Outlooks – Page 49
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White papers*Sustainable by nature sequel: our portfolio biodiversity footprint*
Research has found that on a number of levels, nature is unravelling. This poses an existential threat to societies and economies – and by extension asset owners and investors. As an asset manager with clients who depend upon a stable biosphere, we have a responsibility to understand how our investments impact nature and how nature loss may translate into financial risks.
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White papersSwitching Gears for an Uphill Ride: Combining Capital Preservation, Return Potential and Liquidity for Official Institutions
In the second of our articles on working with Official Institutions, we ask whether portfolios can be built to withstand a profoundly changed outlook for the economy and investment returns without blowing through their risk constraints.
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White papersEmerging market debt: an active approach
Emerging market debt (EMD) has already broadened and deepened significantly in the last few decades and as the asset class has developed, it has become more appealing to a broader investor base. Issuance has increased, thereby improving liquidity.
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White papersCentral bank watch: Ramping up the inflation fight
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Central Bank Watch is a qualitative assessment of the central banks for the Group of Ten nations plus China and South Korea.
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White papersFinding a third way between throttling energy demand and dirty fossil fuel
The war in Ukraine is significantly impacting energy security, particularly in Europe. Beyond oil & gas markets, the conflict has a variety of negative macroeconomic effects. Notably, the fighting in Ukraine and the resulting sanctions on Russia are disrupting commodity supplies, exacerbating ‘cost push’ inflation set in motion by the pandemic and its aftermath.
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White papers2022 Midyear Outlook - Long-term perspective on markets and economies
We are living through a pivotal time in history, marked by geopolitical realignment, high inflation, volatile financial markets and the end of a 40-year period of declining interest rates. The title of this new era could be Brave New World or Back to the Future. But the title I would select is Revenge of the Boomers, because a lot of these events are rhyming with the past, particularly the early 1960s.
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White papersWhat is the impact of Covid and the Ukraine crisis on fiscal policy?
The past two years have brought not one but two generation-defining events – Covid and the war in Ukraine. Together, they will leave a far-reaching economic and societal legacies.
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White papersWhat will drive financial markets over the next five years?
Dividing a portfolio’s investments more or less evenly between developed market stocks and bonds has proved a rewarding strategy over the past few decades. The annualised return investors have secured by pursuing this approach has been in the high single digits – gains that have come courtesy of steady economic growth, an almost continuous fall in interest rates and inflation, and relatively calm financial market conditions.
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White papersMacroeconomic projections for the Italian economy and fixed income implications
Amid the cost of living crisis, ongoing since last autumn, Italy saw unexpected resilience in Q1 as the initial GDP growth estimate of -0.2% was revised up to 0.1% QoQ. However, there was no good news on domestic demand: a 0.8% QoQ contraction in household consumption does not bode well for the future, as consumer confidence declined further during Q2.
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White papersDid You Miss the Commodity Boom?
Commodity prices are up substantially this year, but we believe structural supply and demand imbalances mean we are still in the early innings of this cycle.
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White papers*Private market assets: the new funding stream that’s here to stay*
Private market assets have transformed the investment landscape in the 14 years since the global financial crisis.
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White papersAfter the Revaluation, the Slowdown
Our Asset Allocation Committee believes that, whether we enter a recession or not, the expected slowdown and ongoing market volatility could feel like one for investors.
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White papersClimate Change: How investors can help deliver a Just Transition
The concept of a Just Transition is not new. US labour leaders noted the conflict between jobs and the environment as far back as the early 1990s, but it has gained momentum in recent years.
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White papersFrench elections results open a phase of political gridlock
The fragmentation of votes into irreconcilable political blocs with no absolute majority creates a political situation unprecedented under the Fifth Republic. Financial markets do not seem to be concerned in the short term, but the absence of a clear policy stance could have consequences in the medium term. ...
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White papersNew diversity in green bonds may offer fertile ground for investors
The green bonds sector is changing. Years of powerful growth have not only brought it into the mainstream but have also delivered a richer, more varied universe for investors. As the world seeks the funds that will finance the energy transition and the road to net zero, we think this diversification will continue and evolve, rewarding those with the know-how to spot potential wrinkles as the opportunity set expands.
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White papers400G Networking: Empowering Data Centers
As data consumption rises, so does the need for hyperscale data centers. What opportunities could this bring?
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White papersThe ECB Joins the Growing Circle of Hawks
The ECB officially joined the hawkish camp, announcing a more aggressive path of rate hikes, which led markets to reprice the euro curve higher. Meanwhile, despite a move higher in initial claims, a strong U.S. jobs report will keep the FOMC on its hawkish rate-hiking path.
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White papersThe Space Economy Achieves Lift-Off
Space-based industry is much more down-to-earth than you might think—and every day it touches more and more of our lives
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White papersThe Fed Can’t Stop, Won’t Stop
The Fed turned more hawkish this week, upgrading its outlook for the Fed Funds rate, and lowering its outlook on growth—leading to a risk-off tone in markets. Meanwhile, the ECB announced a new tool to help address the uneven transmission of monetary policy normalization.
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White papersFour questions on impact investing
Impact investing has been described as the new frontier for socially responsible investing. The strategy, targeting a financial return and an (extra-financial) impact, can be implemented in listed as well as unlisted markets. Here is what you need to know.
