Outlooks – Page 67
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - Why EM could be back in focus in 2022
Emerging markets (EM) performance has been held back over the first three quarters of 2021 by a few factors, including the spread of the Delta virus variant in less vaccinated countries, news out of China (growth slowdown, regulation crackdown, and the housing slowdown alongside the Evergrande fallout), and the upcoming Fed tapering.
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White papersSDG Engagement High Yield Credit commentary: Millicom
Millicom is a telecommunications service provider that delivers mobile, fixed-line broadband and pay-for TV services to businesses and households in nine Latin American countries.
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White papersEurope: 6 reasons for higher inflation and faster growth
Against the spectre of soaring energy prices, labour shortages and supply chain constraints, a question that has arisen in the US has landed firmly on European shores: will inflation continue to rise and how persistent will it be?
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2021
A potential default in China and shifting policy in Europe have been key developments in an environment of volatility and higher yields that is likely to persist into the fourth quarter.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - October 2021
We are maintaining the narrative and the probabilities of the scenarios. The central scenario assumes that the policy mix and improving fundamentals will support the recovery and the markets. Beyond 18 months, we expect US growth to revert to potential amidst a higher inflation regime, while stagflationary pressures rise, in particular across Europe.
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White papersUpcoming 2022 Outlook: From European autonomy to strategic sovereignty
The pandemic has highlighted Europe’s dependency on several critical goods, including pharmaceutical products and medical equipment. The European Union found itself temporarily unable to ensure the security of the population because it has outsourced the production of these critical goods.
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White papersThe Eurozone Gordian knot: how to reform the fiscal framework without abandoning fiscal discipline?
Reforming the European fiscal framework would improve the resilience of the Eurozone…provided that fiscal discipline is not abandoned.
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White papersThe net zero carbon decision
Is a net zero carbon target right for institutional portfolios? If it is, what steps do investors need to take to put them on the path to net zero?
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White papersEurope: reasons for optimism…and caution
In this paper, investment director Martyn Hole explains why the backdrop for Europe is increasingly positive, but that there are risks that warrant caution.
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White papers10 trends that will define the future of emerging market investing
In this paper we share 10 themes that we believe will drive opportunities in emerging markets in the next 10 years.
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White papersA mountain to climb? The European Green Deal and alternative real estate investment
In the summer of 2021, Europe experienced a series of extreme-weather emergencies bringing the reality of climate risk to the continent’s doorstep.
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White papersIntegrating impact into financial analysis
Few investors realise that traditional portfolio 10.75% construction tools can be adapted to include social and environmental goals.
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White papersBeyond the noise: Why long-term capital will capitalise on China’s future
Global investors must avoid allowing any short- term misperceptions about recent Chinese regulatory reforms to derail their big-picture perspective of the vast opportunity set in the world’s second-largest economy.
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White papersWhere next for credit markets?
There are a host of challenging questions for credit investors right now, among them:
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White papersECB’s shy monetary policy turn has started
ECB’s Governing Council have decided on a “moderately lower pace” of PEPP purchases based on an improved inflation outlook amid favorable financing conditions. Quite importantly, the decision was taken unanimously.
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White papersThis Is Not a 60/40 Environment
The shift to a mid-cycle expansion beset with unusually high levels of uncertainty could bring a new test for asset allocators.
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White papersShould Investors Stay Onboard the Chinese Dragon Boat?
Surprising policy developments are rocking the craft, but in our view the course remains set for the same long-term destination, and the uncertainty and volatility may present some attractive investment opportunities.
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White papersCosts, margins, labor are key
What are the major issues or trends you think investors should watch most closely for the rest of 2021 and why?
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White papersHow Big Data Casts New Light on Reopening Stocks
Our recent work on the COVID-19 Delta variant not only reminds us that data science can give us insights into the pandemic, but also about the ways alternative data need to be marshaled to provide actionable information for our investment views.
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White papersWhat does heightened China risk mean for investors?
In July, China’s equity market suffered one of its worst monthly declines in a decade amid escalating regulatory pressures. The steep fall has raised concerns about the risks and outlook for investing in Chinese equities.
