Outlooks – Page 81
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White papersEconomic Outlook: 2021 and beyond - a slow and winding road to economic recovery
In his latest economic outlook report , Senior Economic Adviser to the International business of Federated Hermes, Neil Williams, summarises his expectations for the global economy in 2021 and beyond. Major economies have slowly started to recoup their GDP after an extraordinary year.
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White papersHow the US can lead on climate finance
A five-point plan for President Biden’s first year
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White papersMulti-sector fixed income – The outlook for US and eurozone debt in 2021
Yields of sovereign developed market debt have fallen to record lows in 2020. Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, and Olivier De Larouzière (OL), head of multi-strategy fixed income, discuss the outlook for bonds in 2021.
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White papersResponsible Investing Expands Further With Green Convertible Bonds
While investors have been aware of the merits of investing responsibly for a long time, the Covid-19 crisis is likely to increase the focus on ESG principles, which should play a critical role in the emergence from the crisis. In this context, green bond financing has recently spilled over to convertible bonds, with 2020 seeing a record level of new issuance for the asset class.
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White papersOutlook 2021: Private assets
Private assets continue to attract capital as investors seek better returns. We think private markets can continue to deliver, but will increasingly rely on hard-to-access areas and specialist skills.
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White papersUS healthcare in a post-pandemic world
The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed systemic weaknesses and technological strengths and could speed the kind of progress and change needed for better quality, more accessible and more affordable care. Already, in both the healthcare and IT sectors, leaders and first movers have emerged providing solutions for the medical and social issues the crisis has brought to the fore.
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White papersECB enters era of informal yield curve and spread control
The ECB is expanding its pro-growth and pro-inflation asset purchases and allowing the buying programme to run for longer. The objective is to safeguard favourable financial conditions as the eurozone grapples with the economic fallout of the COVID crisis. In effect, the ECB is encouraging investors to search for yield, particularly in those markets for risk assets where the ECB is active.
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White papersGlobal Insights – Outlook for 2021
Primed by continued global monetary stimulus and exuberant global fiscal spending, and further boosted by the fading of the tail risks that had plagued markets through 2020, capital markets are facing one of their best backdrops in years. 2021 could turn out to be the year that the overdue cyclical rotation, 10 years in the making, finally materializes and, importantly, takes hold. Make no mistake, there is still a high level of uncertainty going into 2021.
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White papersGlobal IG: Don’t Underestimate Changed Behaviours
We came into 2020 on the back of one of the longest expansion phases ever, with increasingly loose monetary policy extending the growth cycle. Because of that growth and low interest rates, companies had been gearing up and corporate leverage was actually relatively high going into the pandemic.
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White papersDebt deliveries: US consumers bat on in fading light
The US consumer has long been in the top order of the global economy but, as Fiorino discovers, the days of debt-fuelled hit-outs on tame pitches could soon be over.
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White papersVulnerability And Resiliency Through Upheaval
The COVID-19 pandemic instigated extraordinary challenges, uncertainties and upheavals in 2020. Businesses and individuals learned how to cope, while financial markets generally remained resilient.
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White papersFixed Income: Security Selection A Key Driver Of Outperformance
The US Federal Reserve’s aggressive response to the coronavirus pandemic has driven yields on safe-haven debt to near zero, leaving “low-risk” portfolios increasingly susceptible to interest rate-driven price volatility.
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White papersFirst in, first out: what next for China?
As China emerges from the disruption wrought by the Covid-19 pandemic, we consider our outlook for the world’s second-largest economy. China is embarking on an ambitious strategy to transition its economic model, while also attempting to drive more sustainable practices.
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White papersAsset Allocation Views: A Brighter Year Ahead
In our Allocation Views, we retain a relatively cautious view despite positive headlines on vaccines as the risks to recovery remain tilted to the downside.
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White papersSustainable investing – challenges and best practices
In the midst of nearly unprecedented market volatility, sustainable business practices are proving their mettle. Companies with strong stakeholder relationships, a deep commitment to employees, smaller carbon footprints and a longer-term focus are weathering the downturn significantly better than those without such standards. While no one would have chosen these particular testing grounds, the results are clear: sustainability has real-world consequences.
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White papersCentral Banks: leading the path towards Impact Investing
Central Banks are right now accelerating a tectonic shift. This summer at Jackson Hole, Fed Chairman, Mr. Powell has set-up the new objectives of the FED: inclusive employment is now key. As stated, “Inflation that is persistently too low can pose serious risks to the economy”1 and an inclusive employment2 is one way to solve it; it leads the FED to “a focus on inequality”3 with an attention paid on education as “people who don’t have advanced skills now have less ability to profit from the technology that is everywhere in our economy”4.
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White papersESG investing in Asia - an invisible evolution
Sustainable and responsible investing is fast becoming one of the most important investment criteria globally, and in Asia, while the uptake has been slower, this trend is growing. Moreover, sustainability is now also seen as an important economic driver for investment performance.
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White papersImpact investing: a key role to play in reshaping the future
Today, the world is confronting the global coronavirus pandemic, which has put a severe strain on health systems and economies worldwide.
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White papersHydrogen: science fiction made real?
Fourteen member states of the European Union (EU) have already included a strategy for the use of hydrogen as part of their plans to support the post COVID lockdown economic recovery plans. David Czupryna, Head of ESG Development at Candriam, writes that the recent investment package of EUR15bn by the German and French governments is a serious step but only one of many required, with a lot of investment and opportunities still to come.
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White papersHidden ESG gems: the “improvers” philosophy
Traditional alpha opportunities tend to be found in underappreciated areas of the market where an expected improvement in fundamentals will lead to a rerating of the stock. The same can be said for ESG investing: companies that embrace and improve their ESG profile will be rewarded by the market.
