White papers - all assets – Page 276
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The Secret To Europe's Success
Bank integration will help the continent emerge from its doldrums.
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Employment, Earnings & Trade Momentum Ease Market Fears
Labor market seems in good health, earnings continue to beat expectations and a trade deal could occur in December.
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The alignment of Shariah and sustainable investing
There are more similarities between sustainable investing and Shariah investing than commonly realised. Why has one languished while the other soars?
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Trying to square the circular economy
With climate change continuing to rise up the political and societal agenda, increasing calls are being made for a global ‘Green New Deal’. Steve Waygood explores what this would look like and why we must start to treat the economy and environment as one.
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White papers
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 - 2019
Our medium-term baseline scenario is that of a late business cycle slowdown supported by the dovish U-turn of central banks. We expect economic growth to move below potential for most developed economies in 2020, a trend that will be further exacerbated in 2021 by a deteriorating cyclical environment and still anaemic global trade. Nevertheless, growth is expected to stay in positive territory.
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No Need To Panic—Keep Calm And Carry On
Fixed Income Views the US economy to be continuing to hold up relatively well and partly compensating for a mixed outlook in the rest of the globe.
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Our Analysts Talk Quality
Focusing on both offensive and defensive quality helps our analysts identify durable businesses in the pursuit of better portfolio outcomes.
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ESG for Sovereigns: One Size Does Not Fit All
ESG has risen to the forefront of many investment strategies over the last decade. At Barings, our EM Sovereign Debt team takes a country-by-country approach, assessing ESG factors in the context of sustainability and—ultimately—creditworthiness.
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FX Options Are Poised For Growth
A renewed focus on electronic trading is essential to fuel longer term FX options growth.
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Disruptive Technology: Keeping Pace With the Pace of Change
Barings equity analysts, Matthew Ward and Colin Moar speak with Dr. Christopher Smart of the Barings Investment Institute about their recent whitepaper, “How Will Technological Disruption Strike Next?”
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - November 2019
CIO Views - Limb for markets will not last forever
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China’s Growth Tremors: Risks, Opportunities And The Road Ahead
Economy: soft landing and light policy support. In terms of Chinese growth, we see the rate continuing to slow. Chinese GDP growth rose 6.0% in the third quarter of 2019 (Chinese authorities forecasted a range of 6.0%-6.5% YoY), the slowest pace since the early 1990s. Moving into 2020, we do expect that the new growth target will be set around 6.0%, if not lower, at between 5.5% and 6.0%, and our current forecast is confirmed at 5.8% YoY.Exports unsurprisingly have been weak, private capex has slowed notably, and public infrastructure has not picked up as expected. Going forward, we expect public infrastructure capex to accelerate, and the tight real estate policy stance to potentially moderate. Chinese policy mix remains stimulative, though in a very limited way so far and far away from the massive stimulus implemented in recent years.
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The Circular Q3 2019: keeping you in the sustainability loop
As responsible-investment activity heats up, we sample temperatures across the market to pinpoint flaring activity
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Targeting positive returns in an uncertain climate
A decade after the global financial crisis, the uncertain economic conditions it ushered in continue to starve Europe’s investors of returns
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Partners Group: gaining from long-term tailwinds
Private markets, including equity and debt, infrastructure and real estate, stand out as a high-margin part of the asset management sector that is still expanding, with returns higher than those delivered by public markets.
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Macro and structural woes leave banks out in the cold
With valuations plumbing depths seen in 2009 and 2012, and headwinds many and varied, is there hope on the horizon for one of Europe’s most beleaguered sectors?
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Italy is the eurozone economy most likely heading for a ‘lost decade’
As Japan found out the hard way, a healthy banking sector is key to restoring health to an economy. But Europe’s third biggest economy, with its vastly undercapitalised banks, looks destined to remain in the doldrums for some time
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The stage is set for a rebound in unloved European value stocks
Investors have been troubled by the region recently, with a growing feeling that it is mirroring Japan’s ‘lost decade’. But there are reasons to be positive about it, and we are bullish on defensive stocks which we believe are currently trading too cheaply
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Cybersecurity: Trade-Offs In Technology
The cyber threat matrix accelerates as it gathers sophistication.
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High Yield: deep diving needed due to a more uncertain outlook
Global growth has been slowing since 2018, due to a combination of factors, including trade wars – with consequently slower global trade – past US Fed tightening, and rising geopolitical risks. This slowdown has become more pronounced in the last couple of quarters, especially in the most open economies, such as Europe and some EM, while the US economy has remained relatively more resilient despite losing momentum.