Outlooks – Page 8
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White papersA sort-of Super Tuesday
This week played host to ‘Super Tuesday’, a key date in the US presidential election calendar where key states hold their primary elections. This year’s results yielded few surprises and set up the 2024 US Presidential election to be a rematch of 2020.
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White papersWhere next for the rally?
Three key equity markets hit all-time highs this week as the risk-on mood broadened beyond the US and into Asia-Pacific (APAC) indices.
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White papersTaking Flight: The Opportunity in Aircraft Financing
Investments in aircraft can offer steady cash flow and a return profile that’s uncorrelated to broad market indices.
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White papersInfrastructure Investor: Flight to quality over quantity
“Diversification is key as global and macroeconomic trends continue to boost returns across the infrastructure debt market.”
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White papersConfronting the ‘China bear’
Given China’s clouded economic outlook and the now deeply depressed ratios on Chinese equities, should investors remain negative on the Chinese market much longer? While it may be too early to become a ‘China bull’, recent domestic policy and geopolitical developments may start chasing away the ‘China bear’. So, what has changed?
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White papersTaking action! Join us on our journey through sustainable investing in private markets
”There is an extreme shortage of sustainable assets and the supply-demand differential will only grow in the future.”
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - March 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 7 March 2024
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2024
”European PMI data diverge not only in terms of sectors, but also in terms of countries and sub-components.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2024
“While we expect the Fed, Bank of England and ECB to start rate cuts around June, we will keep an eye on the pace of disinflation for any surprises.”
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White papersIlliquidity premia in private debt: Q4 2023
In our latest real assets deep dive, our research team crunches the data to see how evolving macro conditions are reflected in private debt returns.
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White papersSuper Tuesday points to a super-charged battle
“A Trump-Biden rematch looks likely in November. As we move closer to the elections, market uncertainty will rise given the candidates’ divergent approach to foreign policy and geopolitics.”
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White papers2024 Private Markets Outlook: Compelling opportunities amid a liquidity crunch
After a challenging 2023, we think that institutions who can be a provider of liquidity to others or have the flexibility to deploy additional capital will be able to take advantage of some unique and compelling risk-return opportunities in 2024.
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White papersEnter the dragon: Why China is competitively positioned
There are several reasons to remain constructive on China, in our view. We believe that pessimism about China’s fortunes and the wider economic outlook, resulting in the current idiosyncratic sell-off, presents opportunities for active investors to find great companies at very attractive valuations.
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White papersKeynote Interview: What the future holds for infrastructure debt
In an article originally published by Infrastructure Investor magazine, Jerome Neyroud, Head of Infrastructure Debt, discusses the state of the market today and looks at trends that will drive activity in the years ahead
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White papersIndia in 2024: a trio of new positive catalysts
2024 will undoubtedly be a year of weaker global growth, largely led by the US and China. Yet we believe the combination of 1) a US soft landing, 2) slowing global inflation and 3) global monetary easing will mean riskier assets perform better. We believe strong returns are possible for Asian equities, especially when GDP growth projections are much higher for Asia ex Japan than for developed market peers.
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White papersIs US job creation as strong as it looks?
The latest US inflation report showed signs of inflation falling at a slower pace than expected. Inflation data have disappointed twice in a row and are seemingly consistent with firm US employment and wage growth. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we consider what constitutes a strong employment report and how expectations are coloured by what many market participants consider to be normal.
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White papersA Second Trump Presidency? Potential Economic Effects
President Trump could win the 2024 presidential election. When the incumbent presidential party presides over an improvement in the unemployment rate, it is likely to be returned to power. With unemployment at historic lows, unemployment is likely to get worse, creating headwinds for a Biden re-election.
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White papers2024’s elections around the world: The who’s who and the so what…
Voters from more than 60 countries will head to the polls this year, representing almost half the world’s population. This makes 2024 perhaps the ultimate election year by historical standards. But the act of merely holding elections does not guarantee a free and fair process e.g., Russia’s March elections, nor does it imply consequential change.
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White papersOpportunities in preferred and capital securities remain attractive
Main takeaways: the Federal Reserve (Fed) should be done raising rates; the U.S. Treasury market term premium should persist; discounted fixed-to-refixed hybrids foster an advantage of indifference to the direction of longer-term treasury rates; and relative values are attractive.
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White papersQuarterly fixed income perspectives 1Q 2024: A turning point for policy
Themes, outlook, and investment implications across global fixed income markets
