics will be a crucial factor to watch for investors in 2024.”
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White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Crosscurrents in the US outlook
For 2024, we foresee several crosscurrents that could influence the outlook for US growth and inflation. Before we discuss those, let’s look at the demand and supply-side factors behind the remarkable resilience of the US economy in 2023.
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White papersFirst Quarter 2024 Market Outlook
PGIM Fixed Income’s First Quarter 2024 Market Outlook
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White papersEuropean structured credit review and outlook: From strength to strength
Structured Credit, and the European ABS market in particular, performed strongly during 2023, aided by attractive valuations, robust underlying collateral performance – despite higher borrowing costs for consumers and corporates – and significant income generation, attributes which have only become more compelling given the uncertain economic outlook.
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White papersThe Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
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White papersEmerging-Market Debt Outlook 2024: Turning the Corner
We expect a favorable environment for emerging-market bonds in 2024, provided investors stay selective.
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White papersNow may be the time for core bonds: Five themes for 2024
With inflation falling and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) signalling an end to its historic tightening cycle, the landscape for bond investors is beginning to look much clearer. Even after a sharp rally in late 2023, yields still look more attractive than they have in a decade.
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White papersWill Hawks Still Rule the Roost at Europe’s Central Banks?
As European inflation rates converge with targets, markets expect rate cuts. But central banks are set on a decisive victory over inflation.
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White papersEurope: time for fiscal consolidation
The public finances of Eurozone countries began to improve in 2023 and fiscal consolidation will intensify in most Eurozone countries during 2024. Still, fiscal vulnerability – particularly for the most heavily-indebted countries – will rise over time, leading to a higher probability that public debt will not stabilise. The aim of the new fiscal rules is to ensure the longterm sustainability of public finances, but funding for the green transition could suffer.
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White papersJobs and inflation on market’s radar
Like in 2023, inflation figures will remain, in 2024, an important driver of market’s expectations regarding Fed rates decisions. Inflation has come down by a lot, but it is still above 2% and the latest reading shows a slowdown in the disinflationary trend.
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White papersDiversifying income in a new era
With investors facing an uncertain economic and interest rate environment, many are tempted to over-allocate to cash and wait for further clarity. But we believe investors should continue seeking opportunities for portfolio growth and income generation, even if that means looking in unexpected areas. We offer three themes to consider, along with ideas for portfolio positioning.
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White papersSurfing the Curve With Short-Duration Credit
Why short-dated bonds may offer the most attractive risk-adjusted yield as the economy slows.
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White papersNatural Selection: Evaluating Debt-for-Nature Swaps
Investors are becoming increasingly aware of the importance of biodiversity and the urgency of preserving our planet’s natural capital—the stock of natural resources that underpin our economy and society, including minerals, soils, air, water and all living organisms. In response, bond issuers are launching more conservation-linked bond structures that can help indebted developing countries protect their vulnerable ecosystems. These structures require careful evaluation.
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White papersGlobal fixed income outlook 2024: opportunity knocking
The world appears to have moved beyond the height of interest rate hikes, inflation and economic acceleration.
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White papersA Compelling Value Proposition in EM IG Corporate Debt
Elevated yields, improving credit quality and lower interest rate risk are presenting a strong case for EM investment grade corporate debt—especially in a soft landing scenario.
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White papersEuropean leveraged loans outlook: Embracing the unknown
Despite another challenging year for financial markets, European leveraged loans bucked the trend generating healthy double-digit returns. Here, we explore some of the key drivers behind the defensive nature of the loan universe and ask: through the many unknowns on the horizon, could European loans provide solace for investors in the year ahead?
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 1Q 2024
Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate reductions, we think it will be more effective to focus on the ultimate destination of rates and adapt portfolios accordingly.
