All Credit articles – Page 22
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A High-Income Survival Guide for Late-Cycle Markets
It’s easy to get spooked in late-cycle markets. But we think there’s a way to de-risk your portfolio and still generate a decent level of income—no magic spells necessary.
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Investment Grade: Stable Fundamentals with Hints of Wear & Tear
IG fundamentals held up relatively well in Q3, despite dampened sentiment and growing macro uncertainty. Spreads were unchanged, but may move wider before year-end.
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Structured Credit: Engaging Risk Tactics
Deal flow remained steady in Q3, keeping primary market spreads range-bound. Against a backdrop of low global interest rates, we have seen increasing investor interest in European CLOs.
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High Yield: Poised to Capture Relative Value
Despite mounting uncertainty in the broader markets, high yield delivered broadly positive returns in Q3. As we continue to move through the late stages of a prolonged cycle, credit selection will be critical.
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IG CLOs: Strong Excess Return Potential, Lower Volatility
IG CLOs can offer investors the benefits of spread pick-up and lower mark-to-market volatility, largely due to underlying collateral performance and structural security. But above all, manager selection is critical—even at the highest-rated tranches.
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Core Matters Investment Returns: A 5-year perspective
2019 has seen huge inflows into Fixed Income (FI) funds and outflows from Equities. From a medium-term return perspective this makes no sense. The formidable demand for safe assets reflects cyclical and structural forces (e.g. ageing). No matter the economic scenario, FI returns over the next five years are ...
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White papers
Investing in an era of heightened risk velocity
For investors navigating current market conditions—an environment where a single tweet can change the market direction and momentum—it is not just the risks themselves that are challenging but also the elevated pace at which risks can move from peripheral threats to portfolio impacts. We call this “risk velocity.” This paper explores the primary drivers for this phenomenon and potential asset allocation implications.
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Strategic Relative Value – Q4 2019
A quarterly look at how macro events are driving relative value around the globe.
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Flexible credit: all-weather allocation
Flexibility means having the freedom to invest strategically across fixed-income markets. In the second instalment of our five-part series, we look at how flexible strategies generate returns by allocating capital and risk across the credit spectrum.
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Your Questions Answered by Hermes Multi Strategy Credit
Your Questions Answered: a quarterly Q&A series featuring the top 10 questions that clients and prospective clients ask our investment teams.
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Flexible credit: strategies for all seasons
A flexible, all-weather approach to credit investing has risen in popularity during the past decade. In the first instalment of a five-part series, we look at how flexibility has helped credit investors capture income in a low-yield world and manage duration risk. In an uncertain and often volatile environment, we consider what a flexible approach can offer investors at this stage of the macroeconomic cycle, and throughout the next.
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Leaders’ Perspectives: Quarterly – Autumn 2019
In the Autumn 2019 issue of the Leader’s Perspectives:
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Illiquidity: understanding the premium in fixed-income markets
Years of low interest rates have prompted fixed-income investors to look beyond traditional sources of yield and consider whether illiquid assets can boost returns. But while this illiquidity premium is widely discussed and increasingly sought, it has been inadequately measured and investors lack an understanding of how it operates in different conditions.
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Nuveen knows income - Securitized bonds: investment potential in a complex market
We think securitized credit may offer attractive risk-adjusted returns, but this complex market requires experienced, in‑depth analysis
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Distressed Debt: Seeking Opportunity in Choppy Waters
Investors are increasingly looking to distressed debt as the credit cycle matures. But with a competitive landscape and significant growth in private credit and European high yield, this cycle could look different than those of the past. Stuart Mathieson, Head of Barings’ Global Special Situations group, and Bryan High, Co-Portfolio Manager of the strategy, discuss how the macro environment is impacting their outlook, and where they’re seeing opportunities today.
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Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 - 2019
We expect economic growth to evolve around potential for most developed economies in 2020. It could subsequently decrease below potential in 2021 driven by a deteriorating cyclical environment and still anaemic global trade. Nevertheless, growth should stay in positive territory.
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Are Distressed Small Banks Putting China’s Banking System at Risk?
It’s been 20 years since a Chinese bank failed. But recent bailouts of three regional lenders have raised concerns about systemic problems in China’s financial sector. While risks have grown for China’s smaller banks, we believe that the Chinese banking system remains robust.
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360° – Fixed Income report, Q3 2019
The protracted injection of liquidity into the fixed-income space over the past decade has resulted in more than $14tn-worth of negative-yielding debt. In today’s upside-down world, a flexible approach will help credit investors keep an active watch and avoid potential pitfalls.
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White papers
Distressed Debt: How This Cycle May Be Different
Barings’ Stuart Mathieson and Bryan High discuss the outlook and competitive landscape for distressed debt and consider the implications of the significant growth in private credit and European high yield since the last cycle.