All Credit articles – Page 22
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Valuations, BBBs And Policy Change - European Investment Grade Outlook | March 2019
Companies in most developed market economies have enjoyed years of super-low borrowing costs The European IG market has increased in size from a face value of around €800 billion in 2005 to more than €2.1 trillion by the end of January But what might happen to companies were borrowing ...
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The Potential Benefits of Global Senior Secured Loans
In the current environment, senior secured loans are gaining traction for their potential to offer a blend of attractive yield and protection against both credit and interest rate risk.
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Default Probability Measure
In a world of integrated global financial markets, accurately predicting company default risk is important not only in traditional fixed income credit analysis but also more broadly across the financial industry.
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360 – Fixed Income report, Q1 2019
To be considered relevant, a factor must first and foremost be backed by ample empirical evidence. In the absence of such evidence, academic research on multi-asset factor premiums could suffer from ‘p-hacking’ (or ‘data mining’). Recent research by Robeco uses new and previously unused deep historical financial data. The results allay any p-hacking concerns.
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Asset Allocation Update - Much ado about equities and credit
Equities and corporate bonds often do well together. Over the past 20 years the “beta coefficient” between credit to equities has been 0.5 in both the US and Europe; that is to say, for every 1% rise (or fall) in equity prices, credit markets have tended to return (or weaken) 0.5%.
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Securitised credit: Main Street versus Wall Street
We take a closer look at how asset-backed securities can be used as a defensive asset for those seeking stable income in today’s investment environment.
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A changing tide: what the move from QE to QT means
If 2018 was the year where quantitative tightening started to take hold, 2019 is the year it’s likely to strengthen its grip. After a decade where central banks flooded the markets with liquidity in order to stoke the economy, they began to reverse this pro- cess last year, looking to shrink their balance sheets and normalise interest rates after years of unconventional monetary policy.
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Time to increase risk exposure: start with emerging markets and credit
The excess of pessimism at the end of 2018 resulted in a sharp decline in financial markets and renewed volatility. According to our analysis, market participants priced in twice the slowdown risk that economic fundamentals justified.
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Investment Grade Credit—Rates, BBBs and ABS
From inverted yield curves to potential BBB downgrade risk, Barings’ David Nagle discusses some of the key challenges facing investors in the IG markets today.
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The Changing Face of Investment Grade Credit
In a recent interview, David Nagle, CFA, portfolio manager in the Investment Grade Fixed Income Group, discussed the investment grade credit market, including some of the issues garnering headlines recently and how the market has evolved through the years.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2018
This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.
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US mid-term elections – an investor’s view
A Q&A with the Head of US Equities, EMEA, which discusses the significance of the forthcoming US mid-terms, Nadia’s outlook for the US economy and market, and how our portfolios are positioned in light of this.
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Q&A – the credit cycle and interest rates
The Head of Investment Grade Credit, EMEA, gives his thoughts on where we are in the credit cycle, what will happen to interest rates, and his expectations for the future and how President Trump might influence this.
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Shopping for high-quality industrial property
After a year of strong returns, industrial property is in vogue with investors.
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US smaller companies may shine as rates rise
Historically, when Treasury yields rise US smaller companies tend to outperform their large company counterparts – and we could just be entering such a period.
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Divided we stand...?
US yields finished marginally lower after being on the higher side for much of the week.
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What lies ahead for the US economy and markets?
The robust performance of the US economy in 2018 has led to the supremacy of US risk assets compared to the rest of the world. Moving towards the end of the year and into 2019, global investors have started to raise questions about whether the US economy and business sector will continue to shine, how inflation will evolve, and which direction the Federal Reserve will take going forward.
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Asset Class Return Forecasts: Q4 2018
We stick to the view that 2018 will be the peak of the global economic cycle. 2019 will most likely be a year of deceleration albeit with still above trend growth, before a further slowdown of growth towards potential in 2020.
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Social momentum: How the bond market has an eye on the future
Just over a decade ago, in 2007, the iPhone made its debut, Tesla unveiled its first electric car, and the England football team returned home to the new Wembley stadium.