White papers - all assets – Page 218
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White papers
Cautiously optimistic on US high yield
After a volatile year, Mark Durbiano CFA®, Senior Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager from the Federated Hermes Inc. office in Pittsburgh, remains hopeful for a better 2021.
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Cash Negative
The central bank pandemic response has left all major short-dated interest rates pricing near or below zero for years into the future: How can cash portfolio managers meet this challenge?
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Non-IG News: U.S. Elections and Implications for the Energy Sector
The Biden administration represents a significant shift in Energy policy from the prior administration. Robert Gephardt, Energy Sector Team Lead & Senior Analyst, discusses his views on how this could impact the Energy sector and what it means for Non-Investment Grade Energy, in particular.
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A few reasons why the Covid crisis may lead to less deglobalisation than thought
It is a widespread view that the Covid crisis will accelerate trade deglobalisation, including through industrial reshoring and shorter value chains. However, the most likely scenario is more complex, as trade in services may grow even more globalised, while the reshoring of manufacturing activities may run into a number of practical, yet also political, obstacles.
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Heading into 2021, what do we think about credit markets?
We think that a combination of improving fundamentals and ongoing monetary stimulus will push spreads towards new record tight levels. We see also room for spread compression in high yield. Sustainably low financing costs make high debt levels much more manageable. Consequently, investors should now focus more on the ability of companies to generate profits rather than their level of debt.
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Q3 2020 reporting season surprised on the positive side
Q4 visibility has shrunk as new lockdown put at risk the recovery. EPS rebound should resume in 2021 given the base effect, the ramp-up of stimulus and a potential easing of containment measures alongside the progress made to curb the pandemic.
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The vaccine is a binary event for the markets, not for the economy
Since the announcements of the discovery of a very effective vaccine, first by Pfizer-BioNTech and then by Moderna and AstraZeneca, the horizon has opened up. Investors are beginning to dream of a world immune to Covid-19. But one swallow doesn’t make a spring. Many unknowns remain (see p.4) and the Covid-19 crisis will leave lasting traces in the economy going forward.
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Big Tech at the crossroads…
Big Tech’s stock market performance has become more hesitant. A simple market rotation or a more durable phenomenon? With the exit from the crisis getting closer, sectors shunned during the pandemic could actually benefit from a catching-up movement. However, between its disruptive nature which is cannibalising traditional companies and interest rates which, apart from a slight increase, look set to remain durably low, Big Tech retains major advantages. Especially as its valuation is less exceptional than it seems, provided however that its profits momentum remains sustainable…
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Macroeconomic picture - December 2020
United States: after a record contraction in Q2, and an extraordinary rebound in Q3, we expect a significant deceleration in Q4, influenced by the new rise in Covid-19 cases and given the signs of a progressive deceleration in several economic and behavioral indicators. Next year’s growth outlook remains supported by the supportive mix of monetary and fiscal policy.
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Takeaways from our investment outlook: Legacy of the lockdown
In our outlook, we seek to help investors navigate the next phases of the pandemic, its legacy, and the ensuing economic recovery. We also consider how solutions to the climate crisis can be found at the same time as the world tackles the social and economic problems laid bare by the pandemic.
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GIS Euro Corporate Short Term Bond | Q&A with the Fund manager
Year to date the strategy is outperforming the Barclays Capital Euro Corporate 1-3 Year Index by +2.66%* proving its ability to navigate rough waters while maintaining alpha-generating ideas
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Climate Change Acts As Catalyst To Green Bond Market Growth
David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income at Franklin Templeton, discusses the rising demand for environmentally conscious investments. He highlights exciting developments in the green bond market, particularly in Europe, which is at the vanguard of sustainable investing.
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A Heartfelt Thanksgiving
We emerge from the holiday hopeful for a Season of Goodwill in markets, but ready for any last surprises that 2020 might have in store.
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Extreme makeover – Changing the face of REITs
At the height of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the listed real estate sector looked in need of an extreme makeover. Prices of real estate investment trusts (REITs) tumbled more precipitously than those of other asset classes as markets assumed the most pessimistic outcomes of restrictions on movement and lockdowns.
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Emerging market giants step up
The Covid-19 pandemic has ravaged economies worldwide. Weak infrastructure and healthcare systems, dependence on commodities and tourism for income, and high debt loads have left emerging markets suffering disproportionately.
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Emerging woes
China and India are jostling for greater geopolitical influence, within the emerging world and beyond. Their ambitions are manifold. For instance, China aims to lead the world in AI technology, India to take China’s manufacturing mantle. But over the long run, they won’t achieve their aims through armed conflict on some high Himalayan glacier.
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Costing climate change
Climate change will cause enormous damage to economies, especially in the emerging world. People in China could be 25 per cent poorer by the end of the century than if there were no further climate change if we do nothing more to slow the rise in global temperature. For Brazil and India the shortfall is likely to exceed 60 per cent, according to modelling by a team of environmental economists at Oxford University’s Smith School in a new report sponsored by Pictet Asset Management.
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Covid, a stepping stone to fixing climate change
The world stands to lose nearly half of its potential economic output by the end of the century. That’s the shortfall we face if we fail to make further progress on climate change.
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Technology: One World, Two Systems
In this issue of Trends Reinforced, Chetan Sehgal explains why the global pandemic and US-China rivalry has driven demand for greater resilience and security of supply chains.
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The outlook for Asia Pacific Real Estate Securities
Etsuro Akiyama is interviewed by Takahiro Ueno about his strategy and the prospects for exploiting the region’s real estate potential