Outlooks – Page 65
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White papersOmicron, Pi, Rho…
Omicron will not be the last variant that surfaces, especially with about half the Greek alphabet still unused. Much is still unknown about the risks, but they add another level of complexity to the outlook.
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White papersEconomic Outlook Roundtable
The global economic recovery looks set to continue in 2022, but a number of risks remain—from tangled supply chains to lingering price pressures. Join our panel of experts as they explore these issues from both the “top-down” and “bottom-up.”
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White papersSolving for 2022: Joseph Amato on Equities
As 2021 concludes, the leaders of our investment platforms got together to debate and identify the key themes that they think will guide investment decisions in 2022.
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White papersFed officials’ discomfort is growing with the inflation overshoot: why it will remain cautious
US consumer prices jumped by 6.2% in October, their highest level in 30 years! Deteriorating inflation data have pushed markets towards forecasting a faster pace of tapering and a more rapid removal of accommodation in 2022. We expect the Fed to act gradually as Covid remains a major risk and as the Fed would like to see a higher participation rate.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - December 2021
We change the narrative and the probabilities of the scenarios in line with our 2022 Outlook. The central scenario assumes that Covid becomes endemic with multiple waves albeit manageable, fiscal levers remain significant and tied to monetary policy and growth comes back to potential in 2023.a
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White papersOur best investment ideas
Broadly speaking, valuations across public equities around the world appear full, but we see opportunities across sectors and markets. We expect valuations to be relatively flat next year.
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White papersFocusing on the evidence: 360°, Q4 2021
What is our current view of fixed income markets? And where do we see the best relative value? In our latest edition of 360°, Andrew ‘Jacko’ Jackson and his team of specialist investors consider the areas that have the potential to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns.
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White papersMacroeconomic Outlook 2022: Compression, decompression, absorption
2020 was a year of massive compression of economic activity. 2021 was a year of fast decompression, with demand catching up quickly as we were reopening, exerting significant pressure on supply, triggering a rise in consumer prices unseen in decades.
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White papersInvestment Strategy outlook 2022: Coping with modest rate increases
As we head towards the second anniversary of the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic the disease remains one of the key worries for investors. It continues to have the ability to disrupt demand and supply and for this to be reflected in bouts of “risk-off” behaviour in financial markets.
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White papersLessons from COP26 ‘We have to realise that we can’t enjoy everything the way we have in perpetuity’
Covid may well have set back the march toward a greener planet, says Mitch Reznick, CFA, Head of Research and Sustainable Fixed Income.
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White papersOur Worst Fears Realized or Another Variant We May Be Able to Handle?
While too early to tell, the markets are taking this seriously as should we all. Unfortunately, this is not the post-Thanksgiving COVID note we had hoped to write, though spikes in U.S. cases were highly anticipated post family gatherings. We now have a new emerging variant to discuss, the concern that has kept us up at night may now be realized…
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White papersLessons from COP26: Deforestation pledge a ‘pivotal moment’
Despite landmark deals, work must be done to ensure emerging markets get back on track with climate fixing efforts after pandemic hurdle.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - December 2021
Halloween ‘ghosts’ of Fed tapering, the Evergrande crisis, and the earnings season did not scare the markets. The Fed telegraphed its message well: while keeping the option to adjust tapering depending on the state of the economy, it reiterated the “transitory” inflation narrative.
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White papersSimple Equity Themes for Complex Times
Here’s why we think value and income can offer equity investors both a buffer against uncertainty and an attractive opportunity in an ongoing reflationary expansion.
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White papers2022 Investment Outlook - Investing in the great transformation
As the global economy recovers from its pandemic scars and inflation makes its first comeback in decades, the world is preparing to face its greatest ever challenges: the energy transition to fight the inexorable climate crisis and the development of an inclusive growth model.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2022
Inflation remains elevated in emerging markets (EM) with ongoing but manageable risks. A significant proportion of the shock to EM inflation can be attributed to volatile food and energy prices. Normalisation of supply chains and base effects should help.
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White papersInvestors reveal their top ESG roadblocks
As demand for ESG (environmental, social and governance) investing grows, the lack of consistent and robust data remains among the biggest challenges for institutional and wholesale investors globally.
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White papersUnravelling the conflicts in ‘Double Materiality’
Where do you draw the ‘moral’ line and how do you have a genuinely positive impact?
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White papersLong-term perspective on markets and economies - 2022 Outlook
As we head into a new year, it’s clear in hindsight that the market downturn of 2020 was short-lived and entirely related to the COVID-19 outbreak. In my view, that means the powerful upswing in equity prices since then is simply a continuation of the bull market we’ve seen over the past decade. Market leadership today is essentially the same as it was before the pandemic.
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White papersGlobal poverty and the role businesses can play to help put an end to it
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are a blueprint for a better and more sustainable future for all. It is therefore right that the first of them is to “end poverty in all its forms everywhere”. However, the onset of the Covid-19 global pandemic has dealt a big blow to this aim, with global poverty increasing last year for the first time in decades.
