White papers - all assets – Page 299
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White papers
Slower Growth - Equity Caution Quarterly Allocation Views
Allocation Views features the Franklin Templeton Multi-asset Solutions team recurring updates about the themes and investment theses driving their asset allocation frameworks.
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White papers
Get active about your passive
The evidence is mounting that investors have given up on trying to beat the market in US large caps. For example, Bloomberg recently reported that passively managed large cap US equity fund assets overtook actively managed large cap US equity fund assets at the end of 2018.
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White papers
Default Probability Measure
In a world of integrated global financial markets, accurately predicting company default risk is important not only in traditional fixed income credit analysis but also more broadly across the financial industry.
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Q1 2019 - Global Asset Class Spotlights: Top Down Quarterly Assessment
The combination of monetary policy stances (more patient and flexible everywhere), encouraging tariff negotiations, Chinese authorities proving successful in their resolution to support the economic cycle are all potential triggers (and risks when mirrored) to risk assets and might help produce a positive short lasting reaction.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2019
If an investor had woken up today after three months and looked at the markets, he/she could reasonably say that not much had changed. The year started on strong footing and risk assets experienced a massive rebound in the first weeks of 2019, erasing most of the losses experienced in one of the most awful Decembers in history. As a result some valuation gaps have been closed somewhat, though not exhausted. Markets switched rapidly from a “fear” to a “greed” mood. Catalysts of the renewed optimism have included the dovish shift in the Federal Reserve’s strategy, and increasing signs of progress in the trade negotiations between the US and China.
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H1 2019 - Emerging Markets Charts & Views: Seek opportunities, but be aware of short-term volatility
Emerging markets (EM) started 2019 on a strong footing and, as a result, some excessive valuation gaps have been partially closed. Yet, we continue to see opportunities in all EM segments (equity, bonds in hard currency and in local currency) with a medium to long-term view.
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Multi-asset investments: Managing sustainability from a total portfolio perspective
Lesley-Ann Morgan and Jessica Ground discuss how to address the decisions regarding integrating ESG across multiple investments and setting a sustainability budget.
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White papers
It’s our responsibility to help prevent risks
We believe we have a responsibility towards investors and society. That’s why our fund managers actively engage with companies on ESG issues. When we can help prevent risks, we do – including antimicrobial resistance.
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White papers
Spotlight on addressing climate change
In 2018, a group of leading climate scientists warned there is only a dozen years for global warming to be kept to a maximum of 1.5°C in a report published by the UN Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change (IPCC). It states that even half a degree beyond this temperatures will have significant environmental consequences, such as increased risk of heatwaves, droughts, floods and food shortages.
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White papers
Brexit: an agreement is now more likely, but be aware of a no deal risk, not priced in
Developments and scenarios ahead: This is probably the most decisive week for Brexit and the situation is still rapidly evolving. Last night, Mrs. May and Mr. Juncker announced an agreement on the most controversial part of the Brexit deal: the Irish border backstop. This agreement is aimed at getting the U.K. Parliament to accept the Brexit deal previously rejected in January.
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A new approach to investing in emerging markets
Gavin Ralston and Kristjan Mee propose a new way of investing in emerging markets to benefit from the opening up of China’s capital markets
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White papers
Where Are We In The Brexit Process?
Despite the rapidly approaching deadline for the UK leaving the European Union, much remains up in the air. Trying to gauge the long-term economic impact is difficult, but we are seeking to minimise unwanted risk in our portfolios.
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Financial Applications of Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Optimization
In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and Bayesian optimization. Gaussian processes can be seen as a generalization of Gaussian random vectors and are associated with the development of kernel methods.
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White papers
2019 long-term capital market expectations
We believe the global growth outlook is improving, supported by fiscal stimulus around the world, the pro-growth policies of the incoming US administration and stabilized growth in China. We also see inflation hovering in the moderate zone for the next five to 10 years.
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White papers
FX Options Skews: Economics and Implications
Are FX options skews a useful indicator of whether a currency will rise or fall against the U.S. dollar? We looked at some out-of-the-money puts and calls.
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White papers
Doing the Math on Women’s Empowerment
No one organization is responsible for the advancement of women, and that means every organization is. Women’s empowerment starts with education. It continues with the ability to earn an equitable living, especially in fields where women are underrepresented, and crests with women playing leadership roles at work or owning their own businesses.
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White papers
A dovish ECB, a little relief for the banking sector
The European Central Bank (ECB) announced a new series of TLTROs starting in September 2019 and changed its forward guidance, with a commitment not to hike rates this year.
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White papers
Monetary Policy’s Effect on EM Debt
Rate expectations have changed materially across emerging and developed markets in the first quarter of 2019. What does this mean for emerging markets debt? Barings’ Ricardo Adrogué weighs in.
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White papers
Market Risk Insights
Mountaineers know that acclimatisation provides the best chance of success in an attempt on a formidable peak – and there are strong parallels with investing. In 2019, investors will need to be the equivalent of mountain-fit in their terrain: the markets
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White papers
Brexit Endgame: Interest Rate Scenarios
The UK parliament holds a series of Brexit votes over the next week that could have wide-ranging implications on interest rates. We look at some scenarios.