- President Donald Trump’s performance on the US economy gives him a significant advantage over his Democratic rivals heading into the 2020 election.
- However, Trump has consistently polled poorly with voters on character issues including leadership, temperament and management skills. The potential fallout from the Mueller report and ongoing House investigations remain wildcards.
- The 2020 election could be another close call, possibly a 50-50 tossup at this stage in the election cycle.
- We see four potential election scenarios that could have significantly different implications for the US economy and investors.
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