Outlooks – Page 8
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White papersMiddle East Conflict: From Diplomacy to Disruption
U.S. strikes in Iran have escalated the conflict. What should investors watch for next?
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White papersAnother risk in 2025: geopolitical conflict
Geopolitical tensions, especially in the Middle East, could disrupt energy markets and push oil prices sharply higher. However, markets have historically rebounded quickly from such shocks, with fundamentals remaining the key long-term driver.
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White papersIntroducing the new QESG 3.0: The next generation
The Global Equity ESG Pathway team’s assessment of ESG – the QESG Score – is embedded directly within our stock selection model and is a crucial part of how we determine the expected return of investments. In this paper, we provide a rundown of what’s changed in the next iteration of QESG.
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White papersA history of quant
Quantitative investing (quant) encompasses a broad range of strategies that use data analysis, mathematical modelling and automated transactions to deliver investment returns. In our latest paper, we discuss how quant strategies have evolved over recent decades; explore how they have been enhanced by advances in technology; and dispel some of the myths that have grown up around them.
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White papersDo quants dream of electric sheep?
With a hat tip to the sci-fi classic by Philip K Dick, we explain why a quant approach doesn’t have to be the computer-driven black box of popular imagination.
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White papersWhat Lies Ahead in the Next 100 Days?
Amid global trade tensions and new questions about how economies will interact going forward, the path ahead lacks clarity. For now, uncertainty may play a lead role in how global economies and markets perform-until the fog begins to clear.
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White papersMid-year Investment Outlook 2025
“Despite unpredictable policymaking, business resilience, and the reorganisation of global trade and financial systems, the expected rate cuts from central banks will create opportunities in global equities. We are focusing on themes such as European defence spending, US deregulation, corporate governance reform in Japan, and the ‘Make in India’ initiative.”
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White papersThe Great Diversification is underway
We are now firmly in the riskier, messier, more factious world we predicted. While the US president is not the cause of the geopolitical shifts underway over the last few years, his administration is accelerating some drivers. For example, tariffs are intensifying economic friction, while the reduction of US commitments to Europe’s security and ambitions in space are contributing to a new arms race. The US, under Trump, also emerged as an additional disruptor.
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White papersWhat’s in store for financial markets in the second half of the year?
Despite a strong rebound in equities, ongoing inflation and policy uncertainty are likely to keep market volatility elevated in the second half of 2025. Investors are advised to stay diversified and focus on long-term, income-generating opportunities.
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White papersStock market outook: New growth catalysts amid volatility
As tariffs, trade wars and real wars upend the global economy, the path of equity markets remains uncertain heading into the second half of 2025.
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White papersAre Foreign Investors Really “Dumping” US Treasury Bonds?
Amid rising concerns over foreign divestment from U.S. Treasuries, this paper offers a data-driven perspective for investors. It examines the evolving dynamics of global capital flows and their implications for Treasury demand, portfolio strategy, and market stability.
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White papersEconomic outlook: Higher uncertainty, lower growth
There are many ways to describe the outlook for the US and world economies. But at the midpoint of 2025, one word has risen to the top of the lexicon: uncertainty.
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White papersMid-year Perspectives 2025: Cutting through the noise
Mid-2025 brings slower growth and policy uncertainty, with markets struggling to separate signal from noise. Diversification and quality assets remain key to navigating volatility.
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White papersMidyear macro outlook: A new dawn of uncertainty
Geopolitical tensions, tariff uncertainty and global economic slowdown look set to define the second half of 2025. Our global CIO looks at why active management and research-led investing are the way to navigate this global complexity.
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White papersConfidence up for May but what comes next?
US consumer confidence index rose sharply, and above expectations, in May to 98.0, mainly due to a temporary trade truce between the US and China on tariffs. Expectations about the near future also improved.
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White papersThe Consumer Hangs In
Amid changing policy dynamics, fluctuating markets and swings in sentiment, the U.S. consumer has, so far, remained surprisingly resilient.
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White papersWill Smart Glasses Replace Smart Phones?
AI-powered eyewear offers a glimpse into the (not-so-distant) future. Growth investors, take heed.
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White papersCan Tomorrow’s Natural Hazards Inform Today’s Investment Decisions?
New research connects intensifying natural perils to their future implications for asset classes.
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White papersConfusing Correlations: What’s Really Behind Them?
In recent weeks we’ve witnessed extreme (and at times, puzzling) correlations among asset classes. In this paper, we break down the potentially misunderstood drivers of these strange dynamics and their implications for investors.
