Outlooks – Page 9
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White papersEmerging Markets 2.0: The Tipping Point Is Here
The past decade has been one of “exceptionalism” for U.S. equities as technological innovation has created a league of American superstar companies driving extraordinary equity gains.
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White papersWhy investors need private markets
The 60-40 approach to portfolio diversification is being challenged, as traditional asset class correlations weaken. Can private markets be an alternative diversifier and should investors consider an allocation?
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White papersThe ECB’s road ahead: navigating the certain uncertainties
Europe’s economic backdrop is brimming with competing dynamics that have made the ECB’s principal mandate for ‘price stability’ more challenging than ever.
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White papersOil prices stop making sense
For the past few years, the expanded group of oil producers known as OPEC+ have tried collectively to stabilise crude prices by lowering production in order to dampen price volatility to the downside. But because several members of the wider cartel have different and conflicting fiscal and external financing priorities, efforts to limit output have not only failed, current production has increased. This would be newsworthy by itself, but is even more puzzling considering the potential impact of tariffs on global demand.
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White papersFrom Liberation Day to Independence Day
Business confidence needs to improve to restart U.S. investment and growth—could the forthcoming tax bill provide the impetus?
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White papersChina in the race to technological leadership
With its rapid advancements in critical technologies, today, China is a formidable competitor to the developed West for global technology leadership. Innovation can take many forms, including process innovation – in which China excels – leveraging its large and dynamic manufacturing base. However, this is not enough.
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White papersUS and China: balancing the decoupling
“Impacts of the trade war are just about to unfold, and some are not erasable by whimsical policy changes. It is complacent to assume there will be no structural consequence.”
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White papersTesting US exceptionalism? What markets have learned from Trump’s first 100 days
What were markets and investors anticipating from the first 100 days of US President Donald Trump’s leadership – and what’s been the reality? Click the link to read views from Fabiana Fedeli, CIO for Equities, Multi Asset and Sustainability.
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White papersTailoring real and alternative assets to illiquidity appetite
“Real and alternative assets are key to enhancing risk-adjusted returns. Private equity and debt are appealing in the search for higher return potential.”
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White papersThe forces reshaping China’s labour market
Few things define a nation’s economic story as clearly as its labour market. In China’s case, that story is one of staggering scale, deep-rooted divisions, and rapid transformation. With the largest workforce in the world, China’s labour market should be one of the most closely analysed. Yet opaque information and complexities obstruct conventional analysis.
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White papersThe End of American Exceptionalism?
The rest of the world is due some cyclical catch-up with the U.S., but talk of a structural change in the global economic ecosystem is premature.
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White papersFour scenarios for uncertain markets
There are no facts about the future — this much is certain.
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White papersPain in Spain: Why infrastructure resilience has never been more important
A dramatic power outage in Spain and Portugal in April 2025 starkly revealed our dependence on electricity infrastructure. Alex Araujo and Michael Rae explore the resilience of power grids and how the shift towards renewable electricity generation could create investment opportunities for infrastructure businesses.
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White papersTariffs: What comes next for stocks, bonds and the dollar?
Given uncertainty around tariff policy, markets will likely continue to gyrate based on the developments of negotiations, along with the evolution of US monetary and fiscal policy.
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White papersSurging Tariffs Are Flipping the Chip Script
The global semiconductor supply chain is caught in a high-stakes game of musical chairs, with potentially surging tariffs setting the tempo and companies (and nations) scrambling to secure their spots.
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White papersGlobalisation isn’t dead. It’s changing.
The latest round of tariffs launched by the US government in early April prompted a wave of criticism from world leaders, including some who say globalisation is now dead. As a global investor for over four decades, I respectfully disagree. Globalisation isn’t dead. It is, however, changing in a significant way.
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White papersDeglobalization. What’s Next?
We believe the Post-World War II, U.S.-dominated world order of globalization is quickly coming to an end. Between the possibilities of diversification, division, and disengagement that we discussed in our piece on globalization several years ago, the Trump Administration appears to be pursuing a disengagement strategy. Everyone— domestic players in the U.S. included—is now working to accommodate a less globally engaged U.S.
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White papersWorld markets review — First quarter 2025
Returns for US equities diverged from regional markets as investors weighed the implications of a potential trade war, waning consumer confidence and high valuations in the technology sector. After two years in a row of 20%-plus gains, US stocks entered correction territory, falling roughly 10% in mid-March before recovering some of the losses. European stocks rallied as investors rotated into value-oriented areas of the market.
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White papersFive charts that put market volatility in perspective
President Trump’s tariffs have put market volatility back in the spotlight.
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White papersQuarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook – Q2 2025
Investors started this year thinking that corporates and governments were better prepared for a Trump 2.0 trade war. That proved not to be the case, so how should they be positioning amid the turmoil? Find out more in the latest Quarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook: ‘Dispersing the herd’.
