White papers - all assets – Page 48
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White papers
Euro-denominated short duration – only upside from here?
The ECB is at or near the end of its historic monetary tightening cycle. From this point, we believe investors in euro-denominated short duration debt may well stand to benefit – whatever happens next.
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White papers
The Sprint to Year-End
As the September starting gun sounds, here’s what we are looking out for on the track ahead.
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White papers
Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - September 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 1 September 2023
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Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - September 2023
Japan’s Q2 GDP significantly outperformed expectations, soaring to a 6% SAAR* from 3.7% in Q1. This robust performance was primarily driven by a surge in exports, while domestic demand indicators, such as private consumption and imports, contracted. We have revised our 2023 growth forecast up from 1% to 2%, to reflect the Q2 surprise.
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The Eurozone economy under scrutiny, as the policy support fades
The Eurozone economy has stagnated over the last three quarters, although growth in the second quarter was marginally positive due to strong idiosyncratic growth in one or two smaller countries.
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G20 Summit Puts Great Power Competition in Full View
The G20 summit took place against a backdrop of deteriorating relations—not just between the U.S. and China—but also between China and India, which was the summit’s host country. Coming on the heels of the BRICS summit in South Africa, expectations for the G20 summit were low. Pre-summit deliberations at working group levels also created a gloomy mood among diplomats given the slim prospects for substantive outcomes.
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The ECB Delivers a (Final?) Dovish Hike
The ECB raised its deposit rate to 4.0% today, an all-time high since the launch of the euro. It cited uncomfortably high headline inflation of more than 5% as the key driver of its decision. Higher interest rates signal concern among ECB policymakers that underlying inflation could become embedded. That would make it harder to get back to the Bank’s 2% target.
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White papers
Why ABS could be an attractive option for European insurers
A fundamental shift in the UK defined benefit (DB) pension market, sparked in September 2022 by the government’s ‘mini budget’, opened the doors to potential opportunities across the balance sheet for insurance companies. Here we explore how European insurers may be in a position to take advantage of the compelling risk adjusted returns on offer in the European ABS market.
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White papers
Go global for higher income
There is a new reality taking shape in global markets and investors may need to reset their expectations.
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White papers
Commercial real estate outlook: There’s a storm on the horizon. Then what?
Benefit Street Partners believe the reduction in traditional bank lending capacity will likely create many attractive opportunities both to acquire deeply discounted loans and to lend on high-quality properties.
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Weathering the storm: Exploring climate change adaptation and the investor’s imperative
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income team believe that issuers that think critically about the environment in which they operate could outperform throughout the full market cycle compared with those who are slower to adapt.
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Is the economy in a late-cycle period?
Today’s unconventional economic context continues to confound investors. In this weekly installment of Simply put, we look to history as a guide for the markers defining a late cycle.
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White papers
‘Say on Climate’ voting: Losing steam – or set for a rebound?
Launched in 2020, the Say on Climate initiative encourages companies to consult shareholders about their climate strategies and net zero action plans at annual general meetings. The number of companies allowing such ballots doubled over the first two years, but 2023 has so far seen fewer initiatives. A recent paper from BNP Paribas Asset Management looks more closely at current trends, challenges still to be overcome, and the role investors can play.
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White papers
CBDCs: where do the projects and debates stand?
Since we first wrote about the topic in February 2021, a lot has happened on the Central Bank Digital Currency front. Most Central Banks are now at various stages of CBDC research, with several conducting large scale tests, and a small number even being fully launched. But debates regarding the utility, advantages, and risks of CBDCs have also been growing.
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White papers
2023 Nuveen Natural Capital Sustainability Report
Nuveen Natural Capital is on a sustainability journey that began more than a decade ago. Our 2023 Sustainability Report describes the many achievements along the way, as well as our current work and objectives.
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Fixed Income Views: Soft landing? Central banks trying to thread the needle
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income no longer projects a technical recession in the United States, and the trajectory of disinflation in both the United States and euro area will flatten—primarily due to wage pressures stemming from record low unemployment—and central banks are thus likely to keep rates higher for longer. Fixed Income Views presents the team’s fourth-quarter 2023 outlook.
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White papers
Considering potential opportunities in Significant Risk Transfer
A Significant Risk Transfer (SRT) transaction is a first or second loss protection purchased by a bank on a diversified pool of core lending assets, for example, loans to large corporations, as well as SMEs. Although the origins of the SRT market date back to the 1990s, it has only existed as recognised today since the introduction of Basel II in 2007. Here, we explore why now could be a good moment for patient investors to consider SRT transactions, and why this potentially compelling opportunity could be short-lived given where we are in the economic cycle.
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White papers
Investing in climate change: Private markets key to real impact
Finding the investment opportunities that can most meaningfully contribute to the fight against climate change means understanding the vital role of private markets.
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White papers
Global Investment Views - September 2023
”The current asymmetric risk/return profile doesn’t call for increasing risks. Instead, investors should stay balanced and search for signals regarding confirmation of the economic direction.”
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ESG Thema #13 - Time for action: Unlocking climate finance in Africa
This paper is co-written with the African Development Bank.